Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas Prediction: 10.08.2026 Primera A Clausura

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Jaguares de Cordoba host Once Caldas at Estadio Jaragüay in Monteria in what looks like a very one-sided affair on paper. Jaguares sit dead last in the Clausura table with zero points from three games and have been outscored 6-0, while Once Caldas arrive in decent form, scoring seven goals across their last five matches. The interesting angle here is that the last time these two met, Jaguares held Once Caldas to a 1-1 draw at odds the bookmakers heavily favored the visitors.

Michael Barrios has been a consistent threat for Once Caldas, contributing one goal and one assist across his last three appearances while generating eight total shots, the most of any outfield player in their recent squad data. For Jaguares, Rafael Bustamante has been one of their few active presences in midfield, logging 146 passes and six free kicks across five matches, though without any direct goal contributions to show for it.

Hot stat: Once Caldas have scored 13 goals across their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Jaguares have failed to score in each of their last four league outings.

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas Prediction

Once Caldas are the clear pick here. They have won three of their last five matches, carry a 60% win rate over the past 30 days, and are scoring freely. Jaguares have not found the net in their last four competitive games and carry a 0% win rate over the same period. The gap in quality is reflected in the standings: Once Caldas sit 10th with four points, Jaguares are 19th with none.

Both teams line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, so the tactical battle will come down to execution rather than formation surprises. Jaguares commit fouls at a high rate, 38 across five matches, compared to Once Caldas’s 29, which means set-piece opportunities will favor the visitors. Once Caldas also dominate in pass accuracy, with 1,111 accurate passes versus Jaguares’s 834, suggesting they will control possession and dictate tempo. Jaguares have managed just 34 total shots across five games, a figure Once Caldas surpass in roughly two and a half matches on their own. We predict Once Caldas to win with goals to spare.

Team Analysis

Jaguares de Cordoba have been in freefall. They have lost their last three games in the Clausura without scoring once, conceding six goals in the process. In their most recent match, a 0-1 home loss to Internacional de Bogota, they managed just a handful of shots and were largely passive in possession. Going further back, they fell 0-3 to Atletico Nacional and 0-2 to Deportivo Cali. Their only win in the last five came against Yumbo FC, a side ranked well outside the top half of Colombian football. The squad data tells the same story: no player has registered a goal or assist in their last five matches, and the goalkeeper Franklin Mosquera has made 16 saves across that stretch, which speaks to how exposed their defense has been.

Once Caldas come into this fixture off a 0-1 defeat to America de Cali, but that result should not overshadow their broader form. Before that loss, they beat Envigado FC 3-0 twice and dismantled Cucuta 5-1, with Jefry Zapata scoring twice and Andrés Roa and Andres Colorado each contributing goals. The 2-2 draw with Santa Fe sandwiched between those wins showed they can be vulnerable to direct attacks, but the overall output of seven goals in five games reflects a productive attack. Coach Hernán Herrera has a settled squad with multiple contributors across positions, and the team has conceded only four goals in their last five league games.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Once Caldas the Favourite

• Moneyline Jaguares de Cordoba 4.10 | Once Caldas 2.00
• Draw 3.26
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The market places Once Caldas as heavy favorites at around 2.00, which aligns with their superior form, better squad depth, and Jaguares’s complete lack of attacking output. The 4.10 on Jaguares reflects a near-statistical impossibility given their current run. The draw at 3.26 carries some historical value given the 1-1 result from the Apertura meeting, but Jaguares’s regression since that match makes a repeat unlikely. Once Caldas at 2.00 is fair value for a team that has scored in every one of their last five games against an opponent that has not scored in four.

Possible Starting Lineups

Jaguares de Cordoba Possible Starting Eleven

Coach Hubert Bodhert is likely to stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has been his default setup. Franklin Mosquera starts in goal after logging 270 minutes across five matches and making 16 saves. The back four picks itself based on appearances, with Jerson Malagon and Edwin Martinez as the more defensively active of the four. Rafael Bustamante is the most productive passer in the squad and operates as the engine in midfield. Up front, Wilfrido De la Rosa has the most minutes among the forwards, though none of them have contributed a goal this run.

Once Caldas Possible Starting Eleven

Hernán Herrera fields a 4-2-3-1 as well, with Joan Parra as the starting goalkeeper based on 270 minutes played. Juan Cuesta has been excellent at the back, adding two assists from center-back. Michael Barrios is the player to watch in attack, combining pace and directness with eight shots across three games. Jefry Zapata, with two goals in three appearances, gives Once Caldas a genuine goal threat centrally. Andrés Roa adds creativity from midfield with one goal and one assist.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

The numbers point decisively toward Once Caldas. They outscore Jaguares by 13 goals to zero across the last five matches, dominate in shots, passing, and interceptions, and have multiple players contributing at both ends of the pitch. Jaguares have not scored in four straight games and face a visitor who has found the net in every recent outing. We predict an Once Caldas win, most likely without reply, with the Over 2.5 goals line looking achievable given the visitors’ attacking output. The “Once Caldas to Win to Nil” tip is perhaps the most honest reflection of the current gap between these two sides.

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