Juan Pablo II vs Los Chankas Prediction: 14.06.2025 Liga 1 Apertura

On June 14th, Juan Pablo II faces off against Los Chankas in a Liga 1 Apertura clash that not only holds significance for both teams’ league ambitions but also offers fascinating angles for punters. With the Apertura entering its crucial stages and both sides hovering near the lower mid-table, neither can afford to slip further behind. The clash at Brann Stadion in Bergen is made even more intriguing given both teams’ uneven form and the presence of several young players eager to seize their moments especially in front of attentive scouts.

Two key players to closely watch in this matchup are Los Chankas’ rising striker, I. Camargo, who has netted three goals in his last two appearances and seems to be hitting form at the most vital juncture, and Juan Pablo II’s defensive anchor, Renzo Alfani, whose leadership and aerial presence can be critical in containing Los Chankas’ pacy counters.

One “hot stat” worth noting: Los Chankas have registered 26 total shots in their previous five matches, showcasing their willingness to pull the trigger and keep opposing defenses under pressure.

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Juan Pablo II vs Los Chankas prediction

Given the teams’ recent form and statistical indicators, the contest shapes up to be tightly fought. Juan Pablo II’s defense remains porous (20 goals conceded in 12 matches), while Los Chankas, despite a slightly better offensive output, have struggled for consistency away from home. The bookmakers’ odds tilt slightly towards Juan Pablo II, reflecting home advantage, yet both teams exhibit patterns of low efficiency in front of goal and a tendency to engage in physical battles factors often culminating in cagey draws in Liga 1.

Juan Pablo II tend to adopt a compact 4-3-3, prioritizing numerical stability at the back and explosive transitions upfield. They average 11 fouls and four yellow cards over the last five outings evidence of a combative midfield approach, sometimes tipping into reckless territory. Los Chankas line up with a 5-4-1, striving for midfield control and quick exploitation of opposition fullbacks, but also rank high in total fouls (17 in past five), highlighting their physicality. Notably, both sides struggle for prolonged control in games Juan Pablo II have a notable pass accuracy (649 passes, 31 percent accuracy last five), but this hasn’t translated into a dominance of territory or scoring opportunities. Expect a match with chances at both ends but potentially stifled by aggressive midfield duels.

Team Analysis

Juan Pablo II: Their recent form has been erratic heavy defeat to Deportivo Garcilaso (0-4) not only dented morale, but also exposed defensive gaps, especially against teams willing to press and overload in central areas. Their best performance came in the 2-0 win over table leaders Universitario de Deportes, when rapid ball recoveries and efficient counterattacks paid dividends. However, the inability to keep Ayacucho or Tarma from finding the net in otherwise winnable draws points to focus and discipline issues late in games. The side’s lack of creativity in midfield, coupled with frequent yellow cards, could restrict their attacking rhythm.

Los Chankas: The visitors come in with a more promising run of results, notching victories over Cajamarca (2-1) and Binacional (2-1) while earning an entertaining 3-3 draw with Cusco. Their last outing a 2-1 defeat at home to Alianza Atletico revealed frailties on set-pieces and occasional lapses in transition defense. Nevertheless, their attack looks sharper, with Camargo and José Miguel Manzaneda providing width, pace, and direct threat. The downside: Los Chankas often commit too many bodies forward, making them vulnerable to counters, and their overall pass accuracy (510 last five) lags behind league rivals.

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🚨Read our full Juan Pablo II vs Los Chankas stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Juan Pablo II the favourite

• Moneyline Juan Pablo II 2.32 | Los Chankas 3.10
• Draw 3.08
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.74
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.96 | No 1.80

The odds make Juan Pablo II a narrow favourite, largely due to home advantage and not necessarily consistent performance. The draw is priced attractively, reflecting both teams’ pattern of stalemates and low scoring. The Under 2.5 selection is a strong proposition based on each side’s offensive inefficiency and defensive tendencies, while the “No” on Both Teams to Score further reinforces the likelihood of a low-scoring, hard-fought affair.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Los Chankas’ likely 5-4-1 prioritizes defensive solidity and quick transitions upfield. Camargo, in goal-scoring form, will spearhead the attack, supported by robust midfielders eager to win second balls and release wide runners. The formation allows for defensive flexibility, with fullbacks expected to tuck in when under pressure.

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My take on the Match

This encounter is poised to be a physical chess match, rather than an end-to-end shootout. Given recent form, injuries, and the tactical conservatism of both managers, a low-scoring result or stalemate appears the most probable. My main pick is for Under 2.5 goals, with Draw No Bet on Los Chankas providing attractive insurance for value hunters. For those chasing higher odds, a correct score of 1-1 is not beyond reason. While Juan Pablo II have home advantage, Los Chankas’ incremental improvement and sharper attack might just tilt the scales — if they can keep their defensive lapses in check.

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