Liam Duckstein
Goteborg host Levadia at Gamla Ullevi in the second qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League 2026/27. On paper, the Swedish side hold home advantage and bookmaker favour, but the form table tells a very different story. Levadia arrive in Gothenburg having won three of their last four matches, while Goteborg have won just one of their last four, losing the other three. That contrast sets up a genuinely interesting tie.
Two players stand out as ones to watch. Sebastian Clemensen has been Goteborg’s most productive attacker across the last five matches, netting twice and posing a consistent threat with eight shots. For Levadia, João Pedro de Moura Siembarski has scored two goals in just two appearances and looks capable of punishing any defensive lapses from the hosts. Bubacarr Tambedou also deserves mention, having contributed two assists alongside a goal in his last two outings.
Hot stat: Levadia have scored ten goals across their last five matches, averaging two per game. Their two-legged demolition of Caernarfon, winning 5-0 on both occasions, shows they can be clinical and ruthless when the opportunity arises.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, Second Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg |
| 🗓️ Date: | 21.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Goteborg vs Levadia Prediction
The bookmakers back Goteborg at around 65%, but the underlying numbers do not fully support that confidence. Goteborg have won just 36% of their matches this year and have dropped three of their last four games. Levadia, by contrast, carry a 71% win rate for the season and have been dominant in European qualifying so far.
We predict Levadia to score in this match. The Estonian side have found the net consistently, and Goteborg’s defensive record in recent weeks has been shaky. Home advantage is real, and Goteborg should not be written off entirely, but backing Levadia to find the net at least once seems well-founded.
Goteborg average 12.6 shots per match across their last five games, which shows they do generate attacking intent. Their pass accuracy sits at a reasonable level, but they have committed 36 fouls in five matches, averaging over seven per game. That foul rate could hand Levadia dangerous set-piece situations, particularly given how potent the Estonian side have been in front of goal.
Levadia’s disciplined yellow card record, just three across five matches, mirrors Goteborg’s own tally. Neither side appears prone to reckless play, which suggests the game could be decided by quality rather than chaos. Goteborg’s corner count of 24 across five matches, nearly five per game, indicates they press forward in wide areas and could create second-phase opportunities.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Levadia to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Goteborg’s recent run has been difficult. They beat Brommapojkarna 2-1 in their most recent outing, which was a welcome result, but before that they fell to Malmo 4-0, lost 2-1 to AIK, and dropped a 2-1 defeat to HamKam. That run of three consecutive losses before the Brommapojkarna win points to a team that is struggling for consistency. The single win in four recent matches is not the form of a side that should be considered a strong favourite against a team arriving with Levadia’s momentum. Clemensen and Tobias Heintz offer creative threat going forward, but the defensive unit needs to be considerably tighter than it has been.
Levadia have been in genuinely impressive form. Their last five matches include back-to-back 5-0 wins over Caernarfon in European qualifying, a 3-1 victory over Narva, and a 2-1 win against Nomme United. Their only blemish was a 2-1 defeat to Flora Tallinn. Across those five games they have scored ten goals, which is a return that very few sides at this level can match. Vjatseslav Zahovaiko’s side play a 4-1-3-2 shape that allows them to press with two forwards while maintaining a compact midfield block. With Siembarski and Tambedou in form, they carry a genuine threat that Goteborg must take seriously.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have not met before this qualifying tie, so there is no historical head-to-head data to draw from. The first leg of this second qualifying round fixture is the meeting that sets the context for everything that follows.
🚨Check out our dedicated Goteborg vs Levadia stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Goteborg the Favourite
- Moneyline Goteborg 1.41 | Levadia 5.75
- Draw 4.72
The average moneyline of around 1.41 for Goteborg reflects their home advantage and the bookmakers’ general preference for established Swedish top-flight clubs in European qualifying. To be honest, the odds feel slightly generous given how poorly Goteborg have performed in recent weeks. Levadia at roughly 5.75 represents real value for a side that has won 75% of their last four matches. The draw price around 4.72 is perhaps the least attractive option given both teams’ tendencies to produce decisive results rather than stalemates.
Possible Starting Lineups
Goteborg Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Elis Bishesari
- DF: Jonas Bager, Rockson Yeboah, Alexander Jallow
- MF: Noah Tolf, August Erlingmark, David Kruse, Felix Eriksson, Ramon-Pascal Lundqvist, Filip Ottosson
- FW: Sebastian Clemensen
Stefan Billborn is likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, which has been Goteborg’s preferred formation across their last five matches. Elis Bishesari takes the gloves having made three appearances. The midfield is crowded with options, and Erlingmark stands out with seven interceptions and 144 passes across three games, giving him a strong claim to a starting berth. Clemensen leads the line having scored twice in three appearances, and Tobias Heintz operates just behind as the most creative outlet with nine shots and one assist. Adam Bergmark Wiberg is another option in the attacking positions with eight shots across three games, and Max Whitta Fenger brings energy from wide areas.
Levadia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Karl Andre Vallner
- DF: Tanel Tammik, Abraham Nwankwo, Victory Sunday Iboro
- MF: Joseph Saliste, Alexandre, Bubacarr Tambedou
- FW: João Pedro de Moura Siembarski, Frank Liivak, Mark Oliver Roosnupp
Levadia’s 4-1-3-2 system should translate well to this fixture. Vallner has been reliable in goal across two appearances. Nwankwo anchors the defence with 180 minutes played across two matches, picking up one yellow card. In attack, Siembarski and Tambedou form a dangerous partnership, combining for three goals and two assists across the qualifying campaign. Roosnupp adds a goal and an assist from forward positions. Joseph Saliste links midfield and attack effectively with one assist and 156 minutes of involvement. This is a side with clear attacking structure and players who know their roles.
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Goteborg. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Goteborg’s home record at Gamla Ullevi carries weight, and the bookmakers are not wrong to make them favourites. A 65% implied probability is not outrageous for a home side in a European qualifying first leg. The problem is that Goteborg have looked fragile in recent weeks, conceding multiple goals in three of their last four matches and failing to keep a single clean sheet across their last five. Levadia are clinical, well-organised, and arriving with real confidence after ten goals in five games.
We predict both teams to score, with the match finishing with over 2.5 goals. Goteborg should find the net given their shot volume and Levadia’s willingness to push forward, which leaves space at the back. Levadia’s attacking trio of Siembarski, Tambedou, and Roosnupp is sharp enough to exploit Goteborg’s defensive vulnerabilities. A Goteborg win is possible, but this tie looks tighter than the odds suggest, and Levadia to score represents the standout value across all available markets.
