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Granada CF vs Las Palmas Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2 - 10.10.2025

09.10.2025, 08:49

The Nuevo Los Cármenes in Granada transforms into a theatre of ambition on October 10, 2025, at 21:30 CEST. As La Liga 2 2025/26 edges deeper into its regular season, Granada CF host Las Palmas in a high-stakes encounter where points and pride are on the line. Both clubs come into this match under the watchful eyes of tacticians Pacheta and Luis García, who seek a statement result in a campaign defined by narrow margins and relentless competition.

The stage is set for an intense contest between a Granada CF side keen to climb from 19th place and a resurgent Las Palmas currently perched fourth. Spotlights burn particularly bright for Pedro Alemañ of Granada CF, whose midfield orchestration and recent contributions pose constant threats, and Iván Gil of Las Palmas, a dynamic attacking midfielder with the technical bravery to shift games single-handedly. Their duels and influence around the final third will be pivotal throughout the 90 minutes, above and beyond the narrative shaped by each goalkeeper’s command of the penalty area.

Entering this match, Granada CF delivered a resounding 5-2 win over Real Sociedad B registering their highest single-game goal tally this term, a performance that ignites hope among the Andalusian faithful. From Las Palmas’ view, the memory of a 1-0 victory against then-third-placed Cadiz demonstrates this squad’s resilience and ability to edge tight margins.

14:30Finished10.10.2025

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Granada CF vs Las Palmas predictions

My best bet: Both teams to score (BTTS: Yes). The rationale is the evident attacking potency and defensive vulnerabilities shown recently by both squads. Granada CF’s last match yielded seven total goals, revealing both lethal finishing and lapses at the back. Las Palmas, meanwhile, routinely find a way past opposition defenses but also concede opportunities, even when victorious. With neither defence watertight and each midfield anchored by creative pivots, a high-tempo exchange points squarely towards mutual scoring.

From a style-of-play perspective, Granada CF under Pacheta prioritize direct transitions, pressing forwards quickly yet sometimes at the expense of structural rigidity. Their average of 11 fouls per game and 8 yellow cards over five matches illustrates a combative approach. Conversely, Las Palmas favour possession retention, as underlined by their impressive 86.4 percent pass accuracy, calm build-out from the back, and double-digit corner counts (19 in the same span). However, 9 yellows and a red card show that their tactical fouling is not infrequent. Expect tempo swings as each team imposes its DNA, with possible disruptive spells and set-piece volatility that further raise the odds of a multi-goal game.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Granada CF vs Las Palmas Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Granada CF Las Palmas
Total shots 7 6
Free kicks 13 10
Corner kicks 4 8
Total fouls 15 11
Pass accuracy (%) 78 84
Interceptions 9 12
Offsides 2 1

History between Granada CF and Las Palmas most recently embodied in their July 2024 friendly (1-1) suggests little separation in competitive spirit or tactical outcomes. That match offered a balanced display: forced turnovers, positional discipline, and goalmouth drama on both ends. While friendlies seldom match the full tempo of league play, the parity shown has carried into their league statlines, with both sides matching one another in ball recovery and chance creation.

🚨Read our full Granada CF vs Las Palmas stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Granada CF scored 5 goals in their most recent outing most in a single match this season.
  • Las Palmas have averaged nearly 4 corners per game, highlighting their sustained offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have committed more than 10 fouls per match on average, indicating aggressive defensive approaches and potential for set-piece openings.
  • Granada CF’s Álex Sola and Las Palmas’ Ale García have each directly contributed to 3+ goals in the last five matches.
  • Las Palmas recorded a stellar collective pass accuracy of over 86% in their last five matches.
  • Las Palmas remain undefeated when scoring first this season; Granada CF have not lost a game in which they net the opening goal within 30 minutes.

