Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Levski Sofia Prediction: 17.07.2025 UEFA Europa League Preview

This UEFA Europa League First Qualifying Round sees Hapoel Beer Sheva face Levski Sofia at Városi Stadion, Nyiregyháza. Both teams entered the tie following a balanced opening leg that ended 0-0, highlighting just how closely matched they are at this stage. With both squads seeking group stage football, the return leg brings an interesting tactical battle—especially as both managers value structured, resilient setups.

For Hapoel Beer Sheva, midfielder Eilel Peretz has demonstrated creativity and goal-scoring potential, notably netting in critical fixtures recently. On the Bulgarian side, playmaker Georgi Kostadinov’s composure and ability to dictate the midfield tempo makes him a key figure to watch. Defensive discipline from both sides makes this encounter a true test of tactical patience and set-piece efficiency.

Hot stat: Over their last 4 matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva have remained undefeated while conceding only 2 goals, accentuating their robust defensive approach under coach Ran Kozuch.

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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Levski Sofia prediction

Given the first leg’s goalless draw and both teams’ recent defensive stats, a tight, low-scoring contest is likely. Hapoel Beer Sheva’s ability to control possession and minimize mistakes at the back gives them a slight edge. With home advantage in Nyiregyháza and higher recent win rates, they are well-positioned to advance. However, Levski’s recent victories and attacking threat—averaging 4 wins in their last 5 matches—mean the Bulgarians cannot be underestimated, particularly if they break quickly or capitalize on set pieces.

Discipline will play a crucial role. Hapoel Beer Sheva have picked up 12 yellow cards in their last 5 matches, indicating a physical approach that could draw fouls in dangerous areas. Both teams have demonstrated consistent pressing and tactical shape, emphasizing midfield control and risk avoidance, which may again limit goal opportunities. Expect deliberate buildup play, potential for late drama, and a premium on set-piece execution.

Team Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva enters this clash on the back of a 2-1 victory against Maccabi Tel Aviv—a strong attacking display that complemented their recent unbeaten streak. The scoreline reflected their ability to transition swiftly while maintaining organization at the back. Prior to that, they managed hard-fought draws against Levski Sofia (0-0) and Cracovia (1-1), and an emphatic 4-2 win over Leczna highlighted their diverse attacking options. Their tactical flexibility via a 4-2-3-1 setup, controlled midfield play, and set-piece threats should again be crucial. Defensive solidity remains a calling card, with few goals conceded and many players contributing across phases.

Levski Sofia showcased excellent form in their last match before the opener, defeating Beroe 3-2 with a blend of resolute defending and clinical finishing. Their run of recent results—four wins and a draw in their last five—showcases a team that’s peaking in confidence. Despite struggling to break down Beer Sheva’s defense in the first leg, Levski’s 4-1-4-1 formation ensures plenty of width and midfield coverage, allowing for rapid transitions. Continued discipline (just 4 yellows in 5) and solid corner/defensive stats will help them maintain structure and composure under pressure.

🚨Read our full Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Levski Sofia stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite

• Moneyline Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.10 – 2.16 | Levski Sofia 3.40 – 3.70
• Draw 2.95 – 3.32
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.45 | Under 2.5 1.60
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65

Bookmakers assign a 44 percent win probability to Hapoel Beer Sheva, reflecting their steady home form and defensive strengths. The draw is also well-backed (29 percent), consistent with the low-scoring first leg. Levski Sofia hold a lower win probability but offer value as a counter-attacking threat. Odds on Under 2.5 and BTTS No highlight expectations of another defensive standoff, while the home side’s slightly shorter price reflects their edge in both squad depth and recent performance. Investors targeting value should consider low-goal markets and cautious handicap options.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Hapoel Beer Sheva possible starting eleven

This lineup leans heavily on recent starts and the 4-2-3-1 formation that has brought Hapoel Beer Sheva stability. Niv Eliasi provides reliability in goal, while Miguel Vitor anchors a solid back line. The midfield blend of Eilel Peretz’s creativity and Kanaan’s energy will be vital, with Zahi Ahmed offering pace out wide. Peretz and Zlatanović are highlighted as players to watch, with the former’s set-piece quality and the latter’s movement up front likely to influence the match.

Levski Sofia possible starting eleven

Levski Sofia’s probable 4-1-4-1 formation maximizes midfield security. Vutsov will marshal the defense, which is reinforced by Dimitrov and Makoun’s aerial strength. Kostadinov brings balance and experience in deep midfield, flanked by the tenacity of Trdin and Myslovic. Kirilov and Petkov on the wings add width, supporting forward Fabio, whose movement will stretch Beer Sheva’s backline. Watch for Kostadinov’s influence on transitions and Petkov’s ability to create chances from wide areas.

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My take on the Match

The balance between these sides is evident in their head-to-head record and defensive solidity, but Hapoel Beer Sheva’s home strength, higher win rate in 2025, and more consistent backline give them a narrow edge. My main pick is Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.25 Asian Handicap, as their tactical discipline and slight attacking edge—especially through Peretz and Zlatanović—should be enough to tip a close match in their favor over 90 minutes. Expect a carefully contested encounter where one goal could prove decisive, with the Israeli side best positioned to capitalise on the small margins that matter in knockout football.

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