When La Liga 2 resumes on 19 January 2026, all eyes will be on Nuevo Los Cármenes in Granada as the local side hosts Eibar in a pivotal regular season encounter. Kicking off at 21:30 CEST, this contest arrives with both teams desperate for points Granada fighting to escape relegation and Eibar seeking to steady an inconsistent campaign. Under the floodlights, the historic Granada ground becomes an arena of aspiration, each side eager to script the next chapter in their season.
Granada’s attacking hopes will largely rest on José Manuel Arnáiz, a creative forward adept at finding pockets of space and unlocking defenses, while Eibar’s threat often emanates from the versatile Jon Bautista, whose dynamism and finishing could trouble the home side’s back line. The battle between these key contributors, each with a penchant for decisive moments, may determine the flow and outcome of the match.
“Hot stat”: Granada CF are winless in their last 8 league matches, a drought mirrored by defensive frailties (7 goals conceded in 5 games) and an offensive inefficiency that has yielded only 4 goals in the same period underscoring the uphill climb ahead for Pacheta’s men.
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Granada CF vs Eibar predictions
My best bet: Both teams to score – Yes. Both Granada and Eibar have struggled for consistent clean sheets, particularly Granada, who have left themselves exposed in recent matches (7 goals conceded in 5). Eibar, for their part, have found the net 5 times in their last 5 outings and displayed potency through Jon Bautista and the industrious José Corpas. The sides’ head-to-heads also point to open affairs, with 2 of the last 3 meetings featuring goals for both teams. Given the pressure on both to shift momentum, an aggressive approach from each is likely, making BTTS the standout value.
Stylistically, Granada’s reliance on a 4-2-3-1 formation has seen them push men forward but at a significant cost defensively, evidenced by 55 fouls and 9 yellow cards in their last five matches a sign of chasing possession and lapses in structure. Eibar’s 4-4-2 provides greater midfield solidity but lacks creativity, leading to fewer shots (32 vs Granada’s 57 in the past five) yet a slightly superior win ratio recently. Expect interruptions and heated midfield duels, with frequent fouling and set-piece chances a theme. This disrupted rhythm could open up moments for either team, but Eibar’s patience in transition might just grant them an edge.
Prop picks by me:
- ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
- 🎯Total Corners: Under 8.5
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Granada CF vs Eibar Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Granada CF | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 19 | 18 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 15 |
| Corner kicks | 6 | 10 |
| Total fouls | 24 | 18 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 79 | 72 |
| Interceptions | 14 | 15 |
| Offsides | 4 | 3 |
Their most recent three meetings underline Eibar’s upper hand a 3-0 and 2-0 scoreline in Eibar’s favour before a 1-1 draw last year suggest Granada struggle to break Eibar’s structure. While Granada enjoy more of the ball (higher pass accuracy, marginally more total shots), Eibar’s efficiency in front of goal and willingness to absorb pressure before countering decisively set them apart. Granada’s disciplinary issues (24 fouls in three games) have also blunted their attacking rhythm, gifting Eibar opportunities through set-pieces.
🚨Read our full Granada CF vs Eibar stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Granada CF have failed to win a match in their last eight league outings.
- Eibar are unbeaten in the last three head-to-heads with a 2W-1D record.
- Granada average 2.2 yellow cards per match (last five).
- Both sides combine for an average of 1.8 goals per match this season.
- Eibar average just under one goal per game since the start of the campaign.
- Granada’s home matches average 1.9 goals per game.
- No red cards for either team in the last five fixtures competitive but rarely descending into chaos.
Granada CF vs Eibar score prediction: 1-2
A 1-2 Eibar win looks the most likely outcome, given their historical edge in this fixture and marginally stronger recent form. Eibar’s attacking trio of Jon Bautista, José Corpas, and Javier Martón is poised to capitalize on Granada’s lapses at the back, while José Manuel Arnáiz could exploit Eibar’s rare lapses for the hosts. The dynamics suggest an open contest but with Eibar better equipped to convert chances when it counts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Granada CF the favourite
| Moneyline | Granada CF 2.36 | Eibar 3.23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.25 | Under 2.5 1.55 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.90 | No 1.80 | |
Despite Granada’s recent winless run, the bookmakers edge them as home favourites, likely accounting for the traditional bounce a side receives on familiar turf. Eibar’s higher draw price suggests lower public confidence, but their strong head-to-head record and Granada’s struggle to close matches suggest significant value at those odds. The market expects a tight, possibly low-scoring contest mirrored by the relative attractiveness of ‘Under 2.5’, but the recent defensive vulnerabilities on both sides point to the greater potential in goals and BTTS bets.
Granada CF vs Eibar Over/Under Analysis
- Four of Granada’s last five matches have seen Over 2.5 goals land.
- Eibar have scored in four of their last five league matches.
- Granada have conceded at least once in every match since early December.
- Last three H2Hs: two over, one under (goals market remains volatile).
- Granada average 11 total shots per home league match, but conversion rate remains low (under 0.8 goals per game at home).
Granada CF Preview
Granada arrive at this fixture under significant pressure, and their most recent encounter a 0-0 draw with Castellon encapsulates both their defensive toil and offensive frustration. While Granada managed the majority of possession and carved out more shots, inefficiency in the final third and hasty decision-making proved costly. The absence of a clinical striker was evident, and even with creative efforts from Arnáiz and Pablo Saenz, clear-cut chances evaded them. Set-piece opportunities failed to provide a breakthrough, and discipline remains a concern, with frequent yellow cards disrupting momentum. Manager Pacheta faces a balancing act: inject sharper attacking impetus without sacrificing defensive solidity.
Granada CF possible starting eleven

