Jordan vs Argentina Prediction: 28.06.2026 World Cup

Group J closes out on June 28 in Dallas, and Argentina arrive needing only a formality. The defending champions have collected six points from six, scored five without conceding, and Lionel Messi is already the tournament’s standout individual. Jordan, sitting on zero points and minus-three goal difference, must win to have any mathematical hope of progressing, yet the bookmakers give them just a 7% shot at pulling that off.

The real intrigue here is not the result but the scoreline. Argentina have scored in clusters, and Jordan have shipped five goals across their two group games. Messi, with six goals in four recent outings, is the obvious name to watch. For Jordan, Mousa Al-Tamari has contributed two assists and leads the team in shots, making him the one player capable of causing a brief scare on the counter.

Hot stat: Argentina have scored 10 goals across their last five matches while conceding zero. Jordan have conceded five goals in just two World Cup group games. The gap in attacking output is stark, and it points directly toward a high-scoring Argentina performance in Dallas.

Jordan vs Argentina Prediction

Argentina winning this match is essentially a certainty at these odds, and the real value sits elsewhere. The most attractive market is the Asian handicap or the total goals line. Argentina scored three against both Algeria and Austria in this tournament, and Jordan have conceded at least two in every recent competitive fixture. We predict Argentina to win and over 3.5 goals to land, with Messi scoring at least once.

Jordan’s style under Jamal Sellami leans on a compact 4-4-2, but their pass accuracy across the last five matches sits at just 701 out of 934 attempted passes, which is a poor return. They lose the ball frequently, 53 times from Ali Olwan alone, and that hands Argentina’s midfield easy transition opportunities. Argentina commit more fouls (55 across five matches) than Jordan (41), which reflects their aggressive press rather than any disciplinary concern. Valentin Barco carries two yellow cards, and Facundo Medina also has two, so there is some risk in Argentina’s backline pushing forward, but it rarely costs them.

Jordan’s nine corner kicks across five matches compared to Argentina’s eleven tells a similar story. Argentina control territory and generate set-piece opportunities consistently. With 57 total shots across five games versus Jordan’s 41, the volume of attacking play Argentina will produce in Dallas should be more than enough to cover a wide handicap.

Team Analysis

Jordan entered this World Cup group stage with limited competitive preparation, and the results have reflected that. They lost 1-3 to Austria in their opener and then fell 1-2 to Algeria, conceding five goals total while scoring just two. Their form over the last 30 days reads four losses from four matches, and they have not won a single game in 2026. Their most recent pre-tournament fixture was a 1-4 defeat to Switzerland, which further underlined the defensive fragility that Argentina will look to expose from the first whistle.

Argentina have been clinical throughout. They beat Algeria 3-0 and Austria 2-0 in the group stage, and before that they dispatched Iceland 3-0 and Honduras 2-0 in warm-up fixtures. Their only blemish across 15 recent matches is a single loss, and their 100% win rate in 2026 across six matches is the most dominant record in the tournament so far. Scaloni’s side have conceded zero goals in the group stage, and their defensive shape has looked composed even when they rotate. The 4-2-3-1 system gives Messi freedom to drift and create, while the double pivot of Enzo Fernández and Rodrigo De Paul recycles possession efficiently.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

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Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Argentina the Favourite

• Moneyline Jordan 14.00 | Argentina 1.18
• Draw 7.50

Argentina at 1.17 to 1.20 across bookmakers is essentially a near-certain outcome priced accordingly. The draw at 7.50 and Jordan at 14.00 reflect the reality of the situation. To be honest, the moneyline on Argentina carries almost no value at those prices. The smarter approach is to target player props, total goals markets, or the Asian handicap. Megapari and 888starz offer Argentina at 1.20, which is the ceiling of the available range, but even that barely justifies a straight win bet. The over 3.5 goals market and Messi to score are where the genuine value lies for this fixture.

Possible Starting Lineups

Jordan Possible Starting Eleven

Sellami is likely to stick with his 4-4-2 given there is nothing to lose. Yazeed Abulaila starts in goal after accumulating 14 saves across four matches, which is the only reason Jordan’s conceding numbers are not worse. Al-Tamari is the player to watch up front. He leads Jordan in shots (12) and has two assists, and he will look to run in behind Argentina’s high defensive line. Nizar Al-Rashdan has the only goal from midfield and brings some energy in transition. Jordan will need a near-perfect performance from Abulaila and a clinical counter to have any hope.

Argentina Possible Starting Eleven

Scaloni will likely rotate given Argentina are already through, but the core of this team has been consistent. Rulli gets the start ahead of Emiliano Martínez in a rotation pattern. Lisandro Martínez leads the backline with 240 accurate passes from 249 attempted, making him the metronome of the defensive build-up. Messi, with six goals in four recent matches and 14 shots, simply cannot be left out regardless of the opponent. Lautaro Martínez has scored once and assisted once, and the two of them form a partnership that Jordan’s defence has no answer for. The 4-2-3-1 shape gives Barco and De Paul freedom to overload the flanks, and we expect goals to come early and often.

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The Verdict

Argentina win this match, and we predict they do so comfortably. Jordan have conceded five in two group games, lost all four matches in the last 30 days, and carry the worst pass accuracy in the group. Argentina, on the other hand, have scored 10 goals across five recent matches, given up nothing in the tournament, and have Messi operating at a level no Group J side has been able to handle.

We predict Argentina to win by at least three goals, with Messi scoring at least once and the total goals landing over 3.5. Perhaps Jordan sneak one on the counter through Al-Tamari, which is why BTTS yes is worth considering, but the direction of this match is not in doubt. Argentina advance as group winners, and Jordan head home after a tough introduction to World Cup football.

Also Read: Jordan vs Argentina Betting Odds
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Also Read: Jordan vs Argentina Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form (Updated June 2026)
Also Read: Jordan 2026 World Cup Preview: Squad, Odds, Prediction & Best Bets
Also Read: Argentina 2026 World Cup Preview: Squad, Odds, Prediction & Best Bets

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