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Lanus vs Newells Old Boys Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Argentine Primera Division 2026 Match - 18.03.2026

17.03.2026, 10:14

Under the floodlights at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus in Buenos Aires, the stage is set for an enthralling Argentine Primera Division Apertura Group A clash on March 18, 2026, with the action kicking off at 00:00 CEST. This match carries extra significance as Lanus, under Mauricio Pellegrino, looks to solidify its mid-table standing, while Newells Old Boys, coached by Frank Kudelka, hope to arrest their alarming winless slide and rediscover their attacking spark.

Among those vying for the spotlight, keep a close eye on Lanus’s dynamic forward Dylan Aquino — whose pace and work rate have unsettled defenders all season — and Newells’ tireless striker Juan Ignacio Ramírez, a rare bright spot in their forward line. Both are pivotal to their teams’ fortunes, capable of turning a tight contest with a moment of individual brilliance.

The “hot stat” heading into this fixture: Newells Old Boys have failed to win a single match this entire year, drawing just three and losing six in their own group. Their offensive struggles are stark, as they have scored only six goals in nine Apertura fixtures, conceding a worrying 17.

18:00Finished17.03.2026
5LanusArgentina

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Lanus vs Newells Old Boys predictions

My best bet: Lanus to win.
Lanus have shown resilience, especially at home, where their defensive structure—anchored by José Canale and supported by proactive midfielders like Felipe Peña Biafore—has produced credible performances. In contrast, Newells Old Boys are mired in a crisis of confidence and cohesion, with a winless 2026 across all competitions, defensive frailties, and a misfiring attack. Considering the trajectory of both sides, backing the home team to secure all three points offers the best value on the market.

When we dig deeper into the team styles, the technical approach of Lanus—leaning on structured build-up, measured ball possession (1910 passes over the last five games with 71 percent accuracy), and calculated risk in transition—is likely to control the tempo. Their measured aggression has also kept their disciplinary record in check (just 10 yellows in five matches). Newells, by contrast, demonstrate erratic possession (1283 passes at just 66 percent accuracy) and high indiscipline, having picked up 14 yellow cards and committed 76 fouls in their last five matches. Such recklessness often disrupts their rhythm, leading to defensive lapses that a well-drilled Lanus side can exploit.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: No
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Lanus vs Newells Old Boys Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Lanus Newells Old Boys
Goals 1 2
Total shots 9 10
Free kicks 15 16
Corner kicks 4 5
Total fouls 13 15
Pass accuracy (%) 77 69
Interceptions 21 19
Offsides 3 2

Looking at their recent head-to-head, Newells Old Boys edged Lanus 2-1 in the crucial 2024 relegation fixture, using set pieces and pressing to disturb Lanus’s rhythm. However, the current gulf in morale and form between the two sides—evidenced by Newells’s drastic decline in both offensive output and defensive solidity—suggests a shift in the balance of power. Lanus will be determined to exact revenge, leveraging their improved home record and tactical stability.

🚨Read our full Lanus vs Newells Old Boys stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Lanus have recorded 33 percent wins in the last 30 days, compared to 0 percent for Newells Old Boys.
  • Lanus have scored in four of their last five home matches.
  • Newells Old Boys have conceded 17 goals in just 9 Apertura matches—averaging nearly two goals shipped per game.
  • Newells Old Boys have not won any of their 11 competitive matches played in 2026.
  • Disciplinary: Newells Old Boys average 2.8 yellow cards per game, the highest in the group.
  • Set Pieces: Both sides average over 8 corners combined per game.

Lanus vs Newells Old Boys score prediction: 2-0

Expect Lanus to take initiative early, with Dylan Aquino running at defenders and Walter Bou making intelligent off-the-ball runs to stretch the Newells back line. Given the defensive frailties and frequent lapses under pressure that Newells have displayed, Lanus should be able to capitalize. With Canale marshaling the defense, a clean sheet is on the cards. Aquino and Bou are likely contributors to the scoreboard.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lanus the favourite

Moneyline Lanus 1.71 | Newells Old Boys 5.22
Draw 3.37
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.44 | Under 2.5 1.56
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.13 | No 1.69

The bookmakers strongly favor Lanus, and the data supports these odds. Lanus’s stronger home form, combined with Newells’s staggering inability to score or secure results on the road, explains the short home price. Both the Over/Under and Both Teams To Score markets point towards a low-scoring contest shaped by Lanus’s disciplined defense and Newells’s shot-shy attack.

Lanus vs Newells Old Boys Over/Under Analysis

  • Lanus’s last five matches: three finished with under 2.5 goals.
  • Newells Old Boys have failed to score in three of their last five games.
  • Lanus have kept two clean sheets in their last five outings.
  • The last five combined matches for these sides averaged only 1.6 total goals.

Lanus Preview

Lanus enter this fixture on the back of a statement 1-0 victory over a defensively-robust Estudiantes LP. The side displayed tactical maturity, using a balanced 4-2-3-1 shape, pressing at the right moments, and showing versatility in transition. The previous run has included just two losses in their last seven, and despite a heavy defeat to Boca Juniors, they responded with defensive discipline, conceding only once in their next 180 minutes of league play.

19:00Finished13.03.2026
0Estudiantes LPArgentina
1LanusArgentina

Lanus possible starting eleven

  • GK: Nahuel Hernan Losada
  • DF: José Canale, Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan, Nicolás Morgantini, Carlos Izquierdoz
  • MF: Felipe Peña Biafore, Franco Nahuel Watson, Ramiro Carrera, Diego Agustín Medina
  • FW: Dylan Aquino, Walter Bou

Newells Old Boys Preview

Newells Old Boys’ 1-1 draw with Platense summed up their season: blunt going forward, vulnerable on the counter, and over-reliant on set pieces for any attacking threat. Despite moments of individual tenacity from players like Juan Ignacio Ramírez and Facundo Samuel Guch, chronic defensive mistakes and a mounting disciplinary record have prevented them from building any sustained momentum. Frank Kudelka urgently needs a turnaround, but with shaky defensive partnerships and minimal attacking support, the task looks formidable against an organized Lanus.

21:00Finished10.03.2026
1PlatenseArgentina

Newells Old Boys possible starting eleven

  • GK: Williams Barlasina
  • DF: Armando Méndez, Saúl Salcedo, Marcelo Esponda, Nicolás Goitea
  • MF: Luca Regiardo, Rodrigo Herrera, Valentino Acuna, Facundo Samuel Guch
  • FW: Juan Ignacio Ramírez, Luciano Herrera

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As a TipsGG team expert, I am confident in backing Lanus for this fixture. The home side’s clear organizational strengths, efficient pressing, and ability to punish mistakes should be enough against a Newells team desperately searching for answers. Our AI-powered prediction model gives Lanus a 55 percent chance of victory, a figure rooted in both recent form and statistical trends.

Newells Old Boys

Newells Old Boys. Source: Official Website

How to watch Lanus vs Newells Old Boys

  • When? 18 March 2026
  • Kick-off time: 00:00 CEST
  • Where? Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires, Argentina
  • How to watch: Official Argentine Primera Division streaming providers and selected cable sports channels.
  • Favorite: Lanus

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