Liam Duckstein
Haiti and Peru meet in Bergen on June 6 in what looks like a genuinely open friendly. Both sides arrive with mixed recent form, and the match carries a pre-World Cup preparation feel. What makes this fixture interesting is that Haiti scored four goals without reply in their last outing against New Zealand, while Peru have gone winless in their last two matches, drawing with Honduras and losing to Senegal.
Two players worth watching are Haiti’s attacking core, which carried the team through that comfortable win over New Zealand, and Peru’s midfield anchor who will need to dictate tempo against a Haitian side that presses high in a 4-4-2 shape. Peru’s 4-2-3-1 gives them a structured base, but their lack of wins this year makes them vulnerable to quick transitions.
Hot stat: Haiti put four goals past New Zealand in their most recent match, a clean sheet win that stands as their best performance of the year and the clearest sign that coach Sébastien Migné has found some attacking rhythm.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Haiti vs Peru Prediction
Peru enter as slight favourites according to the bookmakers, and the odds reflect a genuine split in opinion. At around 2.20 to 2.27, Peru to win carries some value, but their 0% win rate across two matches this year makes that price feel generous for the Peruvians. Haiti, on the other hand, arrive with a 4-0 win fresh in their legs and a 100% win rate over the last 30 days.
We predict Haiti to at least avoid defeat here. The double chance Haiti or Draw, given the open nature of the fixture and Peru’s recent struggles in front of goal, looks like the strongest value play. A low-scoring match is also possible. Peru drew 2-2 with Honduras and lost 0-2 to Senegal, suggesting their defensive shape under Mano Menezes still has problems to solve.
Haiti’s 4-4-2 tends to be compact and direct, which suits a team looking to hit on the counter. Peru’s 4-2-3-1 offers more possession-based structure, but without wins this year, that structure has not translated into results. The disciplined Haitian block could frustrate Peru, especially with the neutral venue removing any crowd advantage.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Haiti Double Chance (Haiti or Draw) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Haiti have played three matches in 2026, winning one and losing one, with a draw against Iceland rounding things out. Their most recent match, a 4-0 win over New Zealand on June 4, is the standout result. New Zealand are ranked lower, but a four-goal margin without conceding signals real confidence in the Haitian setup. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Iceland and lost 0-1 to Tunisia. The Tunisia defeat came against a side that has been solid defensively this year, so reading too much into that result is not necessary. Coach Migné appears to be shaping a direct, physical side that can punish weaker opponents quickly.
Peru’s 2026 record tells a different story. They have played twice and won neither. A 2-2 draw with Honduras was followed by a 0-2 loss to Senegal. Going back further, their last win came against Bolivia in March 2026, a 2-0 result that feels distant now. They also lost to Chile 1-2 and drew 1-1 with Russia. The pattern across those five matches is inconsistency: capable of scoring but prone to conceding, and unable to string results together. Mano Menezes has the squad to do better, but the current run suggests the team needs this fixture to rebuild confidence rather than prove a point.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
There is only one recorded head-to-head entry between these two sides in the current dataset, and that match has not yet been played. The fixture on June 6 is therefore set to be a rare meeting between these two nations.
🚨Check out our dedicated Haiti vs Peru stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Peru the Favourite
- Moneyline Haiti 3.06 – 3.30 | Peru 2.15 – 2.43
- Draw 3.00 – 3.30
Peru are the bookmaker favourite, sitting between 2.15 and 2.43 depending on the platform. That range is wide enough to suggest uncertainty. Haiti at 3.06 to 3.30 represents genuine value given their recent form. The draw sitting around 3.00 to 3.30 is also attractive, particularly with both sides lacking consistency. Pinnacle, which typically reflects the sharpest market, has Haiti at 3.26 and Peru at 2.27, which we consider the most honest reflection of the true probability. Betting on Haiti to win or draw at those prices offers better expected value than backing Peru at a deflated 2.15 on some platforms.
Possible Starting Lineups
Haiti Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Josué Duverger
- DF: Mechack Jérôme, Steeven Saba, Duckens Nazon, Béthuel Muzungu
- MF: Frantzdy Pierrot, Wilde-Donald Guerrier, Derrick Étienne, James Léandre
- FW: Duckens Nazon, Kevin Lafrance
Sébastien Migné has settled into a 4-4-2 shape across recent matches. The wide midfielders provide the width to stretch opponents, while the two forwards press high and look for quick transitions. Given the 4-0 win over New Zealand, expect minimal changes to the starting eleven. Derrick Étienne is a player to watch; his ability to carry the ball and create in tight spaces adds a different dimension to Haiti’s attack.
Peru Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Pedro Gallese
- DF: Luis Advíncula, Alexander Callens, Carlos Zambrano, Miguel Trauco
- MF: Renato Tapia, Sergio Peña, André Carrillo, Christofer Gonzales
- FW: Edison Flores, Gianluca Lapadula
Mano Menezes has favoured a 4-2-3-1 structure, using a double pivot to protect the defence and allowing the number ten to link play between midfield and attack. Pedro Gallese remains the clear first-choice goalkeeper and will be tested if Haiti replicate their pressing game. Lapadula up front is Peru’s most reliable goal threat, and his physical presence could cause problems for Haiti’s central defenders. Renato Tapia’s role in midfield will be key to controlling tempo, to be honest.
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Peru. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
This match is genuinely hard to call with confidence, and the bookmakers’ spread reflects that. Peru are ranked higher globally and carry more pedigree on paper, but their 2026 results have been poor. Haiti arrive on the back of their best performance of the year and look organised under Migné.
We predict a low-scoring match, possibly ending 1-0 or 1-1. Haiti’s compact 4-4-2 will limit Peru’s space, and Peru’s recent inability to convert chances makes a high-scoring game unlikely. The best bet remains Haiti or Draw on the double chance, with Under 2.5 goals as the supporting pick. Both teams scoring is not something we favour here, given Haiti’s clean sheet in their last match and Peru’s struggles in front of goal against Senegal.
