Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice Prediction: 06.08.2026 UEFA Conference League

Two clubs looking to punch their way into the Conference League group stage meet in Miskolc on Thursday night. Hapoel Tel Aviv, coached by Elyaniv Barda, arrives after a hard-fought two-legged tie against Ludogorets, drawing 2-2 on aggregate before advancing on another basis. GKS Katowice, under Rafal Gorak, have been the busier side recently, playing six matches in the last 30 days with three wins and one draw. The neutral venue in Hungary adds an extra layer of unpredictability to what is already a finely balanced tie.

Omri Altman is a name to watch for Hapoel, contributing one goal and one assist across the last two matches despite not always starting from the first minute. For GKS Katowice, Bartosz Nowak stands out with four assists and a goal across his last four appearances, making him the creative engine for the Polish side.

The hot stat from this fixture setup: GKS Katowice have registered 62 total shots across their last five matches compared to Hapoel’s 18. That volume difference is striking and suggests GKS will test Assaf Tzur regularly.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice Prediction

The bookmakers see Hapoel Tel Aviv as a narrow favourite at around 43% implied probability, yet the underlying numbers tell a more competitive story. GKS Katowice have a better win rate both over the last 30 days (50% vs 43%) and across the full year (53% vs 45%). Their shot volume is enormous and their midfield, particularly Nowak and Kacper Lukasiak, creates real danger from deep positions.

We predict GKS Katowice to win this match. The Polish side’s activity level, shot output, and strong recent form against credible opponents like Zilina and Rakow suggest they are the better-prepared team right now. Hapoel’s recent results include several draws and two losses, and their five-match stats show limited attacking output beyond a handful of individual contributions.

GKS Katowice average 11 yellow cards and 25 fouls across their last five matches, showing a physical, aggressive approach. Hapoel, with just five yellow cards in the same window, are a less combative side. In a knockout tie played on neutral ground, GKS’s pressing and direct style could disrupt Hapoel’s build-up play. The 3-4-3 formation both teams favour means the wide channels will be contested heavily, and GKS’s wing activity should generate corner kick volume.

Team Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv’s last five matches have been a mixed picture. They drew 2-2 with Ludogorets in the first leg, then won 2-0 in the return fixture, which is arguably their standout result of this run. Before that, a 2-2 draw with Beitar Jerusalem and a goalless stalemate against Banska Bystrica showed a team capable of frustrating opponents but not always finishing them off. Emmanuel Boateng has been their most reliable scorer with two goals, while Chico contributed one from defence. The squad’s playing time data shows a settled core, but the lack of recorded pass accuracy or interception stats raises questions about how well their defensive structure holds up against more aggressive pressing teams.

GKS Katowice arrive in considerably sharper form. Their most recent match was a 3-1 win over Radomiak Radom, and the game before that saw them beat Zilina 3-1 as well. A 1-2 loss to Wisla sits in the middle of this run, but that came against a side with solid recent form. In their Conference League qualifying match against Zilina, they fell 1-2 in the first leg before winning 3-1 in the return, showing real character. Ilia Shkurin leads the line with two goals and one assist, and Bartosz Nowak’s four assists across four games make him a constant threat. The team’s 864 total passes and 73% pass accuracy in their last five matches point to a side that moves the ball with purpose.

🚨Check out our dedicated Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Hapoel Tel Aviv the Favourite

• Moneyline Hapoel Tel Aviv 2.13 | GKS Katowice 3.13
• Draw 3.24
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

Pinnacle, often considered the sharpest book in the market, prices Hapoel at 2.13 and GKS at 3.13. The implied probability for a GKS win sits around 32%, which we believe undervalues them given their recent form and statistical output. The draw at 3.24 reflects genuine uncertainty, and to be honest, a draw is a reasonable result if Hapoel defend deep and look to protect a first-leg scoreline. The value, though, sits with GKS Katowice at those prices. Several books offer GKS above 3.10, which represents a solid return given the case for their win outlined above.

Possible Starting Lineups

Hapoel Tel Aviv Possible Starting Eleven

Barda is likely to line up in the familiar 3-4-3, with Assaf Tzur as the undisputed first choice in goal. Fernand Mayembo, Chico, and Marcus Coco form a back three that has logged consistent minutes. Chico is worth watching despite his two yellow cards, as he contributes offensively from deep. Emmanuel Boateng leads the attack after scoring twice in the last two matches, and Omri Altman’s combination of a goal and an assist makes him a natural second forward option. Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro Falcão anchors the midfield with 180 minutes played in both recent matches.

GKS Katowice Possible Starting Eleven

Gorak has used a consistent 3-4-3 shape across recent matches. Gabriel Kobylak starts in goal after logging 360 minutes across four games, with two saves recorded. The back three of Jedrych, Resta, and Klemenz has been dependable, with Klemenz also chipping in with a goal. The midfield is where GKS carry most of their threat: Bartosz Nowak is the standout with four assists, and Kacper Lukasiak’s work rate and four appearances make him a key figure in transition. Ilia Shkurin leads the forward line with two goals and one assist, and Eman Marković’s seven shots across four matches show he tests keepers regularly.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

This is a first-leg Conference League qualifier with real stakes for both clubs. Hapoel Tel Aviv carry the bookmakers’ favour, but GKS Katowice’s numbers across the last five matches are hard to ignore. Their shot volume (62 vs 18), corner production (27 vs 6), and midfield creativity give them a clear edge on paper.

We predict GKS Katowice to win the first leg, with both teams scoring. Hapoel have enough quality in Boateng and Altman to threaten on the break, but GKS’s front line and midfield depth should prove too much over 90 minutes. A 2-1 scoreline in favour of GKS Katowice is our call, with Nowak and Shkurin the most likely names on the scoresheet for the Polish side.

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