Liam Duckstein
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Kazakhstan welcome Faroe Islands to the Astana Arena with both sides sitting at the bottom half of Group 3, separated by a single point. Neither team has tasted a win in their last three outings, and the quirk here is that these two clubs already met once this group stage, drawing 1-1 on the road. A repeat scoreline would hardly surprise anyone who has watched either side this year.
Watch Kazakhstan forward Galymzhan Kenzhebek, who has fired 10 shots across his last four appearances without finding the net, a volume that suggests a goal is due. On the other side, Áki Samuelsen has scored twice in his last five games for Faroe Islands and remains their most direct outlet in behind the Kazakh back line.
Hot stat: Faroe Islands have drawn all three of their League C Group 3 matches so far this campaign, including a 1-1 result against this very Kazakhstan side last month. We predict that trend is far from finished.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League C Group 3 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Astana Arena, Astana |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands prediction
Kazakhstan arrive with just one point from three games and have lost two of their last three matches, including a 1-2 defeat to Moldova. Faroe Islands have not lost in their last three fixtures either, but all three of those results were draws. That combination points toward a tight, low-event match rather than a one-sided affair, and to be honest, the draw market offers better value than either moneyline price here.
Kazakhstan have committed 48 fouls and picked up 8 yellow cards across their last five matches, noticeably more disciplinary trouble than Faroe Islands, who sit at 43 fouls and just 4 bookings in the same span. Despite the physical approach, Kazakhstan’s completed-pass rate of roughly 83% actually beats Faroe’s 75%, so the hosts should control more of the ball even while conceding more set-piece chances through fouling. Corners should flow steadily too, with Kazakhstan averaging over 4 per game and Faroe close behind at 3.6.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Correct Score 1-1 |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Kazakhstan’s last outing ended in a 1-2 home loss to Moldova, continuing a worrying run of zero wins in their last three matches. The hosts scored first in that game but could not hold the lead, a pattern that has followed them all year given how often they concede after going ahead. In our preview of Kazakhstan vs Moldova we called a narrow home win built on Kazakhstan’s tendency to concede through moments rather than sustained pressure, and the 1-2 result went against us, with Moldova doing exactly what we expected them not to do.
Faroe Islands head into this one off the back of a 1-1 draw with Slovakia, their third consecutive stalemate in all competitions. That result extended a defensive habit of frustrating stronger opposition rather than chasing games outright. In our preview of Faroe Islands vs Slovakia we leaned toward a Slovakia win by one or two goals, and the eventual 1-1 scoreline went against that call, proving Faroe’s resilience at home should never be underestimated.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Kazakhstan | Faroe Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Kazakhstan the favourite
- Moneyline Kazakhstan 2.37 | Faroe Islands 3.09
- Draw 3.08
Bookmakers lean toward Kazakhstan at roughly 39% implied probability, with the draw and Faroe Islands both sitting close behind at 30%. The tight spread across all three outcomes mirrors what the group table already tells us, these two sides are closely matched on current form, and we don’t see enough separating them to back the home price with real conviction.
Possible Starting Lineups
Kazakhstan possible starting eleven
- GK: Aleksandr Zarutskiy
- DF: Nuraly Alip, Temirlan Erlanov, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Yan Vorogovskiy, Nauryzbek Zhagorov
- MF: Dinmukhamed Karaman, Bauyrzhan Islamkhan, Islambek Kuat, Ramazan Orazov
- FW: Galymzhan Kenzhebek
Van ‘t Schip tends to favor the back five shape that Kazakhstan have used in their last five matches, a 5-4-1 that prioritizes defensive numbers over attacking width. Karaman’s 360 minutes played make him the clear midfield anchor, while Kenzhebek leads the line alone and will need support from Islamkhan’s creative passing to turn volume into goals.
Faroe Islands possible starting eleven
- GK: Mattias Lamhauge
- DF: Gunnar Vatnhamar, Hanus Sorensen, Martin Agnarsson, Jóannes Danielsen
- MF: Géza Dávid Turi, Ási Dam, Jann Benjaminsen
- FW: Petur Knudsen, Áki Samuelsen, Poul Kallsberg
Klakstein’s 4-3-3 relies heavily on a settled back four, with Vatnhamar and Sorensen both logging over 330 minutes across the last four matches. Samuelsen’s two goals make him the player most likely to punish any lapse from Kazakhstan’s defense, which has already shipped five goals in three group games this campaign.
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Kazakhstan. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Neither side has shown enough firepower this year to suggest a comfortable win is coming. Kazakhstan concede too easily at the back, having let in five goals across their last three group matches, yet Faroe Islands have not scored more than once in any of their last five fixtures either. We predict a tight, low-scoring affair that finishes level once again, mirroring the 1-1 result from their earlier meeting this campaign. Perhaps the smartest angle for punters is backing both teams to score alongside the under 2.5 goals line, since neither attack looks capable of running away with this one.
Read also: Predicted Lineups: Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands – Expected XIs and Team News
