Larne vs The New Saints Prediction: 17.06.2025 International Club Friendly Preview

Larne take on The New Saints in an international club-friendly clash at Brann Stadion, Bergen, on 17 June 2025. While both sides use this fixture to prepare for their domestic seasons, this match also pits two teams with contrasting recent records against one another. Notably, The New Saints come in riding a remarkable run of form in 2025, while Larne have shown more inconsistent results. For both clubs, the game offers a chance to gauge their progress against competitive opposition, with managers Nathan Rooney (Larne) and Craig Harrison (The New Saints) expected to rotate and experiment but retain a core of key performers.

Among the players expected to shape the proceedings, Larne’s Thomas Maguire and The New Saints’ Daniel Redmond are both pivotal creative influences who consistently drive attacking play. Their impact in transitions and from set pieces could determine which side establishes control, especially in a tactical matchup where midfield dominance is expected to be critical.

A “hot stat” heading into the fixture: The New Saints have posted a stunning 15 wins from 16 matches this year, underlining their efficiency and reliability in all competitions, which starkly contrasts with Larne’s 10 wins in 24 starts (42% win rate). This sharp difference in win ratios markedly tilts form momentum towards the Welsh champions.

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Larne vs The New Saints prediction

The best value for this match, considering current statistics and form lines, leans heavily in favor of The New Saints in the “Draw No Bet” market. With a 94% win rate in 2025 and consistent victories against various opposition, The New Saints offer strong value, even if this is a neutral venue and friendly conditions. Larne’s recent results—especially their lack of goals against Glentoran and higher draw count—create further caution for outright home support.

Tactically, both teams exhibit contrasting styles. The New Saints have shown an ability to grind out wins with efficient possession and minimal fouling, while Larne’s pattern suggests competitive balance but also some defensive lapses (noted by multiple draws against mid-tier teams like Crusaders and Dungannon). With both teams averaging modest yellow-card counts and little disciplinary trouble lately, expect a relatively clean contest. The Saints typically average over 60% ball possession during dominant stretches, while Larne hover closer to 50%, reflecting a more reactive strategy. Corners may be slightly higher for The New Saints, who push fullbacks high and seek overloads wide.

Team Analysis

Larne’s recent form under Nathan Rooney reflects resilience but a struggle to convert close games into wins. Their most recent outing—a 0-0 draw against Glentoran—underscores both their defensive solidity and attacking limitations against compact defences. Prior to that, Larne notched consecutive 2-1 victories over Linfield and Coleraine, both competitive sides, but only after conceding first. Their draw against Crusaders (2-2) and Dungannon (1-1) revealed a vulnerability to direct play and occasional lapses in marking during set pieces. This sequence of draws and narrow wins signals a side that can perform under pressure, but also one prone to share points instead of commanding victories.

The New Saints, under Craig Harrison, enter this match as arguably the form side of the year with an eye-popping run of 15 wins in 16 matches. Most recently, they dispatched Connah’s Quay 2-1, demonstrating their blend of possession play and ability to carve open defences through combinations and high mentality pressing. They followed up convincing 3-1 and 2-1 results against Haverfordwest and Bala, respectively, showing a balanced threat from midfield and wide areas. Their only misfire was a 0-1 loss to Penybont—now avenged twice over—indicating a highly stable squad and system. Centurion performances from midfield and assured ball retention define their approach.

Possible Starting Lineups

Larne possible starting eleven

This projected Larne eleven represents their most-used core from the season’s run-in. Rohan Ferguson remains a reliable presence in goal, while Bolger and Donnelly provide defensive leadership. Maguire and Randall are crucial midfield screeners, with Bonis and O’Neill giving an edge up top. Formationally, expect a 4-4-2 or flexible 4-2-3-1 depending on Maguire’s advanced role. Maguire, in particular, could be the x-factor with his ability to dictate tempo and shoot from distance.

The New Saints possible starting eleven

The New Saints’ likely setup revolves around their dominant shape—a hybrid 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3. Roberts is the established keeper, Marriott and Clark anchor defense and midfield, with Redmond orchestrating as the pivot. Up front, look for constant movement from McManus and the wide support from Cieslewicz, both of whom thrive in transition. Redmond’s set-piece delivery and Brobbel’s late runs will be especially noteworthy.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

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My take on the Match

The key trend coming into this fixture is The New Saints’ consistency—just one loss in sixteen matches. This efficiency, paired with sharper ball progression and greater scoring output, strongly suggests the Welsh side are in a different physical and tactical phase than Larne. Expect The New Saints to edge the match or, at minimum, secure a draw, with the “Draw No Bet” market offering superior value. A low-scoring game under 2.5 goals is a rational adjunct given recent outputs and both managers’ likely conservative approach in a prep-oriented friendly.

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