Rafael Nogueira
Internacional faces Athletic Club in a Copa do Brasil Round 5 clash at Estádio Beira Rio, with the hosts holding a clear statistical and historical advantage. The last head-to-head saw Internacional winning 2-1 away, and now, with home support, Paulo Pezzolano’s squad looks poised for another dominant display. Key figures: Alan Patrick for Internacional, orchestrating the midfield, and Lucas Belezi for Athletic Club, a rare defensive scorer. Both keepers—Anthoni Spier Souza and Luan Polli—are worth watching for their recent consistency.
Hot stat: Internacional produced 99 total shots in their last five matches—nearly triple Athletic Club’s output, underlining their attacking intent.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa do Brasil 2026, Round 5 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:30 CEST |
Internacional vs Athletic Club prediction
We predict Internacional will win convincingly. Their high shot count and superior passing (81% accuracy in the last five) contrast sharply with Athletic Club’s 17% win rate over the past month. Internacional’s midfield—driven by Alan Patrick and Rodrigo Villagra—controls tempo and possession, while Athletic’s formation leans defensive but still leaks goals (four conceded in last five). Athletic’s tendency for yellow cards (15 in five games) and high foul count (92) may lead to suspensions or missed tackles, opening more chances for the home side. Expect Internacional’s disciplined ball movement to wear down Athletic’s back line.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Internacional to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Internacional’s recent matches show a side growing in stability. Their last outing, a 2-2 draw with Coritiba, featured resilience after falling behind. Previously, a 2-0 win against Fluminense underlined their ability to control games against stronger opposition. Recent results: dldllwwdwdlwdwd. The attacking setup (4-2-3-1) provides width and fluidity, with Alerrandro and Carbonero pressing high.
Athletic Club enters this tie after a 0-0 draw with Cuiaba. They rarely threaten—just 34 shots in five games, and have only one win from their last six. Their form: ldddwwwddwllldd. The team often struggles to progress the ball (pass accuracy: 81% vs. Internacional’s 81% but with far fewer attempts), and a three-red-card streak in five matches signals discipline problems that may cost them. Their 4-4-2 setup has not solved goal-scoring issues.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Internacional | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| Total shots | 15 | 7 |
| Free kicks | 16 | 12 |
| Corner kicks | 6 | 3 |
| Total fouls | 19 | 18 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83 | 74 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 12 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Internacional vs Athletic Club stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Internacional the favourite
- Moneyline Internacional 1.26–1.31 | Athletic Club 9.20–11.00
- Draw 4.60–5.30
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.55 | No 1.50
Bookmakers rate Internacional as clear favorites, with average win probability above 70%. The home side’s attacking form and defensive discipline support these odds. Draw odds reflect Athletic Club’s lack of attacking threat. BTTS No is favored due to Internacional’s reliable back line and Athletic’s goal drought. Over 2.5 is reasonable, given Internacional’s shot output and Athletic’s tendency to concede.
Possible Starting Lineups
Internacional possible starting eleven
- GK: Anthoni Spier Souza
- DF: Gabriel Mercado, Alexandro Bernabéi, Felix Torres, Brian Aguirre
- MF: Rodrigo Villagra, Thiago Maia, Alan Patrick, Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula
- FW: Alerrandro, Johan Carbonero
This lineup leverages the 4-2-3-1 formation. Bernabéi’s four goals from defense stand out, while Alan Patrick’s playmaking and Alerrandro’s recent goal/assist streak offer attacking edge. Defensive stability relies on Mercado and Torres, both strong in duels. Expect Carbonero’s pace on the wing to stretch Athletic’s defense.
Athletic Club possible starting eleven
- GK: Luan Polli
- DF: Lucas Belezi, Diogo Batista de Souza, Jhonatan, Douglas da Silva Santos
- MF: Gustavo Cesar Mendonca Gravino, Maswel Ananias Silva, Kauan Rodrigues da Silva, Dixon Vera
- FW: Leo Chu, Kauan Rodrigues da Silva
Alex’s 4-4-2 favors defensive solidity but lacks firepower up front. Belezi’s leadership at the back is vital, especially with Jhonatan’s recent red card issues. Midfield looks industrious, with Kauan Rodrigues da Silva offering occasional goals. Athletic Club’s formation must remain compact to avoid conceding early.
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Internacional. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Internacional to dominate this Copa do Brasil match. Their stats—99 shots, 35 corners, and 11 goals in five games—show attacking variety and intent. Athletic Club’s discipline woes (three red cards, high foul count) and lack of attacking edge suggest limited resistance. Internacional’s tactical discipline, higher pass completion, and greater shot volume should convert into a comfortable win. Athletic Club will likely focus on damage limitation. Over 2.5 goals and Internacional to score in both halves look strong value.
