Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo Prediction: 17.08.2025 1. HNL 2025/26 Preview

A summer showdown at Stadion Poljud never lacks intrigue, but this particular clash between Hajduk Split and Slaven Belupo signals more than just three points up for grabs. Both teams have enjoyed promising starts to the new campaign, with Hajduk boasting a perfect record so far, but Slaven Belupo’s attacking intent this season suggests we could be in for compelling viewing. Gonzalo García’s hosts are disciplined and creative in equal measure, while Mario Gregurina’s visitors are keen to prove their mettle after an encouraging run of form in both domestic and regional competition.

Keep an eye on Hajduk’s versatile midfielder Yassine Benrahou, already a handful for defenders and a major creative force, while Slaven Belupo’s Ivan Božić has been quick off the mark—finding the net and facilitating attacks with admirable regularity. These talents could very well tip the balance in their side’s favour.

And here’s a hot stat for you: Hajduk Split have racked up 61 shots in just their last five matches—talk about offensive intent!

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Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo prediction

The odds heavily favour Hajduk Split and for good reason: they’re unbeaten in their opening fixtures, their offensive play is dynamic, and they possess the league’s joint-best defensive record after two rounds. With 7 goals scored in their last five matches and a fluid 4-3-3 system, Hajduk are both proactive and confident on the ball. While Slaven Belupo, despite having carved out some excellent results recently, have been somewhat profligate in front of goal, registering just three goals in their last five games.

Both sides are physical—24 fouls for Hajduk and 25 for Slaven Belupo over the last five matches—suggesting this could be a spicy contest. Bookings are also above average, especially in midfield duels. Hajduk, however, enjoy a slightly higher share of the ball, dictated by their superior passing accuracy of 85.4% compared to Slaven’s 83.3%. With ball retention and pressing likely to be major themes, expect Hajduk’s attacking depth and midfield creativity to eventually unpick the visitors’ resistance.

Team Analysis

Hajduk Split have hit the ground running this season. Their recent 2-0 win over Gorica demonstrated impressive energy—high-pressing, quick transitions and smart wing play courtesy of Michele Šego and Yassine Benrahou. Prior to that, a hard-fought 2-1 victory against Istra 1961 showed their ability to carve out results even under defensive pressure, with the midfield trio combining well to maintain control. Their solitary blip came in a closely-fought European clash with Dinamo Tirana, edging the home leg before narrowly losing the return.

Slaven Belupo have also looked lively, racking up a 3-1 triumph over Varazdin to kick off the league and demonstrating resilience despite a 0-2 setback against Rijeka. Ivan Božić remains their most potent weapon—his movement and link-up play continue to trouble defensive lines. Defensively, though, questions remain, as evidenced by the pair of heavy defeats in pre-season friendlies, suggesting Hajduk’s attacking patterns may expose some frailties here.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite

• Moneyline Hajduk Split 1.62 | Slaven Belupo 5.20
• Draw 3.90
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.00 | No 1.80

The bookies have nailed Hajduk as favourites and rightly so. Their form, control of games, and home advantage make them difficult to oppose. Slaven Belupo are dangerous on their day, but the recent stats clearly favour Hajduk in all the major departments—especially at Poljud, where their record remains formidable. The value leans towards a home win with the potential for a convincing margin should Hajduk turn early chances into goals.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Hajduk Split possible starting eleven

• GK: Ivica Ivušić
• DF: Dario Melnjak, Fran Karačić, Zvonimir Šarlija, Branimir Mlačić
• MF: Adrion Pajaziti, Filip Krovinović, Yassine Benrahou
• FW: Michele Šego, Abdoulie Sanyang, Roko Brajković

The selection reflects those who’ve featured most this term, with stability across the backline and a blend of youth and experience in midfield. Yassine Benrahou is the pivot—linking play and contributing crucial goals, while Krovinović excels in the distribution role. Expect the tried-and-tested 4-3-3 with Šego and Sanyang flanking Brajković up front, bringing directness and flair to the attack.

Slaven Belupo possible starting eleven

• GK: Osman Hadžikić
• DF: Dominik Kovačić, Zvonimir Katalinić, Tomislav Božić, Filip Kruselj
• MF: Mihail Caimacov, Adriano Jagusić, Micheal Agbekpornu
• FW: Josip Mitrović, Ivan Božić, Ivan Božić (could flex with ante suto if needed)

Slaven’s likely stick with a 4-3-3 as well, putting faith in the consistency of Kovačić and Katalinić at the back. Their midfield trio works to cover ground quickly, particularly Agbekpornu who’s become indispensable. Josip Mitrović and Ivan Božić up top are always dangerous on the counter, and could exploit any high defensive line Hajduk deploy—though sustained offensive pressure will be required to break the hosts’ rhythm.

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My take on the Match

For all the anticipation, this fixture looks made for Hajduk. They’re in irrepressible form, boast depth and versatility in their attacking options, and are riding the high of an unbeaten league run. Slaven Belupo always bring a competitive edge and with Ivan Božić leading the line they’ve the potential to carve out opportunities, but Poljud is a fortress for Hajduk at present. My pick? Hajduk Split to win by at least two clear goals, underpinned by a vibrant midfield display and relentless pressing. If Slaven Belupo do breach the home defence, it’ll be down to quick transitions and set-pieces rather than sustained possession.

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