Granada CF vs Las Palmas score prediction: 2-2

With both midfields boasting creative anchors Pedro Alemañ and Iván Gil and recent attacking form, look for a tactical shootout. While Granada CF’s home advantage and spark from Sola increase their threat, Las Palmas’ ability to meticulously build from the back and the finishing of Ale García and Gil offset defensive frailties. Expect moments of brilliance and errors, with four goals shared: a fair reflection of both squads’ current tendencies and statistical profiles.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Granada CF the favourite

Moneyline Granada CF 2.60 | Las Palmas 2.95
Draw 3.00
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.21 | Under 2.5 1.68
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.83 | No 1.97

Bookmakers install Granada CF as marginal favourites, largely a function of their resounding home win and the psychological advantage of playing before their Andalusian faithful. However, odds remain compressed, reflecting both Las Palmas’ four-match unbeaten streak and the statistical parity between these squads. The Over/Under leans toward fewer than three goals, but trends in recent match data defy this making BTTS and Over 2.5 value propositions. The draw sits at a tempting 3.00: a testament to how closely matched these teams are both tactically and individually.

Granada CF vs Las Palmas Over/Under Analysis

  • Four of Granada CF’s last five matches have seen Over 2.5 goals land.
  • Las Palmas have scored and conceded in each of their last three away matches.
  • Both sides average 1.2+ goals per match this season, with late-game goals frequent.
  • Only one of the last five H2Hs has ended with fewer than three total goals.

Granada CF Preview

Granada CF’s most recent performances offer a blend of volatility and promise. The 5-2 triumph over Real Sociedad B stands as both a testament to their offensive ceiling and a warning sign for defensive shortcomings. Scoring was distributed, with standout contributions from Alemañ and Sola both boasting goals and assists recently. Their narrow 1-0 win over Huesca reveals a side capable of grinding out results, but back-to-back home losses earlier suggest inconsistency remains a problem for Pacheta’s men. Discipline is another area of focus, given 8 bookings and a stubbornly high foul average, both of which can impact rhythm and personnel availability if not contained. Yet, the injection of energy in the attacking third signals a group unwilling to capitulate, particularly before their home support.

15:00Finished04.10.2025

Granada CF possible starting eleven

  • GK: Luca Zidane
  • DF: Manuel Lama Maroto, Baïla Diallo, Loïc Williams, Pau Casadesús
  • MF: Pedro Alemañ, Rubén Alcaraz, Martin Hongla, Luka Gagnidze
  • FW: Álex Sola, Jorge Pascual

Las Palmas Preview

Las Palmas arrive at Nuevo Los Cármenes buoyed by a disciplined 1-0 win against Cadiz a match in which Ivan Gil decisively altered the tempo and proved central in transitions. Their steady 4-2-3-1 foundation under Luis García facilitates both wide overloads and compact defensive phases. A five-match form line of 3 wins and a draw underscores tactical flexibility and mental tenacity, as do set-piece threats created by Ale García and reliability of Sergio Barcia in the backline. However, 9 yellow cards, 1 red, and double-digit fouls per match hint at an aggressive, occasionally risky edge. Ball retention remains a defining strength, as evidenced by their superior passing metrics, and their pressing triggers high up the field often yield turnover opportunities. While defensive open spaces remain a risk, their ability to capitalise on transitions could prove vital.

15:00Finished05.10.2025
0CadizSpain

Las Palmas possible starting eleven

  • GK: Dinko Horkaš
  • DF: Marvin, Alex Suárez, Sergio Barcia, Cristian Gutiérrez
  • MF: Enzo Loiodice, Lorenzo Amatucci, Jonathan Viera, Ivan Gil
  • FW: Ale García, Manu Fuster

Granada-CF. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Granada CF. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

The Verdict

Our expert pick for this match is a draw specifically a high-scoring one, with a strong chance for a 2-2 result. Granada CF’s renewed attacking intent at home meets a versatile Las Palmas side that rarely leaves empty-handed. While Granada CF’s emotional momentum after a five-goal outburst is undeniable, Las Palmas surpass them in discipline and passing accuracy, suggesting spells of control. Both coaches show a penchant for adjustment, and both squads have attacking players in top form; consequently, a split of points is the likely outcome. Our AI prediction engine gives a 34 percent probability for a Granada win, 32 percent for Las Palmas, and 34 percent for a draw mirroring the near-equilibrium in team strengths.

How to watch Granada CF vs Las Palmas

  • When? October 10, 2025 – Kick-off at 21:30 CEST
  • Where? Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada, Spain
  • How to watch: Live on regional and international La Liga 2 broadcasters, select streaming platforms, and via in-play dashboards at regulated sportsbooks.
  • Favorite: Granada CF

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