With autumn setting the backdrop at Stadion Radnik, Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb meet in a 1. HNL clash that is delicately poised according to the oddsmakers. There’s a sense of renewal for both sides: Gorica, under Mario Carevic, will aim to build on recent flashes of promise despite a turbulent run, while Nikica Jelavic’s Lokomotiva have quietly climbed the table, making a strong case for a spot amongst the league’s elite this season.
For Gorica, Filip Cuic is a name that immediately leaps off the team sheet – his ability to get behind defences and exploit spaces has been vital, not least in the recent thrashing of Rudes. On Lokomotiva’s side, Aleks Stojakovic’s energy and sharp finishing have proven crucial in tight contests. Both men represent their teams’ creative and attacking ambition heading into this encounter, and their individual battles might just decide the outcome.
One “hot stat” to note? Gorica’s rampant six-goal haul against Rudes stands out – a testament to their ability to turn on the style at home, though consistency has often eluded them.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 Regular Season (Croatia) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Radnik, Velika Gorica |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.11.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
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Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction
Backing Lokomotiva Zagreb or a double chance (Draw No Bet) is the value choice for this clash. Lokomotiva’s more consistent form (50% win rate in their last four, compared to Gorica’s lean 25%) and slightly superior goal difference in the league bolster their credentials. Both teams average roughly similar shots per match (52-54 over the last five), but Lokomotiva are the more disciplined side, maintaining a marginally lower goal concession rate outside of their blip against Hajduk Split.
Styles of play provide a fascinating subplot: Gorica’s 3-4-2-1 can be exhilarating going forward but frequently leaves them exposed on transitions – they’ve conceded 19 goals in 11 league matches, with shaky passing under pressure (pass accuracy dipped to 83% in recent matches). Lokomotiva, by contrast, look more robust defensively with tidy pass completion and the confidence to play out from the back; yet, discipline is not always their strong suit, evidenced by 11 yellow cards in their last five matches and a hefty 48 fouls – a potential weakness if Gorica presses with intent. Expect physicality, a flurry of cards, and at least one defensive slip from each side.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Gorica’s recent outings have been a tale of oscillation. The 6-0 rout over Rudes was pure poetry, with Cuic bagging a brace and midfield dominance dictating the tempo. Yet, this burst seemed short-lived; heavy defeats to Rijeka and Varazdin (each 1-3) highlighted defensive vulnerabilities and an inability to recover from setbacks. In the clash with Hajduk Split, an early surge was snuffed out and a late rally fell short. While Gorica’s attacking trio can spark chaos, their tendency to rack up fouls and lose shape after conceding bodes concern against more polished outfits like Lokomotiva.
Lokomotiva Zagreb arrive in a steadier headspace, bouncing back impressively after a 1-2 defeat against Istra 1961 to obliterate Varazdin 4-0 – a performance marked by Stojakovic’s sharp finishing and Fabijan Krivak’s effective link-up play. Their only real stumble recently came at the hands of Hajduk Split, but otherwise, Lokomotiva have seen off Dinamo Zagreb and held against Vukovar, showing tactical adaptability. Defensively, they remain a work in progress (conceding 14 league goals already), but the structure is sounder and the midfield works tirelessly to regain possession and push transitions.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Gorica | Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 12 | 10 |
| Free kicks | 16 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 5 | 4 |
| Total fouls | 18 | 15 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81 | 85 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 7 |
| Offsides | 3 | 2 |
🚨Read our full Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gorica the favourite
- Moneyline Gorica 2.46 | Lokomotiva Zagreb 2.66
- Draw 3.26
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.78
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.64 | No 2.06
Looking at bookmakers’ odds, Gorica are marginal favourites though the margin is slight, reflecting how evenly matched these sides are. Lokomotiva’s stronger recent run and resilience suggest their odds could shorten. Over/under odds tilt towards goals, supported by both sides’ attacking approaches and leaky defences – thus backing ‘over 2.5’ and ‘BTTS: Yes’ looks well reasoned. Punters should keep an eye on late movement; Lokomotiva value may improve as kick-off draws near.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Gorica possible starting eleven

- GK: Davor Matijaš
- DF: Stefan Perić, Jakov Filipović, Žan Trontelj
- MF: Iker Pozo, Jurica Pršir, Domagoj Pavičić, Ognjen Bakić
- FW: Filip Cuic, Ivan Fiolić, Medin Gashi
This XI is based on recent appearances and tactical nouse from Carevic, sticking with a 3-4-2-1 shape. The stability at the back is essential given Gorica’s vulnerability on the flanks; Perić and Filipović provide experience, while Pozo and Pršir must control the midfield tempo. Upfront, expect fireworks from Cuic – whose directness and finishing can tip the scales. Keep an eye on Pozo, who provides the critical link between defence and attack; his vision is crucial for Gorica’s transitional play.
Lokomotiva Zagreb possible starting eleven

- GK: Josip Posavec
- DF: Denis Kolinger, Marko Pajač, Mbacke Diop
- MF: Fabijan Krivak, Domagoj Antolić, Blaž Bosković, Tino Jukić
- FW: Dusan Vukovic, Aleks Stojakovic, Silvio Gorican
Lokomotiva are also firm exponents of the 3-4-2-1 – and the chosen XI is a blend of defensive solidity and attacking punch. Kolinger captains the defence with Diop and Pajač adding reliability; Krivak and Antolić will hunt for possession in the middle, while the front trio Vukovic, Stojakovic and Gorican all offer pace and movement. Stojakovic’s finishing and Krivak’s late-ball threat should give Gorica headaches from start to finish.
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Gorica. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We anticipate a fiercely competitive affair with both sides probing each other’s weaknesses. Gorica will feel buoyed by their recent goalfest, but defensive frailties linger. Lokomotiva Zagreb’s blend of discipline, tactical maturity, and edge up front edges them slightly ahead in our book though not by much! Our main pick is Lokomotiva Zagreb Draw No Bet, with a strong chance of seeing both teams find the net in an open, entertaining encounter. Fans, buckle up: this should be a cracker with significant implications for both sides’ campaigns.

