Rafael Nogueira
Group G in the Copa Libertadores 2026 delivers a high-stakes fixture as Lanus hosts Mirassol at Brann Stadion, Bergen. Mirassol already tops the group, while Lanus faces elimination if they drop points. The contrasting momentum is clear: Mirassol shows solid form, while Lanus struggles to find consistency in attack.
Two key players to keep an eye on: for Lanus, Agustín Cardozo leads midfield transitions and scored the team’s only recent goal. For Mirassol, Willian Estefani Machado stands out, driving play from defense and even contributing to scoring in recent matches. Both goalkeepers, Nahuel Hernan Losada (Lanus) and Alex Muralha (Mirassol), anchor their sides but have faced very different levels of defensive workload.
Hot stat: Mirassol has only conceded three goals in five group matches, demonstrating defensive resilience, while Lanus has managed just two goals in the same span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Libertadores 2026, Group G |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Lanus vs Mirassol prediction
We predict Mirassol will avoid defeat in this match. The away team’s form and defensive numbers far surpass Lanus, who have struggled to create and convert chances—just one goal in their last five matches speaks volumes. Mirassol’s tactical shape remains consistent, with a reliable 4-2-3-1, fluid ball circulation, and effective pressing, while Lanus looks bereft of attacking ideas and confidence.
Disciplinary stats reveal Lanus racks up more yellow cards (13 vs 7 in the last five games) and fouls (52 each), but their passing accuracy (52%) lags behind Mirassol’s (about 52% as well). The Argentine side’s higher foul count and less composed possession could see them lose midfield control. Mirassol’s ability to limit bookings while controlling the pace should help them dictate play and grind out a positive result.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Mirassol double chance (X2) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Lanus’s recent results show a steep decline: a 0-2 home loss to LDU Quito, a 0-2 defeat by Argentinos Juniors, and a shocking 0-4 collapse to Always Ready. Their lone win in this span, 1-0 over LDU Quito, remains an outlier. Poor conversion in front of goal and mounting defensive lapses put Mauricio Pellegrino’s squad under immense pressure.
Mirassol’s recent run, by contrast, includes wins over Fluminense (1-0), Always Ready (2-1), and Bragantino (2-1), only interrupted by a 1-3 setback to Atletico Mineiro. Their attack distributes scoring responsibility across several forwards and midfielders, while the defense stays compact. Coach Rafael Guanaes maintains tactical discipline, evidenced by the low number of yellow cards and consistent lineup structure.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Lanus | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Total shots | 6 | 9 |
| Free kicks | 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 11 | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 51 | 54 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 8 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Lanus vs Mirassol stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lanus the favourite
- Moneyline Lanus 1.84 | Mirassol 4.90
- Draw 3.30
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.45 | Under 2.5 1.55
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.20 | No 1.60
Bookmakers price Lanus as clear favourites—home support and group urgency contribute. Yet the form table, underlying stats, and recent H2H tilt the balance towards Mirassol. Market overvalues Lanus’s historical home edge; Mirassol’s sharp defense and efficiency offer better value, especially in double chance and under total goals markets.
Lanus. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Lanus possible starting eleven
- GK: Nahuel Hernan Losada
- DF: José Canale, Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan, Nicolás Morgantini, Tomás Guidara
- MF: Felipe Peña Biafore, Marcelino Moreno, Ramiro Carrera, Agustín Cardozo, Diego Agustín Medina
- FW: Eduardo Salvio
Pellegrino will stick with 4-2-3-1, prioritizing structure over flair. Losada starts in goal, shielded by Canale and Guidara in defense. Cardozo anchors midfield, with Moreno and Carrera pushing transitions. Salvio, though goalless lately, remains a threat up front. No key absences but attack lacks spark; focus remains on not conceding early.
Mirassol possible starting eleven
- GK: Alex Muralha
- DF: João Victor Carroll Santana, Daniel Borges, Willian Estefani Machado, Victor Luís
- MF: Denilson Alves Borges, José Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho, Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo, Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
- FW: Alesson dos Santos Batista, Tiquinho Soares
Guanaes relies on a balanced 4-2-3-1. Muralha provides shot-stopping consistency, Machado leads the backline, Borges and Victor Luís add defensive grit. Denilson and Shaylon control tempo, while Alesson and Tiquinho pose a constant threat up top. The side’s discipline and ability to hit on the break remain strengths.
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Mirassol. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Mirassol will either win or draw in Bergen. Their form, organization, and defensive solidity outclass Lanus, who lack confidence and cutting edge. Under 2.5 goals is the smart pick given both teams’ recent scoring records and Mirassol’s pragmatic approach in away matches. BTTS “No” offers value, considering Lanus’ poor goal output and Mirassol’s resilience. Best value: Mirassol double chance, under 2.5 goals.
