Levi Rothermund
Friday evening at Stadion Radnik brings a fixture with clear expectations, but not without intrigue. Gorica welcomes table-toppers Dinamo Zagreb in a regular season match that looks lopsided on paper, but the last clash delivered a wild 3-6 shootout. With the season winding down, both sides are chasing different ambitions—Dinamo for silverware, Gorica for respectability. Dion Drena Beljo has been in relentless scoring form for Dinamo, while Jurica Pršir is the pulse of Gorica’s midfield. Dinamo’s pass accuracy and offensive output set them apart, but Gorica’s recent upsets hint at unpredictability.
Dinamo’s remarkable 22 goals from their last five matches is the hot stat, highlighting just how lethal their attack can be, especially against sides with defensive lapses. This one could turn open again if Gorica’s backline can’t withstand the pressure.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Radnik, Velika Gorica |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction
We think Dinamo Zagreb wins. Dinamo have lost only 4 times in 32 league games and have scored a massive 85 goals, nearly tripling Gorica’s tally. Dinamo’s recent form is untouchable with 5 wins and a draw in their last 6, while Gorica have lost 3 in that stretch. Bookmakers give Dinamo a 64% implied win probability—reflecting both the gap in squad quality and momentum.
Both teams play a 4-2-3-1, but the execution is worlds apart. Dinamo averages nearly 19 shots per game, Gorica just 11. Dinamo’s pass accuracy sits at 87%, enabling them to dictate tempo and carve out chances. Gorica are more physical—53 fouls in 5 games and 11 yellows—but that just adds risk against Dinamo’s quick midfielders and clinical forwards. Dinamo’s set-piece conversion is limited, but their volume of corners (39 in 5 matches) creates constant threats. This should open up chances for both, but Dinamo’s composure and structure offer the edge.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Zagreb to win & Over 3.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10 |
Team Analysis
Gorica’s last five saw them take two wins (including a 2-1 over Vukovar 1991) and a close 1-0 over Istra 1961. Their attacking output was decent—9 goals—but defensive lapses showed up in a 0-2 to Lokomotiva and a narrow 0-1 to Hajduk. Against Dinamo last time, Gorica netted three but shipped six, exposing issues under pressure. Pršir and Ante Erceg create sparks, but the back line struggles for composure.
Dinamo Zagreb’s last five included four wins and a draw. They brushed aside Istra (2-0), Vukovar (4-1), and edged Varazdin 2-1. Their only stumble was a 2-2 with Rijeka. The attack is relentless—22 goals scored, Dion Drena Beljo with 7, Luka Stojkovic and Josip Mišić always involved. Their 4-2-3-1 shape morphs seamlessly into attack, and their ball circulation (over 2,000 passes in 5 games) puts relentless strain on opposition. Defensively, they’re not bulletproof but outscore problems easily.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 9 | 15 |
| Total shots | 55 | 93 |
| Free kicks | 10 | 5 |
| Corner kicks | 20 | 39 |
| Total fouls | 53 | 35 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83% | 87% |
| Interceptions | 45 | 36 |
| Offsides | 10 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
- Moneyline Gorica 6.25 | Dinamo Zagreb 1.40
- Draw 4.83
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.55 | Under 2.5 2.30
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.66 | No 2.10
Odds leave little room for romance. Dinamo’s 1.40 is as short as it gets for an away side—betting markets expect dominance. Gorica’s 6.25 only appeals to those chasing miracles, while the 1.55 on Over 2.5 signals an open game. BTTS ‘Yes’ at 1.66 says even the bookies think Gorica will get a chance. Our take: Dinamo to win and goals to flow, but Gorica’s price is tempting for value hunters.
Gorica. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Gorica possible starting eleven
- GK: Davor Matijaš
- DF: Stefan Perić, Jakov Filipović, Ante Kavelj, Žan Trontelj
- MF: Jurica Pršir, Iker Pozo, Domagoj Pavičić, Ivan Fiolić, Ognjen Bakic
- FW: Ante Erceg
This eleven leans on Matijaš in goal—steady with 360 minutes recently. The defensive unit, led by Perić and Filipović, has been regular but not always convincing. Pršir anchors the midfield, and Erceg is the danger man up top. The likely 4-2-3-1 is familiar, but midfield legs will be tested by Dinamo’s pace. We see Pršir and Erceg as the main hope for any upset.
Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivan Nevistić
- DF: Sergi Dominguez, Niko Galesic, Moris Valincic, Bruno Goda
- MF: Josip Mišić, Marko Soldo, Miha Zajc, Gabriel Vidović
- FW: Dion Drena Beljo, Luka Stojkovic
Nevistić gets the nod in goal, behind a back four that has rotated little. Mišić and Soldo bring control to midfield, while Zajc and Vidović supply forward thrust. Beljo’s recent seven-goal haul cements his spot—he’s the player to watch. Dinamo’s shape stays 4-2-3-1 but morphs into a 4-4-2 at times in attack. Stojkovic is the wildcard on the flank.
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Dinamo Zagreb. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We think Dinamo Zagreb takes this one, and maybe by a margin. The away side’s form, depth, and attacking stats put them a tier above Gorica. Still, with Gorica’s recent scoring uptick and Dinamo’s occasional defensive slips, both teams finding the net feels likely. Over 3.5 goals is not far-fetched—the last time these teams met, they produced nine. If you’re after value, a Dinamo win with BTTS is the call. For the main bet, stick with Dinamo and expect an eventful 90 minutes.
