Liam Duckstein
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Ipswich host Liverpool at Portman Road in what looks like a serious mismatch on paper, yet the home side arrives in surprisingly strong form. Gary O’Neil’s team has won six of its last eight matches across all competitions, while Andoni Iraola’s Liverpool have managed just one win in their last four. Liverpool are yet to win in the Premier League this season, sitting on two draws after two games, and that vulnerability makes this fixture far more interesting than the odds suggest.
Two players to watch closely: Marcelino Núñez has been Ipswich’s most productive midfielder in recent outings, contributing two goals and showing a pass accuracy north of 95% in his last five appearances. For Liverpool, Florian Wirtz has been their most dangerous attacker, registering a goal and an assist and attempting nine shots across his last four matches.
A standout stat from Liverpool’s recent run: Alexander Isak has attempted ten shots across his last four appearances, the highest total of any player on either side, and has converted two of them. That shooting volume against an Ipswich defence that has conceded six goals in two Premier League games is a genuine concern for the home team.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich |
| 🗓️ Date: | 04.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction
Liverpool are the clear favourite, but their slow Premier League start and inconsistent form over the past month make backing them at short odds a risky move. The better value lies in the goals markets. Both teams have shown a willingness to attack and both have leaked goals. Ipswich scored four against Manchester United before shipping five, and Liverpool have drawn 2-2 in each of their two league games. Goals look likely from both ends.
We predict the Over 2.5 goals market as the strongest play here. Liverpool average 65 shots across their last five matches compared to Ipswich’s 34, which shows a significant difference in attacking output. Liverpool also commit more fouls (47 vs 35) and accumulate more yellow cards (9 vs 6), suggesting a physical, open game. Ipswich’s pass accuracy data shows they are capable of building play, but Liverpool’s 33 interceptions in five games means they press aggressively and force turnovers. That back-and-forth pattern makes goals from both sides quite plausible.
- We predict a Liverpool win, but the margin will be tighter than their odds imply.
- Over 2.5 goals is the strongest value play given both teams’ recent scoring patterns.
- Both Teams to Score looks likely, with Ipswich having scored in each of their last five matches.
- Liverpool to win and both teams to score is perhaps the most complete single-line bet here.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Liverpool Win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Ipswich come into this match carrying genuine momentum. They beat Leicester 3-1 and Sunderland 2-1 in back-to-back games before the new Premier League season began, and they also picked up a 4-2 win over Union Berlin. Their most recent outing was a 2-5 loss to Manchester United, which ended a strong run, but that result came against a side in reasonable form themselves. O’Neil’s team has been direct and effective in attack, with Chuba Akpom, Jack Clarke, and Sindre Walle Egeli all contributing goals in the last five games. The concern is defensive. Ipswich have conceded nine goals in their last two Premier League matches, and that fragility at the back is hard to ignore.
Liverpool’s recent form is more difficult to read. They lost 2-4 to Leeds, then beat Como 2-0, drew 2-2 with Newcastle, and drew 2-2 with Nottingham Forest. That is one win in four, and the two draws in the Premier League have left them without a single league victory so far. To be honest, Iraola’s side have the attacking talent to punish any defence, as Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak, and Florian Wirtz have all contributed goals or assists recently. The problem has been consistency. Liverpool are conceding too often for a side of their quality, and the 2-3 loss to Monaco before the league season started hinted at defensive softness.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Ipswich | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ipswich vs Liverpool stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Liverpool the Favourite
- Moneyline Ipswich 5.10 | Liverpool 1.57
- Draw 4.40
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.75 | Under 2.5 2.10
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.95
Liverpool at around 1.57 reflects the bookmakers’ 60% win probability, and to be honest that feels about right given their squad depth. The draw at 4.40 carries some appeal given Liverpool’s inconsistency, but backing Ipswich outright at 5.10 is a stretch unless you are purely chasing value. The BTTS market at around 1.85 for Yes is where we see genuine value. Both sides have scored in every recent fixture, and neither defence has looked watertight.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ipswich Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Kjell Scherpen
- DF: Jacob Greaves, Dara O’Shea, Issa Diop, Leif Davis
- MF: Marcelino Núñez, Saša Lukić, Julio Enciso
- FW: Jack Clarke, Chuba Akpom, Kasey McAteer
O’Neil has settled on a 4-2-3-1 shape, and this selection reflects the players who have featured most consistently across the last five games. Kjell Scherpen gets the nod in goal after appearing in three of the last five matches. Dara O’Shea has been solid at centre-back and Issa Diop offers physical presence alongside him. Marcelino Núñez is the standout name here, with two goals and a 95% pass accuracy rate making him the engine of this midfield. Julio Enciso has contributed two assists and adds creativity in the number ten role, while Chuba Akpom leads the line with the energy and movement to trouble Liverpool’s backline.
Liverpool Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Jeremie Frimpong, Virgil van Dijk, Ronald Araujo, Milos Kerkez
- MF: Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz
- FW: Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak, Víctor Muñoz
Iraola looks likely to persist with the 4-2-3-1 that has been Liverpool’s go-to shape. Alisson Becker starts in goal, and Virgil van Dijk anchors a back four that includes the industrious Jeremie Frimpong on the right. Dominik Szoboszlai has been one of Liverpool’s busiest players across the last five matches, logging 346 minutes and eight shots. Florian Wirtz operates in the creative central role and is the player most likely to unlock Ipswich’s defence. Alexander Isak leads the attack and, with ten shots in four games, poses the biggest individual threat in this fixture.
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Liverpool. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a Liverpool win, but not a clean sheet. Ipswich have scored in all five of their most recent matches and carry enough attacking threat to find the net at Portman Road. Liverpool’s attacking trio of Wirtz, Isak, and Gakpo have the quality to hurt any defence, and Ipswich’s record of conceding six in their first two league games signals real vulnerability. The head-to-head record also favours Liverpool clearly, with six goals scored against Ipswich’s one across the last two meetings.
The most complete bet for this match is Liverpool to win with both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals is a solid companion market. Liverpool’s pass volume and shot output across the last five games far exceeds Ipswich’s, and even with the home side’s recent form, the quality gap on the day is hard to overlook.
