Rafael Nogueira
Group F’s top two face off at Brann Stadion, Bergen, with Gremio chasing group leaders Montevideo City Torque. The home side trails by just two points, setting the stage for a high-stakes contest. Gremio’s Martin Braithwaite, a forward in excellent form, and Montevideo City Torque’s Salomón Rodríguez, who recently scored, stand out as the players most likely to impact the outcome. Gremio’s defensive record—only one goal conceded in the group—signals resilience, but Torque’s efficiency in attack, with nine group goals, keeps the contest open.
Hot stat: Gremio has allowed just one goal in five group matches, underlining defensive solidity.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Sudamericana 2026 – Group F |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Gremio vs Montevideo City Torque prediction
We predict Gremio to take the win. The odds favor Gremio heavily, and with the group’s best defense, a win would secure their place in the knockout stage. Their disciplined structure limits chances for opponents. Montevideo City Torque’s attack has produced, but the quality of Gremio’s backline, paired with superior shot volume (46 vs 24 in the last five matches), tips the scales.
Both teams tend to play with measured aggression. Gremio’s 11 yellow cards and 68 fouls in five recent games indicate a willingness to break up play and press high. Torque commits fewer fouls (24) and sees fewer bookings (6 yellows), but this could leave them exposed against Gremio’s pacey forwards. Ball retention is another clear split: Gremio averages 398 passes per match with 83% accuracy, while Torque lags at just 115 passes per game and 64% accuracy. This disparity suggests Gremio will control the game’s tempo and force Torque to chase the ball for extended spells.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Gremio to Win & Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Gremio’s recent performances show consistency and discipline. In their last match, they beat Santos 3-2, showcasing attacking flexibility and a capacity to close out tight games. Previous fixtures include a 2-0 win over Palestino and a solid draw against Bahia, reflecting both attacking potential and defensive grit.
Montevideo City Torque comes in with confidence from a 2-1 win over Progreso. Their four wins in five group matches underline efficiency, but the schedule has included less competitive sides. Their 4-1 win over Deportivo Riestra showed attacking sharpness, but conceding in four of their last five indicates potential defensive frailty.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Gremio | Montevideo City Torque |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Total shots | 11 | 7 |
| Free kicks | 12 | 9 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 2 |
| Total fouls | 15 | 10 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81 | 72 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 7 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Gremio vs Montevideo City Torque stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gremio the favourite
- Moneyline Gremio 1.50 | Montevideo City Torque 6.65
- Draw 4.24
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.40 | No 1.53
Bookmakers clearly back Gremio to win, giving them a strong 63% implied probability. The draw is plausible but unlikely given the attacking quality of both sides. Montevideo City Torque’s odds suggest an upset is improbable. The under 2.5 goals market is valued, matching both teams’ recent scoring trends and Gremio’s defense. The low “Both Teams to Score” odds reflect Gremio’s tendency to shut out opponents.
Possible Starting Lineups
Gremio possible starting eleven
- GK: Weverton Pereira da Silva
- DF: Marcos Rocha, Viery, Walter Kannemann, Wagner Leonardo
- MF: Erick Noriega, Leonel Pérez, Gabriel Mec
- FW: Martin Braithwaite, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius
Weverton brings reliability in goal. The back four, anchored by Kannemann and Viery, has kept the defensive line solid. Noriega and Pérez offer ball-winning ability, while Amuzu and Braithwaite drive the attack. Expect a 4-3-3, maximizing width and pressing from the front. Braithwaite’s movement and Vinícius’s finishing are key.
Montevideo City Torque possible starting eleven
- GK: Franco Torgnascioli
- DF: Franco Pizzichillo, Gary Kagelmacher, Facundo Silvera, Franco Romero
- MF: Pablo Siles, Bautista Kociubinski, Gonzalo Montes
- FW: Salomón Rodríguez, Facundo Silvera, Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero
Torgnascioli starts in goal. Pizzichillo and Silvera provide width from full-back. The midfield trio handles ball progression, while Salomón Rodríguez remains the main threat up front. Montevideo City Torque likely stick with a 4-2-3-1, focusing on compactness and transition play. Rodríguez’s physical presence and Pizzichillo’s overlapping runs are the danger points.
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Gremio. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Gremio holds the upper hand, both in recent form and squad depth. We predict a narrow win for Gremio, perhaps 1-0 or 2-0, as their defense controls the pace and stifles Torque’s attempts to break through. The hosts’ experience in managing group-stage pressure will likely prove decisive.
