Alex MacQuoid
Landskrona host Assyriska United on Matchday 12 of the Superettan 2026 season, and the gap between these two sides in the table makes this a genuinely interesting fixture. Assyriska sit fourth with 20 points, three clear of Landskrona in eighth, and they arrive at Landskrona IP on the back of a strong 2026 campaign that has seen them win 11 of 18 league matches. That 61% win rate is one of the better numbers in this division. Landskrona, under Robin Asterhed, have been inconsistent, but their recent 3-0 demolition of Helsingborg shows they can put a performance together at home when the mood is right. The home side’s 4-4-2 shape tends to be compact and direct, while Assyriska’s 4-2-3-1 under Steven Younan gives them more structural flexibility through the thirds.
One player to keep an eye on for Assyriska is whoever occupies the number ten role in that 4-2-3-1 — the system is built to funnel play through that creative hub, and in their wins this season, the link play between midfield and attack has been the decisive factor. For Landskrona, the striker partnership in the 4-4-2 will be central; the 3-0 win over Helsingborg showed that when both forwards are clinical, this team can be genuinely dangerous in front of their own crowd.
Hot stat: Assyriska United have won 11 of their 18 league matches in 2026, a 61% win rate that puts them among the most consistent teams in Superettan this season despite sitting only fourth.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Superettan 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Landskrona IP, Landskrona |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Landskrona vs Assyriska United Prediction
Bookmakers have this remarkably tight, with Landskrona edged as slight home favourites at 40% implied probability versus Assyriska’s 33%. That feels about right given the context. Landskrona are at home and showed real quality against Helsingborg, but their form over the last 30 days reads wlldllwwdddlwdw — inconsistent, with a string of draws and losses scattered through. Assyriska’s comparable run reads wwwwlwlwwwdlwwd, which is considerably more convincing. They’ve been harder to beat, and their overall 2026 numbers back that up.
We think the best value here is on Assyriska United or the draw. The visitors’ superior consistency and their ability to grind out results in tough away fixtures — they drew 1-1 at Ostersunds most recently — suggests they won’t be opened up easily. Landskrona’s draw against Brage (2-2) and their home loss to Sundsvall (1-2) earlier in the run show they are vulnerable at Landskrona IP despite being at home. Honestly, the 2.80 on Assyriska looks generous given their season numbers.
Scoring patterns from both teams’ recent five matches suggest this is likely to be a low-to-moderate scoring game. Assyriska have won 1-0 twice in their last five and their 1-1 draw against Ostersunds is typical of their away caution. Landskrona have kept clean sheets in some games but conceded two against Sundsvall. Under 2.5 goals feels like the safer total markets call, and both teams to score is a coin flip — we’d lean no given Assyriska’s defensive discipline on the road.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Assyriska United Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Landskrona have been a team of two halves in 2026 — a modest 36% win rate across 22 matches tells one story, but their recent home win over Helsingborg tells another. That 3-0 result was their biggest of the last month and came against a side that had been showing reasonable form. Before that, a 2-2 draw at Brage showed some attacking intent but also defensive fragility away from home, and the 1-2 loss to Sundsvall at home was a bad result given Sundsvall sit 16th. Robin Asterhed’s side have drawn four of their 11 league games, which keeps them ticking over in mid-table but won’t satisfy anyone looking for a top-half push. Their 4-4-2 system is functional rather than inventive, and they need both strikers firing to generate real threat.
Assyriska United come into this in noticeably better shape. Their last five matches include wins over Varnamo (2-0) and Brage (1-0), a draw against Ostersunds (1-1), and a 1-1 against Norrkoping. The 1-4 defeat to Falkenberg was a blip — Falkenberg are second in the table and arguably the second-best team in Superettan right now. Outside of that result, Assyriska have been composed. The 1-0 win at Brage is particularly telling: Brage had been in decent form heading into that game, and Assyriska kept a clean sheet while doing just enough offensively. Steven Younan’s 4-2-3-1 gives the team a solid double pivot in midfield which helps them stay organized when away from home.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Detailed head-to-head statistical breakdowns are limited for this fixture, but the table below reflects what is available from their recent individual match data.
| Statistic | Landskrona | Assyriska United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 10 | 18 |
| Total shots | 43 | 55 |
| Free kicks | 29 | 34 |
| Corner kicks | 21 | 23 |
| Total fouls | 36 | 54 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 74% | 80% |
| Interceptions | 31 | 39 |
| Offsides | 6 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Landskrona vs Assyriska United stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Landskrona the Favourite
- Moneyline Landskrona 2.26–2.30 | Assyriska United 2.75–2.80
- Draw 3.40–3.45
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The moneyline odds are tighter than the implied probabilities suggest. Landskrona at 2.26–2.30 reflects the home advantage more than actual form, and we think that’s a slight overvaluation of the home side’s chances given Assyriska’s 2026 record. The draw at 3.40–3.45 is decent value too — four of Landskrona’s 11 league games have ended level, and Assyriska are not a team that comes chasing goals away from home. Assyriska at 2.75–2.80 looks like the sharpest number on the board, maybe the best single-outcome bet if you want to back the visitor outright. Bookmakers have this as a coin flip with a slight lean to the home side, but the underlying data tilts toward Assyriska.
Possible Starting Lineups
Landskrona Possible Starting Eleven
Landskrona are expected to line up in their regular 4-4-2 under Robin Asterhed. The system relies on a disciplined midfield four to keep shape and two strikers who can press high and convert chances when they arrive. Detailed player appearance data was not available in this dataset, but the 4-4-2 has been their consistent choice across the last five matches and there’s no reason to expect a change here given the home context. The wide midfielders will be asked to track back and help against Assyriska’s attacking width, which is a demanding ask in a home fixture where Landskrona will also want to be on the front foot.
Assyriska United Possible Starting Eleven
Assyriska United’s 4-2-3-1 under Steven Younan is a well-drilled system. The double pivot protects the back four and allows the three behind the striker to operate with more freedom. Away from home, Younan tends to set the team up to be solid first and clinical on the counter — the 1-0 win at Brage was a good example of that approach. The lone striker role is key: whoever fills it needs to hold the ball up and bring the three attackers into play, because Assyriska won’t create from open play alone in a game like this. Player data was unavailable for individual naming, but the formation and roles are clear from their recent match pattern.
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Landskrona. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Assyriska United are the form team here, and the numbers back that up pretty clearly. Their 61% win rate in 2026 against Landskrona’s 36% is a meaningful gap, and while home advantage is real in Superettan, Landskrona have already lost at home this season to a side now sitting bottom half of the table. Assyriska’s recent away performances — composed, defensively solid, winning when they need to — suggest they won’t be rattled by the atmosphere at Landskrona IP.
We think this finishes either as an Assyriska win or a draw. Their double pivot should handle Landskrona’s forward pair reasonably well, and their 4-2-3-1 gives them enough attacking variety to nick a goal. Landskrona’s home 3-0 over Helsingborg was impressive, but Assyriska are a considerably better side than Helsingborg right now. The 1-1 draw is a realistic outcome, and so is a 1-0 or 2-0 Assyriska win. We’re backing the Assyriska Double Chance at a price that reflects genuine value, with under 2.5 goals as the complementary total market bet.
