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Girona vs Osasuna Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga - 10.01.2026

06.01.2026, 07:32

As the drama of La Liga 2025/26 continues, Girona welcomes Osasuna to the Estadi Montilivi for a crucial face-off on January 10th, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 CEST. While the venue’s compact atmosphere is expected to give Girona a surge of local support, both teams enter this match with everything to play for in the regular season. Girona, seeking to escape the lower half of the standings, faces an Osasuna side eager to pull away from the relegation shadow and climb further into mid-table.

Key players expected to make the difference include Viktor Tsygankov for Girona, whose clinical finishing has been vital recently, and the dynamic Ante Budimir for Osasuna, who remains their most significant attacking threat. Both players have contributed consistently in recent games and are poised to influence proceedings from the start.

The “hot stat” to keep in mind: Osasuna has netted 7 goals across their last five matches nearly double Girona’s tally in the same span demonstrating a sharper attacking edge coming into this fixture.

12:30Finished10.01.2026
1GironaSpain
0OsasunaSpain

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Girona vs Osasuna predictions

My best bet: Over 2.0 goals. Both sides feature defensive vulnerabilities yet have proven capable of creating numerous scoring opportunities. Girona’s fragile backline (34 goals conceded in 18 matches) should offer Osasuna’s attackers enough chances, while the hosts look to exploit Osasuna’s intermittent lapses particularly when under sustained pressure away from home. With attacking form gaining momentum, particularly from Tsygankov and Budimir, goals look a logical outcome.

Tactically, Girona is disciplined in possession, preferring the 4-2-3-1 shape to control tempo and transition quickly through midfield. However, their aggressive style often exposes the back four, evidenced by a relatively high average of 7.8 fouls and frequent yellow cards (8 in last 5 games). Osasuna, aligned in a pragmatic 4-4-2, leans into duels and quick transitions, but their combative approach has also seen them pick up 11 yellows in five matches. With both teams combining for a total of 101 fouls over this span, expect a match with a combustible edge, where cards and set-pieces may play a significant role.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.0
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Girona vs Osasuna Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Girona Osasuna
Total shots 22 17
Free kicks 28 19
Corner kicks 10 7
Total fouls 35 24
Pass accuracy (%) 86 82
Interceptions 12 15
Offsides 3 5

The evidence from previous encounters suggests Girona tends to dominate possession and engineer more chances, but Osasuna’s directness can unsettle them. Their last La Liga meetings saw Girona secure a decisive 4-0 home victory before Osasuna responded with a narrow 2-1 win, underlining the unpredictable, competitive nature of this rivalry a clash where momentum shifts rapidly and tactical details matter profoundly.

🚨Read our full Girona vs Osasuna stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Girona have conceded the most goals (34) among teams outside the relegation zone this season.
  • Osasuna have scored 7 goals in their past five games, while Girona managed just 4 in the same period.
  • Across their last five matches, these two sides have amassed 19 yellow cards combined.
  • Girona have averaged just under 48 percent possession in recent games, Osasuna slightly less at 46 percent.
  • Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four league matches.

Girona vs Osasuna score prediction: 1-2

Expect a tense contest defined by ambition and moments of inspiration. Osasuna’s sharper edge up front anchored by Budimir and supported by Ruben Garcia could prove the difference against a porous Girona defense. While Tsygankov remains Girona’s most reliable threat, the support cast has not consistently stepped up, making the hosts more susceptible should they fall behind. With both sides expected to get on the scoresheet, Osasuna’s recent fluency in attack tips the balance in their favor for a 2-1 away win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Girona the favourite

Moneyline Girona 2.44 | Osasuna 3.08
Draw 3.20
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90

Despite Girona’s slightly favored status according to the bookmakers, the narrow margin in odds reflects how closely matched these teams are. Girona’s home form boosts their likelihood of victory, but Osasuna’s recent goal-scoring trend and overall resilience away from home suggest value backing them or a high-scoring draw. With both defensive lines currently unreliable, the “Over 2.5” and “Both Teams to Score” lines hold strong appeal. Odds movement may be influenced by late team news or tactical shifts, so monitoring closer to kick-off is advised.

Girona vs Osasuna Over/Under Analysis

  • Over 2.5 goals has landed in 3 of the last 5 matches combined involving these two sides.
  • Osasuna has not kept a clean sheet in six straight away fixtures.
  • Girona averages 2.2 goals conceded per home match this season.
  • Both teams to score has hit in 4 out of the past 5 encounters between Girona and Osasuna.

Girona Preview

Girona’s recent league campaign has been marred by inconsistency: two wins and two defeats in their last four fixtures, with a leaky defense proving their achilles heel. Their last match, a much-needed 2-1 victory over Mallorca, featured precise finishing from Tsygankov, but also highlighted unresolved defensive lapses. Prior losses such as the heavy 0-3 defeat versus Atletico Madrid underline the volatility that has defined much of their season. Head coach Míchel continues to grapple with rebalancing offensive ambition and defensive solidity, frequently rotating the midfield in search of greater control.

12:30Finished04.01.2026
1MallorcaSpain
2GironaSpain

Girona possible starting eleven

  • GK: Paulo Gazzaniga
  • DF: Daley Blind, Arnau Martínez López, Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis, Álex Moreno
  • MF: Iván Martín, Thomas Lemar, Jhon Elmer Solís Romero
  • FW: Viktor Tsygankov, Bryan Gil, Vladyslav Vanat

Osasuna Preview

Osasuna arrives in Girona on the back of a 1-1 draw against Athletic Bilbao, a result that showcased both their dogged midfield work and determination to claim points away from Pamplona. Their recent highlight remains a commanding 3-0 win over Alavés, driven by the finishing prowess of Ante Budimir and Raul Garcia. Although defensive discipline fluctuates from a solid clean sheet there to conceding in four consecutive other matches coach Alessio Lisci leans on high pressing and quick transitions from the double striker system. Their midfield’s energy, led by Jon Moncayola, will be central to dictating pace against Girona’s possession play.

10:15Finished03.01.2026

Osasuna possible starting eleven

  • GK: Sergio Herrera
  • DF: Alejandro Catena, Jorge Herrando, Abel Bretones, Juan Cruz
  • MF: Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Moi Gómez, Aimar Oroz
  • FW: Ante Budimir, Raul García

Osasuna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Osasuna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

The Verdict

As a TipsGG team expert, I see Osasuna’s current attacking verve and adaptability as decisive factors, even away from home. Our main pick is an Osasuna double chance (win or draw), with a best value bet on “Both Teams to Score” and “Over 2.0 goals.” The AI engine assigns Osasuna a 41 percent probability of victory, Girona 40 percent, and the draw at 19 percent, emphasizing the delicately balanced nature of this fixture. Expect lively transitions, frequent set pieces, and plenty of drama deep into the contest.

How to watch Girona vs Osasuna

When? January 10, 2026. Kick-off time: 19:30 CEST
Where? Estadi Montilivi, Girona
How to watch: Local and international La Liga broadcast rights via Movistar+, LaLigaTV, and select global streaming services.
Favorite: Girona

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