Hapoel Beer Sheva vs AEK Athens Prediction: 31.07.2025 UEFA Conference League Preview

As the UEFA Europa Conference League unfolds, all eyes turn to Toto Turner Stadium in Beersheba for a tantalising second-leg clash between Hapoel Beer Sheva and AEK Athens. There’s more at stake than passage to the next round – pride and momentum are on the line after AEK Athens edged the first leg 1-0. With both clubs boasting contrasting form guides and tactical approaches, this encounter offers a showcase of continental ambition and discipline under pressure.
Among the names to watch: Hapoel’s Alon Turgeman, whose goal-scoring knack could tip a finely balanced tie, and AEK Athens’ Filipe Relvas, freshly on the scoresheet himself and anchoring a resolute Greek defence. Both lineups grit their teeth for a night where small margins and core performers will make the difference.
A hot stat worth pondering: Hapoel Beer Sheva have earned a hefty 18 yellow cards in their last 5 matches, indicating both their combative edge and a risk of losing discipline under high stakes.

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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs AEK Athens prediction

The best value prediction for this tie leans toward a low-scoring, tense affair. With AEK Athens bringing a 1-0 aggregate lead and a distinctly defensive, low-risk setup – evidenced by just 8 yellow cards and 12 corners in their last five – they’ll look to control tempo and frustrate the hosts. Hapoel Beer Sheva, heavily reliant on midfield transition and not shy of physical battles (17 fouls and 18 yellows recently), must press early but risk leaving gaps that the Greeks can exploit.
Expect AEK Athens to play on their aggregate advantage, maintaining a solid 4-3-3 shape with quick counters if the opportunity arises, while the Israeli side pushes for a breakthrough, possibly overcommitting in crucial moments.

AEK Athens’ discipline offers a stark contrast to Beer Sheva’s frequent bookings and fouls; that aggressive approach may hamper the hosts rather than help, especially in the latter stages. Ball retention slightly favours Beer Sheva but their passing accuracy and decision-making in tight spaces have been inconsistent, while AEK’s structured approach often yields control in key moments. Expect caution and composure from the visitors, who look well-positioned to advance.

Team Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva’s recent campaign features a patchwork of grit and frustration. Their last match saw them frustrated 0-1 by AEK Athens in Greece, a result reflecting narrow margins and missed opportunities. Beer Sheva’s draw-filled run (0-0 twice against Levski Sofia before a promising 2-1 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv) demonstrates a squad able to contain but occasionally lacking decisive attacking touch. Attackers like Alon Turgeman and Eilel Peretz (each with a goal in their last five) need to step up against a stubborn Greek backline. Defensive frailties, seen in yellow and red cards, could prove costly again.

AEK Athens enter this fixture buoyed by both their lead and improved results – a crucial turnaround after a string of losses. Nikolic’s charges kicked off the round by stifling Beer Sheva in the first leg, and wins over Kortrijk (2-1) and Beerschot (4-1) show a rebuilding confidence. The addition of Filipe Relvas (two goals in the last two games from defence) adds a genuine set-piece threat, while a stable core – including Petros Mantalos orchestrating from midfield – gives Athens a measured balance between patience and cutting edge.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Hapoel Beer Sheva vs AEK Athens stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AEK Athens the favourite

• Moneyline Hapoel Beer Sheva 3.33 | AEK Athens 2.02
• Draw 3.23
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.75 | Under 2.5 1.55
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.20 | No 1.60

Bookmaker odds make AEK Athens favourites, justified by superior form (75 percent winrate last 30 days and a string of three consecutive wins), plus their defensive stability. The market expects a low-scoring event, with “Under 2.5” a strong preference – sensible, considering the first leg’s cagey tone and both sides’ recent scoring patterns. ‘No’ on both teams to score demonstrates further trust in the Greek defence and the likelihood that the home side might struggle to penetrate. In aggregate, this is a tie played on fine margins.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Hapoel Beer Sheva possible starting eleven

This selection reflects Beer Sheva’s reliance on defensive mainstays Vitor and Mizrahi (5 appearances each) with the attacking load shouldered by Turgeman and Ahmed. Dan Biton and Eilel Peretz bridge midfield and attack, tasked with unlocking AEK’s disciplined structure. Beer Sheva will likely stick with a familiar 4-4-2, prioritising stability but needing a touch of creativity from Peretz or Biton if they want to threaten AEK’s well-marshaled box. Watch for Turgeman to cause problems between the lines, particularly in the early exchanges.

AEK Athens possible starting eleven

AEK line up with a confident 4-3-3: Relvas and Pilios add attacking threat from deep, while Vida and Moukoudi marshal the key central areas. In midfield, Mantalos directs play with Jonsson and Pereyra providing balance and energy. The inclusion of Martial and Pierrot up top ensures Athens can convert defensive solidity into threat on the break. The key will be whether they can exploit the space as Beer Sheva push forward; expect Relvas (fresh from a two-goal burst) and Martial to take centre stage.

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My take on the Match

This is a fixture hanging on a knife-edge! While Beer Sheva have the home crowd and the talent to ask questions, their lack of discipline and attacking sharpness in recent weeks suggests they’ll struggle to really unhinge a tough AEK Athens unit. The Greeks look more robust both physically and mentally, able to control nervy away legs and pounce on counter-attacking chances. My main pick? Back AEK Athens in the Draw No Bet market and favour under 2.5 goals. If anyone is to make the difference, expect Relvas at the back or Turgeman in a scrappy box battle – but overall, the calm, experienced heads in yellow and black should see out their aggregate advantage. The journey continues for AEK, while Beer Sheva must regroup and dream of another European night.

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