Liam Duckstein
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Guatemala and Suriname are meeting for the second time in barely a week, and this rematch in Guatemala City carries real weight for the top spot in League A Group B. The first leg finished goalless just days ago, a result that left Suriname on top of the table with seven points while Guatemala sit third with four. That tight scoreline tells punters plenty about how cagey this fixture could get again, even on home turf for Los Chapines.
Suriname arrive with momentum, unbeaten in their last five outings across all competitions, while Guatemala have won only once in their last five. The hosts will fancy their chances at home, but Suriname’s away form this year has been the stronger of the two sides by a clear margin.
Two players worth watching closely here are William Fajardo for Guatemala and Gyrano Kerk for Suriname. Fajardo has scored three goals in his last five appearances and takes most of Guatemala’s set pieces, making him the main outlet when the hosts need a breakthrough. Kerk, who has a goal and two assists in his last five games, drifts into pockets of space behind the striker and has been Suriname’s most dangerous creative presence all window.
Hot stat: Guatemala have scored eight goals in their last five matches, including a 6-0 thrashing of El Salvador, yet they have won just one of those five games. That swing between a rampant attack and a leaky defense, shown by back-to-back 0-3 losses to Ecuador and Czech Republic, sums up how unpredictable this Guatemala side can be.
| 🏆 Tournament: | CONCACAF Nations League 2026/27, League A Group B |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Guatemala vs Suriname prediction
We predict a narrow edge for the visitors here. Suriname sit top of the group on merit, they have lost none of their last five games, and their away record this year beats Guatemala’s home form by a wide margin. The reverse fixture ending 0-0 suggests both sides respect each other defensively, but Suriname’s control of possession and set-piece delivery should give them the slightly better route to a winning goal.
Guatemala’s attack can hurt teams in bursts, as the 6-0 win over El Salvador proved, but their back line has shipped goals to Ecuador, Czech Republic and Jamaica in recent outings. Suriname foul less often and commit fewer cards, which usually means fewer disruptions to their passing rhythm, while Guatemala’s higher foul count against Suriname’s superior pass accuracy could leave the hosts chasing shadows for long spells. Corner numbers also favor the visitors heavily, with Suriname racking up 18 corners in their last five games against Guatemala’s six.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Suriname Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Guatemala’s most recent outing was that scoreless draw away to Suriname, a result that snapped a run of goals at both ends in previous games. Before that they thumped El Salvador 6-0, but sandwiched between those two results sit losses to Jamaica, Ecuador and Czech Republic, three games in which they conceded eight goals combined. The pattern points to a team capable of big scores against weaker opposition but shaky once facing organized defenses, which Suriname certainly bring.
Suriname’s own last match was the identical 0-0 draw in Guatemala City, a result that kept their unbeaten run intact. Before that they beat Martinique 2-1 and Honduras 3-2, two wins built on quick counters and set-piece threats through Kenneth Paal and Yannick Leliendal. Their only blemish this year came against Bolivia, but since then Henk Fraser’s side have looked considerably tighter at the back, conceding only once across their last three games prior to the Guatemala draw.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Guatemala | Suriname |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Guatemala vs Suriname stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Guatemala the favourite
- Moneyline Guatemala 1.97 | Suriname 3.20
- Draw 3.30
Bookmakers lean toward Guatemala purely because of home advantage, with odds around 1.97 on the hosts compared to 3.20 for Suriname. To be honest, we think that gap undersells Suriname’s current form and table position. Guatemala’s inconsistency this year, winning just one of seven matches, makes the draw price at 3.30 worth a second look, and perhaps even a small side-bet value given how the first leg between these two sides played out.
Possible Starting Lineups
Guatemala possible starting eleven
- GK: Kénderson Navarro
- DF: Aaron Herrera, José Morales, Nicolás Samayoa, Carlos Estrada
- MF: Jorge Aparicio, Olger Escobar, Matthew Dominic Evans Wolff, Jonathan Franco, Stheven Robles Ruiz
- FW: William Fajardo
Luis Fernando Tena tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 shape, and Navarro gets the nod in goal given his save count across the last five games. Herrera and Morales anchor the back line, while Aparicio and Escobar screen in front of them. Fajardo leads the line alone and remains the player to watch given his direct free kicks and goal involvement this window.
Suriname possible starting eleven
- GK: Etienne Vaessen
- DF: Myenty Abena, Liam Van Gelderen, Kenneth Paal, Shaquille Pinas
- MF: Shiloh ‘t Zand, Justin Lonwijk, Gyrano Kerk, Richonell Margaret, Denilho Cleonise
- FW: Denzel Jubitana
Henk Fraser also favors a 4-2-3-1 setup, with Vaessen untested but reliable in goal over the last five matches. ‘t Zand and Lonwijk sit deep, letting Kerk roam between the lines, a role in which he has produced his best numbers this year. Jubitana leads the attack and gives Suriname a focal point for the service coming from wide areas.
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Suriname. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Suriname avoid defeat here, backed by their table-topping position and a defense that has only improved since the Bolivia setback. Guatemala’s home crowd and attacking spells give them a puncher’s chance, but the identical goalless draw from the first leg suggests both coaches know how to cancel each other out. Our team leans toward a low-scoring affair, perhaps finishing level again, with Suriname’s double chance offering the smarter staking option over a straight home win.
