Hajduk Split vs Zira Prediction: 31.07.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League Preview

The UEFA Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round presents a fascinating clash as Croatian outfit Hajduk Split meet Azerbaijan’s Zira at the neutral venue Brann Stadion, Bergen. Both sides drew 1-1 in the first leg, raising the stakes for this decisive encounter. With Hajduk carrying the weight of expectation and Zira emerging as the underdogs, this tie offers more than meets the eye, especially given each team’s contrasting approaches and recent forms.

Key players to spotlight include Anthony Kalik for Hajduk Split – scoring twice in his last two – and Brahim Konate for Zira, also finding the net twice lately, both instrumental in their sides’ advances. Their midfield duels will be pivotal in deciding proceedings, yet don’t overlook both defensive lines, as caution will prevail in what’s expected to be a tactical chess match.

Hot stat: Zira managed to outshoot Hajduk Split with 20 total shots in their recent matches compared to Hajduk’s 10, a curious sign that the Azerbaijani side are not shy to press forward despite lower possession numbers!

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Hajduk Split vs Zira prediction

Given Hajduk’s superior squad depth, a notably higher ranking, and their recent run featuring three wins from five, the best value tip is backing Hajduk Split to win with a -1 Asian Handicap. Despite their recent inconsistency in Europe, Hajduk possess more creativity, especially with Kalik’s form and a midfield that can dictate the match tempo. Zira, for all their shooting enthusiasm, have shown defensive naivety, particularly in the loss to Qarabag (0-4), which raises questions about their ability to manage tournament pressure against technically stronger opposition.

Stylistically, Hajduk Split keep a tidy shape through a 4-1-4-1, prioritising midfield control and short passing sequences. Yet, they can become overly cautious, as reflected in their mere two goals and ten shots across their latest five matches. Their discipline is tested, evidenced by six yellow cards, though red cards have been absent. Zira, meanwhile, come out with a 4-2-3-1 setup, occasionally aggressive with 20 shots but picking up only two yellow cards. Both sides are disciplined in defence, but the Croatians’ pressing game and better passing accuracy (even if the precise value for the last five games is limited) should guide them to a narrow, hard-fought victory. Don’t be surprised to see a cagey start, but Hajduk’s composure and tournament experience should see them through.

Team Analysis

Hajduk Split’s last five matches have been a portrait of edges and nerves. Most recently, they battled Zira to a 1-1 away draw, failing to assert complete dominance but showing clinical edge, courtesy of Kalik’s impressive form. That draw follows a narrow 1-2 defeat to LASK, and two consecutive 1-0 wins against Posusje and Radomlje, signalling a team capable of grinding out results in tense scenarios. However, their output is low for a side of their standing, indicating structural discipline sometimes comes at the expense of offensive adventure. Defensively, they have been sturdy, conceding few big chances yet must avoid lapses as seen versus LASK.

Zira, under Rashad Sadyqov, have offered flashes of plucky ambition – none more so than peppering Hajduk’s area with 20 shots in the first-leg draw. Earlier, they suffered a bruising 0-4 battering by Qarabag, but steadied with a 1-0 win over Araz and a 1-1 stalemate with Sabah Baku. The Azerbaijani side do not shy from attacking, and Konate’s recent midfield surges may again provide their main attacking threat. Still, defensive frailties are notable: when put under sustained pressure, as with Qarabag, gaps have been exploited with alarming ease.

🚨Read our full Hajduk Split vs Zira stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite

• Moneyline Hajduk Split 1.34 | Zira 7.97
• Draw 4.38
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.74
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.42 | No 1.49

Bookmakers position Hajduk Split as strong favourites, reflected in a dominant 68 percent win probability compared to Zira’s slim 11 percent. The gap is justified: Hajduk’s pedigree in continental competitions outstrips Zira’s, and their underlying defensive metrics suggest they’ll allow few clear chances. The relatively high odds on Zira to win reflect both their recent struggles and Hajduk’s ability to control proceedings even without cutting loose offensively. With modest prices on under 2.5 goals and “No” for BTTS, the market expects a low-scoring and possibly one-sided affair.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Hajduk Split possible starting eleven

Hajduk Split should retain their favoured 4-1-4-1, the back four offering solidity through Hrgovic and Melnjak, while Kalik and Krovinović marshal transitions in the centre park. Livaja, up front, remains a focal point; however, watch for Kalik’s late runs into the box. Expect discipline and careful buildup, seeking to unlock Zira’s deep block especially via set pieces and wide play.

Zira possible starting eleven

Zira set up in 4-2-3-1, with discipline at the heart of defence led by Renato and Acka. Konate’s attacking instincts will be key, supported by Gomis. Expect the wingers to work hard in defence and transition, but Zira may rely on breaking quickly after recovering possession deep. Watch Konate and Papunashvili for invention, although containment will be their priority.

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My take on the Match

Our main pick: Hajduk Split -1 Asian Handicap.
Let’s be honest – Hajduk’s continental status, squad depth, and collective experience make them clear favourites against a Zira side that punches above their weight, especially in their home league, but lacks the defensive discipline and tournament pedigree of the Croatians. Yet, football thrives on drama! If Zira can channel the attacking adventure on display in the first leg and catch Hajduk in transition, we could see a nervier contest than the bookies predict. Ultimately, though, Hajduk’s composure and experience should tell. We’ll stick with the edge for Hajduk, expecting a controlled, hard-earned 2-0 or 1-0 win, but certainly, the beautifully unpredictable nature of European qualifiers could keep us all on our toes.

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