Liam Duckstein
Lecce welcomes Genoa to Stadio Via del Mare for their last Serie A regular season match on 24 May 2026. Both clubs are coming off inconsistent runs, with Lecce fighting to avoid a drop and Genoa seeking a positive finish. With stakes high and tension clear, one detail stands out: Lecce’s recent improvement in attack, especially from Walid Cheddira, who’s scored three in his last five. For Genoa, Johan Vásquez remains a key defensive figure. This match could be a tactical battle with both sides eager to assert dominance in midfield.
Hot stat: Lecce have scored in four of their last five matches, while Genoa managed just one goal over the same span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Lecce vs Genoa prediction
We predict Lecce to edge Genoa in a match likely to feature under 2.5 goals. The attacking trend for Lecce, led by Cheddira, contrasts with Genoa’s offensive struggles—Genoa scored only once in their previous five games. Lecce’s home form and higher motivation to secure safety push them as favorites, while Genoa’s low goal output puts them at a disadvantage. Our team rates Lecce’s direct style and ability to generate shots as a decisive factor here.
Lecce’s style leans toward direct attacks, frequent fouls (52 in last five games), and moderate ball control (pass accuracy at 72%). They rack up yellow cards (12 in last five) and force corners (14). Genoa’s approach is more controlled, reflected in higher pass accuracy (80%), but their low shot conversion rate and fewer fouls (44) suggest less physical presence in decisive areas. Expect a physical game with interruptions, especially from Lecce’s side, but Genoa’s technical discipline might limit clear-cut chances.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Lecce’s most recent games include a 3-2 win over Sassuolo, showing sharpness up front but also vulnerability in defense. Cheddira’s form makes him a threat, and Banda’s wing play adds unpredictability. Lecce have two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, with the ability to compete against mid-table sides. Defensive lapses still occur, but their pressing style often unsettles opponents.
Genoa have hit a rough patch, failing to score in four of their last five and suffering a 1-2 home defeat to Milan last out. Their defense remains tight, but attacking creativity is lacking. Vásquez’s leadership at the back is apparent, but the forward line lacks bite. Recent draws against Fiorentina and Atalanta reflect their ability to contain but not to punish, which might spell trouble against Lecce’s higher pressing.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Lecce | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| Total shots | 38 | 36 |
| Free kicks | 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks | 14 | 11 |
| Total fouls | 52 | 44 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 72 | 80 |
| Interceptions | 32 | 29 |
| Offsides | 7 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Lecce vs Genoa stats page for more info.
Genoa. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lecce the favourite
- Moneyline Lecce 1.81 | Genoa 5.16
- Draw 3.72
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.30 | Under 2.5 1.58
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.75
Lecce stand out as clear favorites in the odds, reflecting their home advantage and recent scoring trend. Genoa’s high odds and lack of attacking production make them outsiders. Under 2.5 goals is favored, which matches both teams’ recent defensive focus and Genoa’s inability to convert chances. BTTS “No” is also likely, as Genoa rarely find the net, while Lecce could control the tempo.
Possible Starting Lineups
Lecce possible starting eleven
- GK: Wladimiro Falcone
- DF: Antonino Gallo, Danilo Veiga, Gaby Jean, Jamil Siebert
- MF: Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly, Oumar Ngom
- FW: Walid Cheddira, Lameck Banda, Santiago Pierotti
This lineup reflects the core of Lecce’s squad in recent matches, sticking with a 4-3-3. Falcone’s stability in goal, Gallo’s overlapping on the left, and Siebert’s passing from the back stand out. Cheddira is the main threat, supported by Banda’s speed and Pierotti’s work rate. The midfield trio provides balance between ball-winning and distribution.
Genoa possible starting eleven
- GK: Justin Bijlow
- DF: Stefano Sabelli, Johan Vásquez, Alessandro Marcandalli, Sebastian Otoa
- MF: Morten Frendrup, Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho, Mikael Ellertsson
- FW: Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira, Jeff Ekhator, Lorenzo Colombo
Genoa should stick to their favored 4-2-3-1, with Bijlow’s distribution key at the back. Vásquez anchors the defense, and Frendrup’s box-to-box play provides drive. Up front, Oliveira and Colombo need to find form, while Ekhator adds movement on the flanks. The side is disciplined, but lacks a consistent goal outlet.
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Lecce. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our team is confident Lecce will secure a narrow victory over Genoa. Recent attacking form and home support work in Lecce’s favor, while Genoa’s goal drought looks set to continue. Expect few goals, a physical midfield battle, and Lecce’s pressing edge to tip the scales.
