Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Bialystok hosts a meeting between two sides who badly need a result in the Europa League table. Jagiellonia sit 17th with three points from two games, while Anderlecht occupy 29th place without a single point to their name yet. Both clubs arrive carrying domestic baggage too: the Poles have lost four of their last six matches in all competitions, and the Belgians have dropped back-to-back games after a run of three straight wins. The interesting wrinkle here is that Anderlecht remain bookmaker favourites at 42% despite having zero points in the league phase, which tells us the market still trusts their squad quality over Jagiellonia’s slightly better points tally.
Jesús Imaz has been Jagiellonia’s most productive creator lately, contributing a goal and an assist across his last three appearances, and his movement between the lines could be the difference against an Anderlecht side that sometimes gets stretched. On the other side, Adriano Bertaccini has started finding the net for Anderlecht and his hold-up play gives the visitors a focal point up front that Jagiellonia’s defense will need to track closely.
Hot stat: Jagiellonia have conceded in four of their last five matches across all competitions, including three games where they shipped multiple goals, a worrying number for a side about to face an Anderlecht attack that has scored in four of its last five outings too.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction
We lean toward Anderlecht avoiding defeat here, and our pick is Draw No Bet on the visitors. Anderlecht have won three of their last five matches overall against a 33% winrate for Jagiellonia over the last month, and the Belgian side’s two League Phase losses have both come by a single goal, hardly the form of a team that deserves zero points. Jagiellonia’s home draw against Ararat-Armenia aside, the hosts have struggled to keep clean sheets, and that defensive leakiness is exactly the kind of opening Anderlecht’s wide players can exploit.
Jagiellonia have racked up more fouls (48 to 28) and more yellow cards (6 to 4) across their last five matches than Anderlecht, suggesting a side that defends through physical contact rather than clean positioning. Anderlecht’s passing numbers look tidier too, completing around 88% of their attempts compared to roughly 81% for the hosts. That gap in ball control could let the visitors dictate tempo in Bialystok, even if Jagiellonia’s home crowd gives them an early push.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet – Anderlecht |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Jagiellonia’s last outing ended in a 0-1 loss to Zaglebie, their fourth defeat in six matches, and a result that continued a pattern of them struggling to turn possession into goals. Before that came a 3-1 win over Ararat-Armenia in the League Phase. In our preview of Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia we backed the hosts to win with both teams scoring, and the 3-1 final score delivered exactly that. Beyond that match, a 1-3 loss to Gornik Zabrze and a 1-2 defeat to Polonia Warszawa highlight a worrying habit of conceding first and chasing games, something that will hurt them against a sharper Anderlecht side.
Anderlecht head into this one off the back of a 1-2 loss to Beerschot VA, their second straight defeat after three consecutive wins. The previous game was a 0-1 loss to Dinamo Zagreb in the League Phase. In our preview of Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht we flagged over 2.5 goals and BTTS as the smarter angle given both sides’ leaky defenses, but the tight 0-1 scoreline went against that call since Anderlecht failed to score and the game stayed well under the total. Before that, Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge 2-1, Reims 3-0 and Zulte Waregem 3-0, a run that shows real attacking quality when their confidence is up.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Jagiellonia and Anderlecht have no recent competitive meetings on record between them, so there is no past head-to-head form to lean on for this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht stats page for more info.
Jagiellonia. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Anderlecht the favourite
- Moneyline Jagiellonia 3.10 | Anderlecht 2.25
- Draw 3.50
The odds line up with the bookmakers’ percentages, giving Anderlecht a clear edge at just over 2.0 while Jagiellonia sits closer to 3.10 for a home win. The draw price around 3.50 feels generous given how tight both teams’ recent results have been, and we think there is value hiding in that draw-or-Anderlecht combination rather than chasing the straight away win at shorter odds.
Possible Starting Lineups
Jagiellonia possible starting eleven
- GK: Sławomir Abramowicz
- DF: Yuki Kobayashi, Bernardo Vital, Dušan Stojinović, Bartlomiej Wdowik
- MF: Taras Romanczuk, Eryk Kozlowski, Jesús Imaz, Ferslev Anders Klynge, Kajetan Szmyt
- FW: Kamil Jóźwiak
Siemieniec’s likely 4-2-3-1 keeps Abramowicz in goal after his 11 saves across three starts, while Kobayashi and Vital anchor a back four built around high pass volume rather than physicality. Imaz pulls the strings behind Jóźwiak, who leads the attack on recent goal output.
Anderlecht possible starting eleven
- GK: Colin Coosemans
- DF: Leo Petrot, Kais Barry, Ali Maamar, Ludwig Augustinsson
- MF: Marco Kana, Lukas Ambros, Mario Stroeykens, Thelo Aasgaard, Romeo Amane
- FW: Tawfik Bentayeb
Vítor Bruno sticks with the same 4-2-3-1 shape, trusting Coosemans between the posts after eight saves in his last two outings. Kana and Ambros should shield the back four, freeing Stroeykens to link play toward Bentayeb, the man most likely to test Jagiellonia’s shaky backline.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Anderlecht. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Anderlecht leave Bialystok unbeaten, perhaps by the smallest of margins. Jagiellonia’s recent defensive habits, four goals conceded in five matches combined with a shaky pass completion rate, give the visitors enough openings even in an off-form spell. To be honest, neither side looks ready to produce a high-scoring affair right now, so our combined lean stays Draw No Bet Anderlecht alongside Under 2.5 goals and no BTTS, with Anderlecht’s extra quality in midfield proving the deciding factor over ninety minutes.
