As the Coppa Italia jumps into its Round of 16, Inter and Venezia prepare for battle at the iconic San Siro on 3rd December 2025. Inter, a perennial powerhouse with European pedigree, welcomes a Venezia side whose recent surge in form adds an intriguing twist to this tie. The encounter pits Cristian Chivu’s tactical bravado against Giovanni Stroppa’s resourceful squad, with both teams fielding similar 3-5-2 shapes but vastly different ambitions.
Key players to keep an eye on? For Inter, it has to be their talismanic striker Lautaro Martínez, currently in sharp goal-scoring form, while Venezia’s Gianluca Busio is making waves in midfield with his box-to-box runs and goals. Both of these game-changers will have major roles to play in tipping the scale.
Hot stat: Across their last five matches, both teams notched 82 total shots testament to their attacking intent, though Inter have faced stiffer defences. With each side’s front line ready to fire, could this fixture see the net bulge more than once?
| 🏆 Tournament: | Coppa Italia 2025/26 – Round of 16 |
| 🏟 Venue: | San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.12.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
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Inter vs Venezia prediction
Inter start as overwhelming favourites, both on recent form and squad quality. Their well-drilled 3-5-2 exploits width with overlapping full-backs, while Lautaro and Thuram offer dynamism up front. Venezia, despite decent Coppa performances and a recent unbeaten league spell, simply cannot match Inter’s firepower or defensive solidity over ninety minutes. Though Venezia have scored nine in their last five, those achievements came against inferior opponents, whereas Inter kept things impressively tight, conceding only twice in their last three home outings.
Discipline and ball control could set the tempo: Venezia are prone to bookings (ten yellows in five), while Inter’s midfield, orchestrated by Barella and Calhanoglu, holds the edge in possession (~87% pass accuracy over last five), offering both composure and creative spark. Venezia’s tendency to allow counter-attacks and commit late fouls may open gaps for Inter’s relentless attackers.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Inter -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Inter – Recent Form and Last Match
Inter bounced back solidly from back-to-back defeats by defeating Pisa 2-0 in their last outing, showcasing defensive authority led by Bastoni and high press energy. With four wins in their last six, Chivu’s men look settled, rotating enough to keep legs fresh yet keeping their main spine intact. Lautaro, as ever, is in clinical touch (four goals in last five), with Dimarco and Barella contributing assists from midfield. Their shape remains compact, transitions are swift, and they can suffocate underdogs when needed.
Venezia – Recent Form and Last Match
Venezia head to Milan buoyed by a 3-0 home demolition of Mantova yet the gulf in opposition quality on this occasion cannot be overstated. Venezia’s 3-5-2 inspires attacking runs from Yeboah and Busio (combined four goals last five), but regularly risks being overrun in the wide areas. Encouraging for Stroppa: the side did put together three wins from the last four, but defensive lapses and disciplinary slips (ten yellow cards among defenders in last five matches) should worry the travelling support.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Inter | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 18 | 4 |
| Free kicks | 21 | 11 |
| Corner kicks | 13 | 4 |
| Total fouls | 24 | 21 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85 | 75 |
| Interceptions | 13 | 9 |
| Offsides | 7 | 4 |
🚨Read our full Inter vs Venezia stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the favourite
- Moneyline Inter 1.13 | Venezia 18.00
- Draw 8.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.60 | Under 2.5 2.30
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.55
With every major book in agreement, Inter’s odds (1.13) paint them as near-certain victors reflecting not only their dominance in head-to-heads but also their superior Coppa run and league placing. Venezia’s backers are rewarded with massive odds for a reason; the form book and class chasm do not flatter their chances. Interestingly, “Both Teams to Score: No” and Asian Handicap -1.5 Inter offer the value, with the hosts unlikely to let their guard down at home.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Inter possible starting eleven
- GK: Yann Sommer
- DF: Alessandro Bastoni, Stefan de Vrij, Manuel Akanji
- MF: Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Nicolò Barella, Davide Frattesi, Federico Dimarco, Denzel Dumfries
- FW: Lautaro Martínez, Marcus Thuram
Inter set up in their trusted 3-5-2, with reliable hands Sommer in goal and a back three anchored by Bastoni and de Vrij. Dimarco and Dumfries provide width and energy, while Barella partners Çalhanoğlu to assert midfield control. Thuram’s pace perfectly complements Lautaro’s lethal finishing. With this line-up, expect assertive pressing, quick transitions and plenty of attacking variety, especially from set pieces. Martínez is the true dangerman his movement in and around the box is world-class.
Venezia possible starting eleven

- GK: Filip Stankovic
- DF: Michael Svoboda, Joël Schingtienne, Antoine Hainaut
- MF: Gianluca Busio, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, Issa Doumbia, John Yeboah, Ridgeciano Haps
- FW: Andrea Adorante, Daniel Fila
Venezia also favour a 3-5-2, with Stankovic between the sticks and Svoboda marshaling the defence. Dynamic midfielders Busio and Yeboah pose a threat with surging runs, while Doumbia will hope to dictate the tempo. Up front, Adorante and Fila must pounce on any Inter slips. Plenty depends on Venezia’s discipline in defence and their ability to spring transitions Busio, in particular, is rapidly becoming their creative pivot.
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Venezia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
This Coppa Italia encounter, on paper, looks a step too far for Venezia, despite their spirited recent run. Inter’s array of talent and tactical maturity should see them progress with comfort. We’re backing Inter to win by at least two goals and keep a clean sheet their quality and depth are simply on another tier compared to Venezia. Mind you, cup football has its surprises, but for all rational analysis, the Nerazzurri faithful should be advancing to the quarters with gusto.

