Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo Prediction: 07.02.2026 1. HNL Preview

As the midpoint of the Croatian league campaign draws close, Hajduk Split prepare to host Slaven Belupo in what could well be a defining clash for both teams’ ambitions this season. Meeting at the iconic Stadion Poljud, this fixture has always had its share of intrigue—with Hajduk’s home advantage and Belupo’s knack for springing surprises in away fixtures. While Hajduk seek to keep pace with Dinamo Zagreb at the top, Slaven Belupo sit mid-table, eager to climb and stake a claim for European contention.

Keep an eye on Filip Krovinović, whose orchestration from midfield often dictates Hajduk’s rhythm, and Slaven Belupo’s Ilija Nestorovski, a forward always ready to capitalise on even the slightest defensive lapse. These two could very well tip the balance on the night.

The “hot stat”? In their last five league matches, both sides have produced an identical 43 total shots—an odd symmetry given Hajduk’s higher scoring expectations and suggests Belupo’s ability to fashion chances even in tough away matches.

🏅Best bets for Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo at WinSpirit with a Welcome bonus 100% up to 100$ and 25% Freebet💰

Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo prediction

This fixture finds both clubs battling with their own inconsistencies. Hajduk Split boast a 60 percent win rate over the last 30 days, but recent defeats against Gorica and Istra 1961 have raised questions about their defensive resolve. Slaven Belupo, on the other hand, have managed a string of draws, and a confidence-boosting win over KF Arsimi, but still struggle for true consistency on the road.

The best value here looks to be a Hajduk Split win, possibly with a handicap—given both the home side’s attacking edge and Belupo’s leaky defence (32 goals conceded in 20 league matches). Expect Hajduk to control possession (their pass accuracy over the last five: a sharp 85 percent average) and press high, while Belupo will likely sit deeper and try to hit on the break via Nestorovski.

Discipline may play a role: Belupo have accumulated double the fouls (30 vs Hajduk’s 15) in recent outings and tend to collect more yellow cards, suggesting set-pieces could provide Hajduk with an additional scoring edge. With both teams capable of creating—and conceding—chances, a high-scoring affair is not out of the question, though Hajduk’s home form and superior squad depth tip the balance.

Team Analysis

Hajduk Split have oscillated between impressive attacking displays and frustrating losses. Their latest defeat, a 0-1 setback against Gorica, highlighted familiar problems: plenty of possession (950 passes in their last five matches at 85 percent accuracy) but a struggle to turn dominance into goals. Before that, a resilient 2-0 win over the Bosnian side Siroki Brijeg showcased their ability to manage tight affairs, with Filip Krovinović and Niko Kristian Sigur pulling strings in midfield. The team’s defensive shape, usually a 4-2-3-1, sometimes leaves them exposed out wide—a potential worry against swift Belupo counters.

Slaven Belupo have seen a mixed bag of results in recent weeks. A 0-2 home loss to Varaždin painted a story of missed chances and defensive lapses. Previously, they rallied to hold Rijeka 2-2, displaying character with goals from Nestorovski and Adriano Jagusic. The major concern for Belupo is their discipline: they’ve given away too many fouls and yellow cards in their last five, often disrupting their own rhythm. Their 4-2-3-1 setup mirrors Hajduk’s but is generally more conservative in away fixtures, relying heavily on quick transitions.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite

• Moneyline Hajduk Split 1.59 | Slaven Belupo 5.40
• Draw 3.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.95
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.82 | No 1.90

The odds distinctly favour Hajduk Split—not surprising, given their stronger home form and higher league standing. The value on a Hajduk win is perhaps more in combining with handicap or goal markets, as Belupo’s defensive record is patchy at best. The tight odds for both teams to score reflect Slaven Belupo’s ability to create chances and nick a goal, even when pegged back. The market expects goals, but not a blowout—precisely the sort of contest we’ve seen from these two in recent clashes.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Possible Starting Lineups

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

My take on the Match

Given current forms and squad strengths, my pick is firmly with Hajduk Split to notch a bounce-back win—most likely by a two-goal margin. Their controlled build-up, depth in midfield, and home crowd at Stadion Poljud give them the upper hand, though Belupo have enough about them to get on the scoresheet with Nestorovski lurking. Expect a fast-paced, compelling encounter, with Hajduk’s technical and physical balance ultimately proving decisive.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG