Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik Prediction: 29.07.2026 UEFA Champions League

Hapoel Beer Sheva host Vikingur Reykjavik at the Toto Turner Stadium in Beersheba in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2026/27 Second Qualifying Round tie. The Israelis come into this match already trailing 1-2 from the first leg, meaning they must win to progress. That deficit changes everything about how this game will be played. Hapoel cannot sit back, and Vikingur know exactly what a point or a draw means for them.

Keep an eye on Kings Kangwa for Beer Sheva. He is the only player in their squad who has scored in recent matches, netting three goals across the last five games, and he carries the weight of their attacking output almost entirely on his own. For Vikingur, Nikolaj Hansen has been devastating in front of goal with five goals in just four appearances. If he finds space against a Beer Sheva backline that has been leaking goals, this tie could be over very quickly.

Hot stat: Vikingur Reykjavik have scored 13 goals across their last five matches, compared to just three for Hapoel Beer Sheva over the same period. That gap in attacking output is stark and difficult to ignore going into this second leg.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik Prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva need a win, and that desperation opens up space for Vikingur to exploit on the counter. Beer Sheva’s recent domestic form has been poor, with three losses and just one win in their last five matches before this tie began. Their aggregate deficit of 1-2 forces them to attack, but their squad has shown little ability to generate consistent chances, managing only 28 total shots across five games.

Vikingur, on the other hand, arrive with real confidence. They won the first leg on Beer Sheva’s patch, and their last five matches show 93 total shots and 45 corner kicks. They press high, win the ball back quickly, and punish teams that push forward. Beer Sheva pushing men forward plays directly into that structure.

We predict Vikingur Reykjavik to win this match. The Icelandic side is the better-performing team right now, they hold the aggregate lead, and they have the individual quality to score on the break. Beer Sheva’s home advantage is real, but their form and squad depth do not inspire confidence over 90 minutes when they need to chase the game.

Beer Sheva commit fouls at a low rate but their pass accuracy is concerning, completing only 363 of 425 attempted passes across five games. Vikingur, by contrast, completed 1,143 of 1,358 passes in the same period, showing far cleaner ball circulation. Their 37 interceptions versus Beer Sheva’s eight also suggests Vikingur will suffocate the home side in midfield, which will frustrate Beer Sheva’s attempts to build from the back. The yellow card counts are close (eight for Beer Sheva, seven for Vikingur), but Vikingur’s 31 total fouls across five games shows they are not shy about stopping attacks, which could lead to some cards in a feisty second leg.

Team Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva’s recent run of results has been difficult to defend. They lost three of their last five matches before this second leg, including a 1-3 defeat to Maccabi Tel Aviv and a 1-3 loss against Legia. Their only competitive win during that stretch came against Radomiak Radom, a side ranked far below them. They did draw 2-2 against Omonia Nicosia, but that result only underlines their inability to close out games when they need a result.

In the first leg, Beer Sheva managed just a 1-2 defeat, but the scoreline flatters them slightly. They are low on attacking output, low on creative play, and the pressure of needing to overturn a deficit at home is a weight their squad does not appear equipped to carry right now.

Vikingur Reykjavik arrive in excellent shape. They have won eight of their last fifteen matches and their form over the past month has been strong, with three wins from six games. Their 5-1 demolition of Keflavik was the most recent display of their attacking firepower, and even in the Europa League preliminary rounds they managed back-to-back wins over Gyori ETO before the first leg against Beer Sheva.

The one concern for Vikingur is a 1-2 loss to Thor Akureyri sandwiched between their European commitments. That result suggested some squad rotation or fatigue, but the timing of that defeat means their key players should be fresh for this second leg.

🚨Check out our dedicated Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Hapoel Beer Sheva the Favourite

• Moneyline Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.58 | Vikingur Reykjavik 5.34
• Draw 4.08
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The bookmakers price Beer Sheva as heavy favourites on the moneyline, and home advantage on a must-win night explains a portion of that. To be honest, the 5.34 on Vikingur represents genuine value. The Icelanders already won the first leg, they are the better-performing side across recent weeks, and Beer Sheva’s attacking numbers do not back up that short price. The draw at 4.08 would also eliminate Beer Sheva from the competition, making it a useful double-outcome market for anyone backing the visitors.

Possible Starting Lineups

Hapoel Beer Sheva Possible Starting Eleven

Coach Ran Kozuch is likely to set up in a 4-3-3, mirroring the formation Beer Sheva have used consistently across their last five matches. Ofir Marciano has been the regular starter in goal and brings experience. The back four picks itself, with Miguel Vitor anchoring the defence despite his three yellow cards in recent games, a booking risk worth watching. Kings Kangwa is the player Beer Sheva need most. He has scored all three of the team’s goals in the last five matches and will need to produce something special to drag this side through.

Vikingur Reykjavik Possible Starting Eleven

Sölvi Ottesen will almost certainly stick with his 4-3-3, which has been Vikingur’s go-to shape throughout the qualifying campaign. Ögmundur Kristinsson takes the gloves, having appeared in six of the last six matches. Oliver Ekroth provides width and creativity from the right-back position, with two assists across five games. In midfield, Gylfi Sigurðsson brings control and a goal threat, while Óskar Borgthórsson’s three assists in five games make him one to watch. Up front, Nikolaj Hansen leads the line. Five goals in four appearances speaks for itself, and Beer Sheva’s shaky defensive record means he will get chances.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

This second leg is shaped entirely by the first. Beer Sheva trail 1-2 and must score, which means they will push forward, leave space behind, and play into Vikingur’s hands. The Icelanders have the pace, the pressing structure, and the individual quality to punish exactly that kind of open game.

Beer Sheva’s stats across five recent matches are worrying for a team that now needs to win a knockout tie: three goals scored, eight yellow cards, just 28 shots. Vikingur produced 93 shots and 45 corners over the same period. The gap in output is significant. We predict Vikingur Reykjavik to win this match and advance on aggregate. Both teams to score looks likely given Beer Sheva’s need to attack, and over 2.5 goals fits the expected tempo of a second leg where the home side has nothing to lose by committing forward.

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