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Lazio vs Inter Prediction: 09.05.2026 Serie A

06.05.2026, 09:08

Serie A’s 36th round sets up an intriguing clash at the Stadio Olimpico as Lazio host Inter on May 9, 2026. The capital side, under Maurizio Sarri, faces the league leaders and title favorites, Inter, managed by Cristian Chivu. Lazio’s campaign has been inconsistent and they’re aiming to cement a European spot, while Inter look to maintain their dominance at the top. A fascinating subplot: Inter’s Marcus Thuram is in explosive form, while Lazio’s Tijjani Noslin is emerging as a creative spark, both critical for their teams’ attacking ambitions.

Hot stat: Inter have scored 14 goals in their last five matches—double Lazio’s tally in the same period.

12:00Finished09.05.2026
0LazioItaly
3InterItaly
🏆 Tournament: Serie A 2025/26 Regular Season (Italy)
🏟 Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
🗓️ Date: 09.05.2026
⏰ Time: 18:00 CEST

Lazio vs Inter prediction

We predict Inter to win this match. The Nerazzurri have the best form in the division—five wins and a draw in their last six games—and a massive goal difference advantage. Inter’s attack looks sharp, fueled by Thuram’s five goals in five matches and Çalhanoğlu’s influence from midfield. Lazio, meanwhile, have just two wins in their last six, struggling to convert draws into victories. Bookmakers rate Inter at a 53% chance of victory, and we agree.

Inter’s approach relies on quick transitions and sustained possession, with a high number of completed passes (2,625 in the last five games) and excellent pass accuracy (2342 successful). They combine this with a disciplined defensive structure, reflected by only 10 yellow cards and zero reds in the last five games. Lazio are slightly less tidy, conceding more fouls (59 to Inter’s 56) and slightly more bookings, which could lead to dangerous set-pieces. Inter’s superior control in midfield and more consistent defensive work make them favorites, though Lazio’s pressing can produce moments of chaos.

🔥Hot Tip: Inter to win and Over 2.5 Goals
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Lazio’s last game ended in a narrow 2-1 win over Cremonese. Sarri’s team showed more urgency in attack, producing eight goals across the last five matches, but defensive lapses remain. Conceding three goals to Udinese and drawing with Atalanta reflect a vulnerability at the back, while only their 2-0 win over Napoli stands out as a controlled performance. Noslin and Matteo Cancellieri offer attacking promise but the team lacks a consistent finisher.

12:30Finished04.05.2026
1CremoneseItaly
2LazioItaly

Inter, in contrast, delivered a composed 2-0 victory over Parma, demonstrating their depth and attacking variety. They followed up with a 2-2 draw against Torino, but mostly their run has been relentless. Inter have scored at least two goals in all their last five games, with Thuram, Çalhanoğlu, and Dumfries all regularly contributing. Their defense concedes, but their attack compensates.

14:45Finished03.05.2026
2InterItaly
0ParmaItaly

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Lazio Inter
Goals 4 12
Total shots 56 73
Free kicks 19 27
Corner kicks 19 27
Total fouls 59 56
Pass accuracy (%) 85 82
Interceptions 35 40
Offsides 5 8

🚨Check out our dedicated Lazio vs Inter stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the favourite

  • Moneyline Lazio 4.80 | Inter 1.70
  • Draw 3.83
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.80
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90

Inter’s odds are justified—current form, squad depth, and past H2H results all point toward a clear advantage. Lazio’s home ground gives them some hope but their inconsistency and porous defense make them outsiders. Over 2.5 goals is well priced with both sides possessing attacking threats, though Inter’s firepower tips the balance. BTTS is likely with Lazio fighting for European football and Inter always aggressive.

Possible Starting Lineups

Lazio possible starting eleven

  • GK: Edoardo Motta
  • DF: Alessio Romagnoli, Patric, Nuno Tavares
  • MF: Manuel Lazzari, Adam Marušić, Toma Bašić, Kenneth Taylor, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • FW: Tijjani Noslin, Matteo Cancellieri

Lazio stick with a 3-5-2 setup. Motta remains in goal with Romagnoli and Patric anchoring the back. Tavares adds width and energy. Lazzari and Marušić provide the pace on the wings, while Bašić and Taylor control midfield. Noslin and Cancellieri offer movement and creativity up front. Noslin, in particular, is one to watch for his recent goal involvements.

Inter possible starting eleven

  • GK: Yann Sommer
  • DF: Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Carlos Augusto
  • MF: Denzel Dumfries, Federico Dimarco, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Piotr Zieliński
  • FW: Marcus Thuram, Lautaro Martínez

Inter’s preferred 3-5-2 sees Sommer in goal, Akanji and Bastoni solid at the back, and Augusto giving flexibility on the left. The midfield is packed with energy and creativity: Dumfries and Dimarco cover the flanks, Barella and Çalhanoğlu dictate tempo, Zieliński links play. Thuram and Martínez lead the attack, with Thuram in exceptional scoring form.

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Lazio

Lazio. Source: Official Website

TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict an Inter win with both teams to score and the match going over 2.5 goals. Inter’s attack is simply on another level, and their ability to control possession and limit mistakes puts them in the driving seat. Lazio’s recent improvement in attack should produce a goal, but defensive concerns persist. Inter’s Thuram and Çalhanoğlu are expected to play pivotal roles, while Lazio’s Noslin could make an impact. Expect intensity and goals.

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