Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction: 29.05.2025 Israel State Cup Final Preview

The 2024/25 Israel State Cup reaches its climax as Hapoel Beer Sheva faces Beitar Jerusalem in the final at Brann Stadion, Bergen. While both clubs hold rich traditions, this match-up offers a compelling narrative—Beer Sheva’s sustained form versus Beitar’s turbulent season. With both teams already familiar adversaries throughout the year, this final is set up as a battle of form, resolve, and tactical discipline.

Among the players who could swing the match, Hapoel Beer Sheva’s attacking midfielder Dan Biton stands out, responsible for five goals in his last five appearances—a creative engine Beer Sheva will lean on. For Beitar Jerusalem, the forward Omer Atzili has consistently been a threat up front, notching two goals despite limited attacking support lately. Both playmakers’ ability to influence proceedings will be under the spotlight.

The “hot stat” heading into this final: Hapoel Beer Sheva has scored 12 goals in their last five matches, showing both firepower and clinical edge recently, in stark contrast to Beitar Jerusalem’s 3 goals in the same span.

🏅Best bets for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem at N1Bet with a Welcome offer 120% up to 600$💰

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem prediction

Considering recent form, squad consistency, and offensive output, Hapoel Beer Sheva enters as favourites despite bookmakers offering a slimmer implied probability (21 percent). Their 67 percent win rate this year—including a staggering 5-0 semi-final win—showcases a well-oiled setup under Ran Kozuch. The 4-3-3 formation has fostered attacking width and midfield control, giving Beer Sheva an upper hand both statistically and tactically.

Defensively, Beer Sheva also impresses, conceding just four goals in their last five matches, with goalkeeper Niv Eliasi showing safe hands. Beitar Jerusalem, in contrast, have struggled—winless in their last five (0W, 1D, 4L), scoring only three goals while conceding twelve. Disciplinary issues are a concern for Beitar, with 14 yellow cards and two reds in their last five outings, often disrupting their compact 5-3-2 system.

Statistically, Hapoel Beer Sheva not only leads in goals but in overall attacking metrics: 86 total shots, 24 corners, and superior pass accuracy (84 percent). Beitar Jerusalem’s aggressive approach has inflated their fouls and bookings—62 fouls, 14 yellows, 2 reds—but not their goal tally.

Expect Beer Sheva’s midfield to control the flow, utilizing higher ball retention and patience, while Beitar’s best route may rely on counterattacks and set-pieces. If discipline falters again for Beitar, they risk playing with a disadvantage.

Team Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva: In their latest fixture, Beer Sheva were rampant, dispatching Hapoel Haifa 5-0 with a performance brimful of attacking intent. Dan Biton orchestrated much of the play, ably supported by Kings Kangwa’s energetic box-to-box work. This result followed a sequence of strong performances including a 4-1 win over Maccabi Haifa, confirming their ability to maintain high pressing and a direct attacking style. Their only blemish was a narrow 1-2 defeat to Netanya, a match dictated by individual lapses rather than systematic flaws. Defensively, Beer Sheva exhibited high pressing and solidity, rarely allowing opponents space in the final third.

Beitar Jerusalem: It’s been a tough run for Barak Itzhaki’s side, culminating in a 0-5 defeat against Maccabi Tel Aviv—a match where Beitar lacked structure and discipline, finishing with a red card and failing to cope with Maccabi’s relentless pressure. Further losses against Hapoel Haifa (0-1), Netanya (0-3), and only a solitary goal scored in these fixtures, underline a team out of rhythm. Their only bright spot in this sequence was a 1-1 draw versus Beer Sheva in the league, but even there, Beitar spent most of the match on the back foot, relying on individual moments from Omer Atzili and Yarden Shua rather than coordinated play. Defensively, the back five has absorbed pressure, but pressure eventually tells—particularly with fouls and cards mounting.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Beitar Jerusalem the favourite

• Moneyline Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.67 | Beitar Jerusalem 4.35
• Draw 3.69
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.70
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.12 | No 1.65

Despite some bookmakers slightly favouring Beitar Jerusalem (54 percent implied), market odds generally make Hapoel Beer Sheva the true favourites—reflected in their shorter win line (1.67). This is justified given recent form, squad quality, and goal output. The odds for “Over 2.5” echo Beer Sheva’s attacking proficiency, while “No” on both teams scoring carries value given Beitar’s recent attacking struggles.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

The Verdict

Taking all recent evidence into account, my main pick is Hapoel Beer Sheva to win in regular time, with a potential for a multi-goal margin. Their blend of attacking sharpness, defensive security, and recent results set them apart from a Beitar side low on confidence and discipline. While finals can throw up surprises, Beer Sheva’s structure, squad health, and momentum make them the smart choice. I also recommend exploring Over 2.5 goals as an additional value market given the contrasting attacking stats and Beitar’s defensive frailties of late. For those seeking higher odds, Hapoel Beer Sheva -1 (Asian Handicap) is a logical extension.

More useful links for football fans

• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG