Goias vs Londrina PR Prediction: 11 August 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B

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Goias host Londrina PR at Estádio da Serrinha in a mid-table Série B clash that carries more weight than the standings suggest. Goias sit 13th with 21 points from 14 games, while Londrina are 18th with just 13 points from the same number of matches. The gap is six points, but Londrina’s recent 5-0 demolition of CRB shows this side can produce unexpected results when motivated. Coach Mozart’s Goias side carries home advantage and significantly better season-long numbers, making this one of the clearer Série B matchups on the card.

Two players worth tracking: Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino has scored three goals in his last three appearances for Goias, making him the most dangerous attacker in this fixture. For Londrina, Yago Lincoln contributes at both ends, registering a goal and eight interceptions across his last four games from the defensive line.

Hot stat: Londrina PR scored five goals against CRB just two matches ago, yet have managed only three goals across their entire last five games combined. That single outlier inflates their recent attacking numbers and should not be mistaken for consistent firepower.

Goias vs Londrina PR Prediction

Goias are the clear pick here. They have won 16 of 33 matches this year (48% win rate) compared to Londrina’s 10 wins in 30 attempts (33%). At home, Goias carry extra authority, and Londrina arrive on the back of a 1-4 loss to Novorizontino in their most recent outing. The bookmakers price Goias at around 1.71-1.73, which reflects genuine probability rather than inflated expectation.

Goias average 45 shots per five games, while Londrina generate 67, but Goias convert far more efficiently with five goals to Londrina’s three. Londrina commit 60 fouls across five matches compared to Goias’s 55, and they carry eight yellow cards to Goias’s six. That disciplinary profile makes Londrina vulnerable to set-piece situations, particularly given Goias’s 22 corner kicks in five games. Londrina’s pass accuracy sits at 1149 completed from 1445 attempted, noticeably below Goias’s 1704 from 1962, which signals Goias will control the tempo and force Londrina into reactive play.

• We predict Goias to Win at approximately 1.71-1.73
• We predict Under 2.5 Goals as a value secondary option

Team Analysis

Goias have been inconsistent over the last month but show a clear upward trend in recent home performances. Their last five matches produced wins over Ponte Preta (2-1) and Ceara (2-0), a draw with Sport Recife (1-1), and a draw against CRB (2-2). The one blemish was a 0-1 loss to America MG. Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino has been the driving force, netting three times in three appearances, and the 4-1-4-1 structure under Mozart gives the side a compact defensive shape that absorbs pressure and transitions quickly. Lucas Lima’s eight free kicks and 221 passes in five games make him the engine of the midfield build-up.

Londrina’s recent run makes difficult reading. Their last five matches produced one win (5-0 vs CRB), two draws, and two losses, including a damaging 1-4 defeat at home to Novorizontino most recently. That result followed a 1-2 loss to Nautico, meaning they have lost back-to-back before this trip to Goiania. The 5-0 result against CRB was an outlier rather than a signal of attacking quality. Under Rogério Micale’s 4-2-3-1 system, Londrina generate volume in shots (67 in five games) but struggle to convert, and their passing accuracy of 79% is the lowest in this fixture. Gabriel Lacerda and Yago Lincoln provide some attacking threat from deep positions but cannot compensate for the lack of a reliable central striker.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

These two sides met earlier in the 2026 Série B season, producing a 2-2 draw in what was a closely contested match. The single previous encounter this season is limited data, but it does confirm Londrina are capable of sharing points against Goias even on paper.

🚨Check out our dedicated Goias vs Londrina PR stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Goias the Favourite

• Moneyline Goias 1.72 | Londrina PR 5.00
• Draw 3.45
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

The consensus odds around 1.71-1.73 for Goias are fair given their season-long superiority and home advantage. Londrina at 5.00 reflects the genuine difficulty of their task, and the draw at 3.45 carries some residual value given the earlier 2-2 result between these sides. To be honest, the Goias moneyline at 1.72 is the most straightforward play here, with their home record and Londrina’s current form both pointing in the same direction.

Possible Starting Lineups

Goias Possible Starting Eleven

This 4-1-4-1 setup reflects Mozart’s preferred structure across the last five matches. Thiago Rodrigues starts in goal with seven saves in four appearances. Rodrigo Soares and Luiz Felipe provide width and attacking contributions from fullback. Lucas Lima is the key creative outlet with eight free kicks and a goal assist in five games. Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino leads the line and is the primary goal threat with three goals in three games.

Londrina PR Possible Starting Eleven

Micale’s 4-2-3-1 places Yago Lincoln and Gabriel Lacerda as the defensive pillars who also contribute going forward, with both registering goals in recent matches. Mauricio Kozlinski has made eight saves in four games and will be tested here. Paulo Roberto Moccelin leads midfield creativity with one goal and ten shots across five matches. Pablo Dyego provides the second striker option with six shots and seven free kicks earned, though his conversion rate remains low.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Goias are the deserved favourites and we back them to win this match at Estádio da Serrinha. Their 48% win rate across 33 games this year, combined with Londrina’s current form of one win in five and back-to-back defeats, makes the home side a clear selection. Londrina’s defensive shape has been leaky on the road, conceding four to Novorizontino in their last away outing. Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino is in form and the Goias midfield controls the ball well enough to limit Londrina’s chances. We predict a narrow but comfortable Goias win, likely 2-0 or 2-1, with under 2.5 goals representing the best combined value play given both sides’ recent scoring patterns.

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