- GK: Ander Astralaga
- DF: Loïc Williams, Manuel Lama Maroto, Baïla Diallo, Diego Hormigo
- MF: Sergio Ruiz, Manu Trigueros, Pedro Alemañ, Rubén Alcaraz
- FW: José Manuel Arnáiz, Jorge Pascual
Eibar Preview
Eibar’s last five outings tell the tale of a side in sporadic but dangerous form. A narrow 0-1 reverse at home to Burgos CF belied a match in which Eibar dominated large spells but failed to translate possession into goals. The signature 3-0 demolition of Real Valladolid earlier in the run showcased the attacking capabilities of Corpas and Bautista, while a more conservative tactical set-up yielded little against Elche and Cordoba. The 4-4-2 set-up has brought greater balance and afforded more defensive protection, even as midfield creativity sometimes runs dry. Under Beñat San José’s watch, Eibar are disciplined and hard to break, but late-game focus will be essential if they’re to capitalize on Granada’s frailties.
Eibar possible starting eleven

- GK: Jon Mikel Magunagoitia Blasco
- DF: Anaitz Arbilla, Aritz Arambarri, Marco Moreno, Alvaro Rodriguez
- MF: Sergio Álvarez, Ander Madariaga Susaeta, Peru Nolaskoain, Aleix Garrido
- FW: Jon Bautista, José Corpas

Eibar. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
On behalf of the Tips.GG expert team: the edge lies with Eibar (winning probability: 39%, dedicated AI prediction engine), despite the bookmakers’ slight lean towards Granada. Our main pick: Eibar to win or draw (double chance). The data points to Granada’s impotence up front and defensive fragility, alongside Eibar’s recent resilience and psychological upper hand from recent head-to-head triumphs. Expect the encounter to hinge on midfield turnovers and set-piece finesse, with Eibar’s sharper transitions tipping the balance in their favour.
How to watch Granada CF vs Eibar
When?
Kick-off: 19 January 2026, 21:30 CEST
Where?
Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
How to watch: Live streaming via official La Liga 2 broadcasters, subscription apps in ES.
Favourite: Granada CF (according to the bookmakers)
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