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Guatemala vs Suriname Predictions: Odds and betting tips for FIFA World Cup CONCACAF Qualification 2026 Match - 19.11.2025

18.11.2025, 07:15

The stage is set at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in Guatemala City, where the fierce contest between Guatemala and Suriname will unfold on 19 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 03:00 CEST. This is a pivotal matchup in the FIFA World Cup CONCACAF Qualification 2026, Round 3 Group A. Both teams arrive at a critical moment in group play, with Suriname occupying first place with nine points, while Guatemala sits third with five points and their qualification hopes hanging in the balance.

Key individuals shaping this narrative include Suriname’s explosive midfielder Richonell Margaret, who has been in scintillating form, netting two goals in his recent outing, and Guatemala’s young star Arquimides Ordóñez, whose pace and directness provide the primary offensive outlet for his side.

The most striking statistic ahead of this encounter is Suriname’s impressive unbeaten record in the group (won 2, drawn 3), including a dominant 4-0 victory over El Salvador, while Guatemala have managed just one win and one draw in their last five group stage appearances.

20:00Finished18.11.2025
3GuatemalaGuatemala
1SurinameSuriname

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Guatemala vs Suriname predictions

My best bet: Suriname to win. Considering the attacking output and current group form, Suriname not only enter as the statistical favorites according to bookmakers (46% win probability), but also boast a higher level of offensive consistency and defensive solidity. The midfield work of Dhoraso Klas and the finishing touch of Richonell Margaret are likely to create the decisive edge against Guatemala’s less-prolific frontline.

Analyzing both teams’ playing styles reveals Guatemala’s typically compact 3-4-2-1 system emphasizes defensive discipline with occasional forays led by Ordóñez or Santis. They average high ball recoveries but their offensive transitions yield modest goals. Guatemala tend to collect slightly fewer fouls (11) than Suriname (15), indicating disciplined play, but the lack of incisiveness up front remains an issue.

Suriname, under Stanley Menzo, favor a fluid 4-3-3 formation, generating width and sharpness in attack, as evidenced by their recent 4-goal performance. They deliver fewer shots (13 compared to Guatemala’s 24 in the latest span) but make their offensive actions count. Their higher foul count and yellow card tally hint at an aggressive pressing mentality, which could disrupt Guatemala’s passing rhythm.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: No
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Guatemala vs Suriname Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Guatemala Suriname
Goals 1 1
Total shots 24 13
Free kicks 2 1
Corner kicks 9 2
Total fouls 11 15
Pass accuracy (%) 82.5 83.7
Interceptions 11 11
Offsides 1 0

When these teams last met in group play, the match ended 1-1, underlining the balanced rivalry. Guatemala managed more shots and corners, pushing forward aggressively but lacking clinical execution. Suriname, on the other hand, excelled in efficiency and saw their midfield control manifest in fewer, but often more dangerous, attempts. The underlying trend is Suriname’s adaptability under pressure and their ability to withstand periods of Guatemalan possession.

🚨Read our full Guatemala vs Suriname stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Suriname are unbeaten so far in this qualification group (2 wins, 3 draws), conceding just three goals in five matches.
  • Guatemala have scored only five goals in five group matches, one of the lowest attacking rates among Group A teams.
  • Suriname’s last victory over El Salvador saw them tally four goals with clinical finishing from midfield runners.
  • Average pass accuracy for the teams in their head-to-head: Guatemala 82.5%, Suriname 83.7%.
  • Suriname have a higher yellow card average in their last five, reflecting their robust pressing style.

Guatemala vs Suriname score prediction: 0-1

The most likely scoreline is a narrow 1-0 victory in favor of Suriname. Expect Guatemala to dominate periods of possession, particularly through the work of Santis and Ordóñez, but Suriname’s swift transitions and clinical finishing — especially via Margaret and Klas — should be decisive. Warner Hahn is expected to maintain composure between the posts for Suriname, while Hagen will be under pressure to organize Guatemala’s fragmented defense.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Suriname the favourite

Moneyline Guatemala 3.80 | Suriname 2.00
Draw 3.20
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.50 | Under 2.5 1.53
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.97 | No 1.85

With Suriname handed a clear edge by bookmakers (average win odds at 2.00 vs. Guatemala’s 3.80), expectation leans towards an away victory. The low odds for under 2.5 goals (1.53) accurately reflect recent defensive resilience and lack of prolific scoring from both teams. The odds for both teams to score are finely balanced, but given Guatemala’s limitations in attack and Suriname’s defensive approach, a solo-goal game is likely.

Guatemala vs Suriname Over/Under Analysis

  • Guatemala’s last five matches saw under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 fixtures.
  • Suriname kept three clean sheets in their last five group games.
  • Matches between these sides are typically low-scoring, with only two goals scored over their recent two meetings.
  • Given recent outcomes, under 2.5 goals and few big scoring chances remain strong value picks.

Guatemala Preview

Recent results for Guatemala paint a challenging picture: only one victory in their last five group fixtures. Their most recent match, a 2-3 home defeat to Panama, featured a more open and attacking approach yet ultimately revealed persistent defensive frailty. Goals remain in short supply — despite creative sparks from Ordóñez and Santis, Guatemala have found the net just five times in five matches. Their midfield, often anchored by Morales and Saravia, maintains high passing accuracy but struggles to convert possession into clear scoring opportunities.

21:00Finished13.11.2025
2GuatemalaGuatemala
3PanamaPanama

Guatemala possible starting eleven

  • GK: Nicholas Hagen Godoy
  • DF: Stheven Robles Ruiz, Jose Ardon, Jose Pinto Samayoa, Aaron Herrera, Jonathan Francisco Franco González
  • MF: J. Morales, Rodrigo Saravia, Pedro Manuel Altán Hernández, Jose Rosales
  • FW: Arquimides Ordóñez, Oscar Santis

Suriname Preview

Suriname enter this clash in strong form, fresh off a commanding 4-0 win against El Salvador. Standout performances from the likes of Richonell Margaret, who scored twice, and midfield orchestrator Dhoraso Klas reflect their attacking verve and defensive reliability. Over their last five outings, Suriname’s only concern has been maintaining disciplinary composure due to a slight uptick in yellow cards. Their balanced 4-3-3 formation allows for dynamic build-up, with Ridgeciano Haps providing width from the back and Warner Hahn offering security as keeper.

17:00Finished13.11.2025
4SurinameSuriname
0El SalvadorEl Salvador

Suriname possible starting eleven

  • GK: Warner Hahn
  • DF: Shaquille Pinas, Myenty Abena, Ridgeciano Haps
  • MF: Dhoraso Klas, Jean-Paul Boëtius, Denzel Jubitana
  • FW: Richonell Margaret, Gleofilo Vlijter, Jaden Sean Montnor

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As Tips.GG experts, our main pick is an away win for Suriname. The team’s tactical adaptability, recent run of form, and potent attacking line, particularly Margaret’s finishing, give them the decisive edge. Guatemala, while organized and resilient under pressure, lack the sharpness in front of goal to tip the balance in their favor. Our AI prediction engine assigns a 46 percent probability to a Suriname victory, mirroring bookmaker consensus and reflecting the technical superiority seen in recent matches.

How to watch Guatemala vs Suriname

  • When? 19 November 2025, kick-off at 03:00 CEST
  • Where? Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
  • How to watch: Check national broadcasters, FIFA TV, and streaming via official CONCACAF partners
  • Favorite: Suriname
Suriname

Suriname. Source: Official Website

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