Liam Duckstein
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Juventus sit top of the Europa League League Phase table after two rounds, having scored seven and conceded just once. Rennes occupy a far quieter 14th spot, level on points with several sides but with a goal difference that tells a less dominant story. The interesting wrinkle here is timing: both clubs arrive off the back of damaging defeats in their domestic leagues, which means neither side walks into Turin with much momentum, despite their contrasting continental form.
Juventus were beaten 0-3 by Lazio last time out, a result that undercut their recent confidence. Rennes conceded four at Paris just days ago and shipped goals at both ends again. Whatever happens at the Allianz Stadium, expect a game shaped by two teams trying to shake off bad habits rather than two sides peaking at the same time.
Randal Kolo Muani has been Juventus’ most direct attacking weapon lately, with two goals and nine shots across his last five appearances, and his movement in behind should trouble a Rennes back line that has looked shaky away from home. On the other side, Esteban Lepaul has been the standout performer for Rennes, scoring four goals in just three matches. We expect both forwards to get looks at goal here, even if the final scoreline favours the hosts.
Hot stat: Lepaul has fired 12 shots in only three recent outings for Rennes, more attempts than any other player involved in this fixture, a sign that Rennes’ away trip to Turin could still produce goals at the other end.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Allianz Stadium, Turin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
Juventus vs Rennes prediction
We predict Juventus to win this one, and we like the combination of a home victory with both teams finding the net. Juventus have conceded only once across their two League Phase matches so far, but their domestic defensive record has been shakier, and Rennes have scored in four of their last five outings regardless of result. Perhaps the smarter angle for value hunters is Juventus to win combined with over 2.5 goals, given how open both sides have been defensively in their most recent matches.
Style-wise, Juventus have actually committed more fouls across their last five games (53) than Rennes (41), yet picked up far fewer yellow cards, just four compared to Rennes’ eleven. That suggests referees have been quicker to caution Rennes players, which could matter if the visitors need to defend for long spells. Juventus also dominate possession territory, completing close to 89% of their attempted passes compared to roughly 86% for Rennes, a gap that should let the hosts control tempo and dictate where the game is played.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Esteban Lepaul to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Juventus’ form has been inconsistent domestically despite their flawless European start. The 0-3 home defeat to Lazio was the low point of their last five matches, sandwiched between a 2-1 win over Celta Vigo, a 1-1 draw with Cagliari, a 0-1 loss to Cremonese, and a 2-0 win against Atalanta. That mix of two wins, two losses and a draw in their last five matches overall shows a side still searching for consistency outside continental competition. In our preview of Juventus vs Lazio we called a home win built around Kolo Muani’s quality in front of goal, and the 0-3 result went against us, a reminder that Spalletti’s side can still be caught cold defensively.
Rennes head into this one having lost three of their last five matches, with their most recent outing a 3-4 defeat away at Paris. Before that they beat OFI Crete 2-1 and thrashed Auxerre 4-1, but losses to Laval and Lyon either side of those wins point to a defense that leaks goals regularly. In our preview of Paris vs Rennes we backed Rennes to avoid defeat and even take all three points, and the 3-4 scoreline went against that call, though the over 2.5 goals element of our pick did land.
🚨Check out our dedicated Juventus vs Rennes stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Juventus the favourite
- Moneyline Juventus 1.57 | Rennes 5.40
- Draw 4.20
The market is heavily tilted toward Juventus, with bookmakers giving the hosts around 60% implied win probability against roughly 17% for Rennes and 22% for a draw. That gap makes sense given Juventus’ perfect League Phase record and home advantage at the Allianz Stadium, though the odds on Rennes still feel slightly generous considering how often they’ve found the net recently. We wouldn’t rule out backing Rennes to score alongside a Juventus win as a way to extract more value than the plain moneyline offers.
Possible Starting Lineups
Juventus possible starting eleven
- GK: Carlo Pinsoglio
- DF: Andrea Cambiaso, Gleison Bremer, Federico Gatti, Pierre Kalulu
- MF: Weston McKennie, Douglas Luiz
- FW: Francisco Conceicao, Teun Koopmeiners, Nicolas Gonzalez, Randal Kolo Muani
Spalletti’s preferred 4-2-3-1 keeps Bremer and Gatti as the central pairing that has conceded just once in Europe this season, while Kolo Muani leads the line with support from Conceicao and Koopmeiners behind him. Watch for McKennie’s energy in midfield, he has started all five recent matches and offers cover both ways.
Rennes possible starting eleven
- GK: Brice Samba
- DF: Przemysław Frankowski, Anthony Rouault, Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal, Mahamadou Nagida
- MF: Valentin Rongier, Mahdi Camara, Adrien Thomasson
- FW: Mousa Al-Tamari, Esteban Lepaul, Boulaye Dia
Haise tends to set Rennes up in a 4-3-3, and Lepaul’s recent scoring form earns him a central striker’s role flanked by Al-Tamari and Dia. Samba remains the clear first choice in goal, and Rongier’s experience in midfield should help Rennes try to control the tempo against a stronger side.
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Rennes. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our punters team leans toward a Juventus win here, likely by a two-goal margin, but we expect Rennes to find the net given Lepaul’s current scoring streak and the leaks in Juventus’ domestic defense lately. The stats point to a home side with superior possession and shot volume facing a visiting attack that punches above its overall form. Backing Juventus to win combined with both teams scoring feels like the sharper read on this matchup than a simple moneyline bet, and corners should run plentiful given both sides’ recent averages near six per match.
