Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor Prediction: 05.05.2025 Süper Lig Preview

The Süper Lig enters a decisive phase as Kasimpasa host Trabzonspor at the Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadı in Istanbul. Sitting mid-table but with aspirations for a top-half finish, both sides come into this clash on the back of mixed results. A key subplot is the battle of managers, with Burak Yılmaz’s pragmatic approach at Kasimpasa facing off against Fatih Tekke’s in-form, tactically versatile Trabzonspor. With the previous encounter ending level and both teams showing signs of resurgence, this fixture carries major implications for their season ambitions.

In the spotlight for Kasimpasa will be creative midfielder Aytaç Kara, whose presence in the middle offers both steel and creativity, while for Trabzonspor, expect Oleksandr Zubkov to make a difference—his four goals in the last five games show he’s a constant threat in the final third.

A “hot stat” to keep in mind: Trabzonspor have found the net 10 times in their last five games, nearly tripling Kasimpasa’s output (4 goals) in the same period. That attacking form could determine the direction of this contest.

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Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor prediction

The bookmakers see this as a close matchup, giving Trabzonspor a slim edge in the odds—and that’s justified. Trabzonspor’s recent away form and their attacking output stand out: 10 goals scored in the last five matches, with Zubkov and Banza both on a scoring tear. Kasimpasa’s defence has been vulnerable, conceding 55 across 31 matches, though they can be tough to break at home.

Both teams play a structured 4-2-3-1, but Trabzonspor’s midfield brings more balance between attack and defence, while Kasimpasa rely heavily on moments of individual brilliance. Disciplinary stats also suggest this could be a stop-start affair, with Kasimpasa averaging 10 yellow cards in five matches, and Trabzonspor close behind at 9.

Expect Kasimpasa to focus on containment and look for transitions, while Trabzonspor’s superior passing accuracy (2058 passes at 86.4% in the last five) and creative talent point towards them dominating possession and creating more high-quality chances.

Team Analysis

Kasimpasa drew 1-1 with Besiktas recently, showing resilience but lacking penetration in the final third. While they defeated Sivasspor 3-1 in their most recent win, their loss to Kayserispor at home (0-1) exposed some recurring defensive lapses. Aytaç Kara’s influence in midfield is vital, but their attack has depended on wide players like Can Keles and Mortadha Ben Ouanes, both of whom need to step up for Kasimpasa to get a result here.

Trabzonspor, on the other hand, are peaking at the right moment. Their 4-3 thriller over Alanyaspor showcased attacking intent, while the 2-0 win over Goztepe underlined tactical discipline. A 2-0 victory against Rizespor also highlighted their resolute defending and clinical finishing. The only recent blip was a heavy loss to title-chasing Fenerbahce (1-4), but otherwise, they are on an upward trajectory with Zubkov and Simon Banza leading the charge.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Trabzonspor the favourite

The odds reflect the balance between these sides, but with Trabzonspor’s more prolific attack, the value is on the visitors—particularly with a “Draw No Bet” betting angle. Both teams to score is heavily fancied, given their recent defensive records and attacking strengths. Over 2.5 goals looks solid, considering combined recent goal averages. The slight edge in odds for Trabzonspor aligns with their superior league form and attacking output.

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Possible Starting Lineups

• GK: Andreas Gianniotis
• DF: Yasin Özcan, Kevin Rodrigues, Kamil Piątkowski, Jhon Espinoza
• MF: Aytaç Kara, Cafú, Haris Hajradinović, Antonín Barák, Can Keles
• FW: Mortadha Ben Ouanes

Kasimpasa likely stick with a 4-2-3-1, with Gianniotis between the posts and a backline featuring Rodrigues and Piątkowski for stability. Yasin Özcan and Espinoza add defensive width. In midfield, the tenacious Aytaç Kara will anchor alongside Cafú, with creative sparks provided by Hajradinović and Barák. Can Keles and Mortadha Ben Ouanes will flank the attack, offering pace and movement. Keles has contributed crucial goals, while Ben Ouanes has the ability to cut in and strike from range.

• GK: Uğurcan Çakır
• DF: Pedro Malheiro, Stefan Savić, Arseniy Batagov, Mustafa Eskihellaç
• MF: Ozan Tufan, John Lundstram, Okay Yokuşlu, Edin Višća
• FW: Simon Banza, Oleksandr Zubkov

Trabzonspor’s probable 4-2-3-1 will centre on captain Uğurcan Çakır’s leadership at the back. Malheiro and Batagov offer technical ability out wide, while Savić adds physicality. The midfield trio combines Ozan Tufan’s energy, Lundstram’s defensive steel, and playmaking from Višća. Up front, Banza’s presence and Zubkov’s recent form will be their main weapons. This lineup is set for a blend of control and direct threat, with Zubkov the player to watch after a four-goal burst in recent outings.

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My take on the Match

Given recent trends, squad depth, and form, my main pick is Trabzonspor Draw No Bet. The visitors’ superior attacking options and current run of form give them an edge, but Kasimpasa’s home grit and knack for resilience make a clear outright pick risky. Both sides should find the net, so BTTS is also a strong play. Expect fireworks in midfield, plenty of tactical battles, and decisive moments from the likes of Zubkov and Kara.

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