Heracles vs NAC Breda Prediction: 14.02.2026 Eredivisie Preview

Matchday 23 of the 2025/26 Eredivisie sees two strugglers, Heracles and NAC Breda, clash at Polman Stadion in Almelo. Both clubs find themselves rooted near the bottom of the table and desperate for points as the season ticks into its business end. With NAC Breda only one point adrift of Heracles, this fixture could prove pivotal in shaping the battle for survival. One thing is clear: the margins are razor-thin, and individual brilliance could be the difference.

Among the players to keep an eye on, Heracles’ Luka Kulenović stands out for his direct attacking impact in recent weeks, netting twice in his last five matches. For NAC Breda, Moussa Soumano has been a breath of fresh air up front, with three goals in his recent outings – his clinical finishing could prove decisive if Breda are to end their winless run.

Hot stat: Both clubs have managed only a single win and a collective seven draws in their combined last 11 matches, underlining just how vital it will be to seize any half-chance in this tense relegation scrap.

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Heracles vs NAC Breda prediction

A proper relegation dogfight, and the bookmakers have called it tight, with neither side emerging as clear favourites. Still, NAC Breda’s comparative away resilience – holding both Twente and PSV to draws recently – hints at a valuable edge. Heracles’ defensive fragility (15 losses, 57 goals conceded) undermines their home advantage.

Based on both teams’ profiles, the best value looks to be backing NAC Breda on the Asian Handicap (0), essentially Draw No Bet. With both clubs averaging identical goal tallies (seven in their last five), attacking balance is likely, but Breda’s marginally better organisation and knack for grinding out draws should prove decisive.

Delving into the style-of-play metrics, it’s a tale of two philosophies under pressure: Heracles look to play out more (1,734 passes recently vs NAC’s 1,514), but lack control, with a lower pass accuracy and a significantly higher tally of conceded fouls (78 vs 39). Breda, for their part, have been more compact, with less possession but greater discipline. Both teams have picked up nine yellow cards in their last five matches, a sign that tempers could flare.

Team Analysis

Heracles Recent Games
After finally notching a rare win over Sittard (2-1), Heracles slipped back into old habits, conceding four against both Nijmegen and Feyenoord, while also giving up three to GA Eagles in a mad 3-4 home defeat. The victory against Sittard was built on sharper interplay and Ajdin Hrustic’s creative spark, but defensive frailties reared up against higher-calibre opponents. Their last tilt versus Nijmegen ended in a damaging 1-4 reverse, exposing both individual errors and a lack of collective discipline.

NAC Breda Recent Games
Breda’s February so far has been emblematic of their season: stubborn but short of cutting-edge. A dour 0-2 loss to Excelsior at home was preceded by encouraging draws with Twente (2-2) and, most impressively, a late comeback to steal a point from high-flying PSV (2-2). Moussa Soumano has been their most lively forward, but a lack of consistent support means Breda often rely on collective grit and Roy Kortsmit’s key saves at the other end. Defensively, they’ve not quite clicked, having failed to shut out opponents in their last six.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Heracles vs NAC Breda stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Heracles the favourite

• Moneyline Heracles 2.74 | NAC Breda 2.55
• Draw 3.40-3.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.91 | Under 2.5 2.03
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.03

Bookmakers have Heracles as the marginal favourite, likely owing to home turf rather than recent form. With both clubs stuck in poor form but Breda’s ability to claim draws against top-six outfits and Heracles’ self-destructive defending, the odds on the away side look far better value. Draw and BTTS markets are rightly short given both teams’ leaky defences and willingness to attack with abandon when the situation demands.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Heracles possible starting eleven

• GK: Robin Mantel
• DF: Mimeirhel Benita, Damon Mirani, Ivan Mesik, Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
• MF: Walid Ould Chikh, Ajdin Hrustic, Jan Zamburek
• FW: Lequincio Zeefuik, Luka Kulenović, Tristan Van Gilst

Heracles have shuffled their pack, but Robin Mantel should get the nod in goal. At the back, Mirani’s aerial dominance and Mesik’s distribution will be pivotal. Kulenović’s return to form is crucial – expect a classic 4-2-3-1 formation with Hrustic given licence to roam and unlock Breda’s defence. Watch out for Zeefuik’s runs in behind.

NAC Breda possible starting eleven

• GK: Daniel Bielica
• DF: Boyd Lucassen, Leo Greiml, Denis Odoi, Boy Kemper
• MF: Maximilien Balard, Clint Leemans, Lewis Holtby
• FW: Charles-Andreas Brym, Moussa Soumano, Kamal Sowah

For Breda, Bielica should keep his place between the posts, offering composure and strong distribution. Kemper’s recent goals from defence strengthen his inclusion. Up front, Soumano (three goals in his last four) spearheads the attack, with Brym and Sowah flanking. The midfield trio gives them a compact shape in their own 4-2-3-1 – Soumano is the key man for goals, but look out for Kemper attacking set pieces.

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My take on the Match

This one promises intensity if not always quality – textbook relegation fight football. My main pick is Draw No Bet on NAC Breda, with both sides likely to find the net but neither possessing the confidence or composure to see it off easily. With error-prone defences and fragile mentalities, expect a contest littered with chances and nervy moments. The result? Breda to sneak a vital point, unless Heracles can finally cut out the mistakes. Either way, survival in the Eredivisie looks set to go down to the wire.

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