Sofia Quijada
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Two sides sitting on 12 points apiece meet in this Clausura fixture, with Internacional de Bogota 11th and Once Caldas 10th in the standings, separated by goal difference alone. Once Caldas arrive with a more decisive recent run, three wins and four defeats without a single draw in their last seven games, while Internacional have drawn four of their previous eight. The head to head series tilts firmly toward the visitors too: Once Caldas have won four of the last five meetings, outscoring Internacional 9-3 across those games, a trend our team at TipsGG cannot ignore when framing this preview.
Dayro Moreno remains Once Caldas’ main outlet, having scored twice and racked up 10 shots across his last four appearances, while Diego Duarte has been Internacional’s sharpest attacker with 2 goals and 8 shots in the same span. Both strikers look primed to decide a tight match.
Hot stat: Once Caldas have completed passes at an 82.7% accuracy rate over their last five matches compared to Internacional’s 76.4%, despite both clubs occupying the bottom third of the table, a gap that could matter once possession turns into chances.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera A 2026, Clausura (Colombia) |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:00 CEST |
Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas prediction
We lean toward Once Caldas edging this one. Their shot volume of 86 attempts in the last five games, well above Internacional’s 55, combined with superior passing accuracy, suggests a team more comfortable creating and finishing chances even while sitting low in the table. Internacional’s four draws in eight matches this month point to a side struggling to convert control into results, and that pattern gives Once Caldas the value pick here, perhaps not by a wide margin, but enough to back them at the current price.
Internacional commit fouls at a rate of roughly 9.2 per game with 11 yellow cards in five matches, a fairly physical approach without discipline problems. Once Caldas foul slightly more often, near 9.8 per game, and picked up a red card in that span alongside 8 yellows, hinting at moments of ill-discipline under pressure. That combination, high fouls from both sides plus Once Caldas’ occasional lapse in composure, should produce a scrappy, stop-start match with a fair number of set pieces.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dayro Moreno to score & Once Caldas to win |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Internacional de Bogota’s most recent outing ended goalless against Deportivo Pereira, a game that mirrors their season pattern of drawing more than they should against sides they’d normally beat. Before that they lost 2-0 to Bucaramanga and 3-2 to Atletico Nacional despite scoring twice, results that expose a leaky defense conceding 8 goals across their last five matches. The 3-2 win over Llaneros remains their best result in this stretch, but consistency is clearly missing under Ricardo Valiño.
Once Caldas head into this fixture off a 3-1 defeat to Bucaramanga, their fourth loss in seven outings, continuing a rough patch that includes a 1-0 loss to Deportivo Pasto and a 1-2 defeat to Deportivo Cali. They did beat Deportes Tolima 1-0 and Alianza Petrolera 1-0 in that same window, showing they can grind out narrow wins when their defense holds firm. Hernán Herrera’s side has scored in four of their last five matches, a modest but steady output that keeps them competitive on the road.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Internacional de Bogota | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 5 meetings combined) | 3 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Once Caldas the favourite
- Moneyline Internacional de Bogota 2.71 | Once Caldas 2.57
- Draw 2.94
The market keeps this fixture tight, but the average odds give Once Caldas the slight edge, matching the 35% implied probability from bookmakers versus Internacional’s 34%. Given the history between these two and Once Caldas’ better shot and pass numbers, we think that narrow favoritism is justified, even if a draw at close to 2.94 remains a real possibility given how often Internacional have shared the points recently.
Internacional de Bogota. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Internacional de Bogota possible starting eleven
- GK: Wuilker Faríñez
- DF: Joan Castro, Miguel Pernia, Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías, Mateo Rodas
- MF: Larry Vásquez, Johan Caballero, Facundo Boné, Dewar Victoria
- FW: Fabricio Sanguinetti, Diego Duarte
Valiño should stick with the 4-2-3-1 shape used in four of the last five matches. Faríñez has started every recent game and racked up 13 saves, confirming his status as first choice. Diego Duarte, with 2 goals in this stretch, is the clearest attacking threat to track.
Once Caldas possible starting eleven
- GK: Joan Parra
- DF: Juan Cuesta, Juan Castaño, Andres Correa, Daniel Londono, Jorge Cardona
- MF: Andres Colorado, Andres Roa, Jader Quinones, Jaime Alvarado
- FW: Dayro Moreno
Herrera’s preferred 5-4-1 setup relies on a settled back five, with Cuesta, Castaño, Correa and Londono all featuring in every one of the last five games. Dayro Moreno leads the line alone and remains the player most likely to break the deadlock given his shot volume and finishing record this season.
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Once Caldas. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow Once Caldas win, backed by their superior shot creation, better passing accuracy and a head to head record that clearly favors them. Internacional’s habit of drawing games they should control makes them a risky pick outright, and to be honest, their defensive numbers over the last five matches, 8 goals conceded, don’t inspire confidence against a Once Caldas attack that has scored in four straight outings. Expect goals at both ends, a handful of cards, and Dayro Moreno playing a decisive role.
