On March 4, 2026, at 00:15 CEST, Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco in Buenos Aires will host a pivotal Argentine Primera Division Apertura Group B clash as Huracan faces off against Belgrano. This encounter is set against the intense backdrop of one of Argentina’s most competitive top-flight tournaments, with both teams eager to accelerate their campaigns and secure vital points as the group stage heats up. The iconic venue, brimming with history and the expectation of a raucous Buenos Aires crowd, promises an electrifying atmosphere for both players and supporters as the race for qualification intensifies.
Among a field of emerging talents and established campaigners, keep a keen eye on Huracan’s dynamic forward Jordy Caicedo, whose robust presence and eye for goal can alter any match in an instant, and Belgrano’s creative engine Lucas Zelarayán, whose vision and composure from midfield have consistently provided the spark for the Celestes in crucial moments.
The “hot stat”: Belgrano remain unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, with an impressive defensive record of conceding only three goals in that span—a testament to Ricardo Zielinski’s disciplined tactical approach.
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Huracan vs Belgrano predictions
My best bet: Under 2.5 Total Goals. Both sides have demonstrated a propensity for tactical caution, with Huracan netting just four times and Belgrano conceding a mere three goals in their respective last five league outings. The defensive rigidity of Belgrano, combined with Huracan’s struggle to convert chances (34 total shots but only two goals across the last five fixtures), points toward a low-scoring contest where precision and patience could decide the day.
From a stylistic standpoint, both Huracan and Belgrano implement disciplined 4-2-3-1 formations that emphasize balance and compactness. Huracan’s defensive discipline often comes at the cost of attacking fluency (averaging only 939 successful passes at 71.3 percent accuracy in recent outings), while Belgrano’s higher ball retention and sharp transitions (over 1500 accurate passes, 63 shots in five matches) give them an edge in territorial dominance. Nonetheless, the high count of fouls (47 for Huracan, 55 for Belgrano) and yellow cards (10 for Huracan, 12 for Belgrano) indicates a potentially stop-start match rhythm and a risk for cautions impacting late phases of play.
Prop picks by me:
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5
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Huracan vs Belgrano Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Huracan | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 19 | 25 |
| Free kicks | 32 | 29 |
| Corner kicks | 11 | 12 |
| Total fouls | 36 | 34 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 68 | 73 |
| Interceptions | 23 | 28 |
| Offsides | 5 | 3 |
Across the last three matchups, Belgrano have held a tangible upper hand, winning once and drawing twice. Notably, Belgrano took a comprehensive 3-0 victory in their last encounter, displaying ruthless efficiency in finishing and defensive concentration, while Huracan managed a narrow win back in the 2024 relegation phase, signifying this fixture often hinges on singular moments of quality rather than open, attacking football.
🚨Read our full Huracan vs Belgrano stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Belgrano are unbeaten in 2026 Primera Division play (W4, D2).
- Huracan have scored just two goals in their last five matches.
- Belgrano have conceded only once in their last four league outings.
- Across their last three H2Hs, a total of seven goals have been scored, all matches featuring under 2.5 total goals.
- Both sides average over nine corners per five-match spell, supporting the prop for a high-corner outcome.
Huracan vs Belgrano score prediction: 0-1
Given Belgrano’s resolute defensive structure, orchestrated by the experienced Lisandro López and recent form of goalkeeper Thiago Cardozo, along with Lucas Zelarayán’s knack for decisive moments, the visitors possess the subtle edge. Huracan’s attack, spearheaded by Jordy Caicedo, may lack the creative thrust to break down one of the league’s stingiest rearguards, suggesting a tightly contested match likely decided by a solitary Belgrano goal.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Huracan the favourite
| Moneyline | Huracan 2.65 | Belgrano 3.17 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 2.72 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.45 | Under 2.5 1.54 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.00 | No 1.75 | |
Despite Huracan’s nominal status as favourites according to bookmakers chiefly due to home advantage, the odds for a draw or a Belgrano win remain enticing—reflecting the visitors’ superior recent form and defensive stability. The under 2.5 market is heavily favoured, in line with both teams’ statistical tendencies.
Huracan vs Belgrano Over/Under Analysis
- Four of the last five Huracan matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Belgrano’s last four league games have featured under 2.5 goals.
- Both teams average fewer than one xG per match in the current group phase.
- Corner counts are consistently high: each side averages 8+ per match recently.
Huracan Preview
Huracan’s recent form in Group B has been inconsistent, with just one victory in their previous five matches. Their most recent outing—a surprise 0-2 home defeat to Estudiantes Rio Cuarto—raised further questions about offensive efficiency and a reliance on defensive discipline that has not always yielded points. Across those five matches, Huracan have scored only twice, with Jordy Caicedo and Juan Francisco Bisanz the only players able to find the net, despite steady contributions in midfield from Emmanuel Ojeda and Facundo Waller.
Huracan possible starting eleven
- GK: Hernan Ismael Galindez
- DF: Cesar Ibañez, Lucas Carrizo, Fabio Pereyra, Hugo Nervo
- MF: Facundo Waller, Emmanuel Ojeda, Leonardo Gil, Thaiel Peralta
- FW: Jordy Caicedo, Juan Francisco Bisanz
Belgrano Preview
Under Ricardo Zielinski, Belgrano have carved out an identity as one of the most disciplined and balanced sides in Group B. The Celestes are riding a six-match unbeaten run, most recently dispatching Atletico Tucuman 3-1 on the road, showcasing a versatile attack led by Lucas Zelarayán and silky forward play from Emiliano Rigoni. Defensive solidity has been a hallmark, with seasoned figures such as Lisandro López and Leonardo Morales anchoring a backline that has been breached just three times in the group stage. While maintaining attacking intent, Belgrano’s ability to control midfield and suppress opposition creativity remains their most potent weapon.
Belgrano possible starting eleven
- GK: Thiago Cardozo
- DF: Adrian Spörle, Leonardo Morales, Lisandro López, Alcides Benitez
- MF: Adrian Sanchez, Santiago Longo, Francisco González Metilli, Lucas Zelarayán
- FW: Emiliano Rigoni, Nicolas Fernández

Belgrano. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
As experts at Tips.GG, our main pick is for Belgrano to edge this contest 1-0 based on their superior form, defensive resilience, and tactical maturity. The probability of a Belgrano win is rated at 39 percent by our AI prediction engine, with a draw close behind and Huracan trailing based on underlying performance data. The match is likely to be decided on fine margins, low scoring, and the form of the key creative players.
How to watch Huracan vs Belgrano
When? 04 March 2026.
Kick-off time: 00:15 CEST.
Where? Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires.
How to watch: Live broadcast via local Argentine sports networks and selected international streaming partners.
Favourite: Huracan (Bookmakers slight edge due to home advantage)
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