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Girona vs Alavés Prediction: April 5, 2025 La Liga Preview

04.04.2025, 11:34

The upcoming clash between Girona and Alavés at the Estadi Montilivi is set to be a compelling encounter, especially for Girona, who are eager to solidify their mid-table standing in La Liga. With both teams experiencing a similar form and win rate over the past month, this match is crucial for Girona, currently at 13th in the standings, to distance themselves from the relegation battle that Alavés, positioned at 17th, is desperately trying to escape.

08:00Finished05.04.2025
0GironaSpain
1AlavésSpain
🏆 Tournament: La Liga 2024/25
🏟 Venue: Estadi Montilivi, Girona
🗓️ Date: April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 15:00 CEST

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Girona vs Alavés prediction

Given the current standings and recent performances, backing Girona for a win seems the most promising. With home advantage and a prior victory in their recent head-to-head record, Girona appears poised to capitalize on Alavés’ struggles away from home. Girona’s typical 4-2-3-1 formation allows them to dominate possession, crucial against an Alavés side known for their tactical rigidity in a 4-4-2 setup.

Girona’s slightly superior pass accuracy and fewer fouls per match are likely to play a pivotal role in this fixture. Meanwhile, Alavés’ propensity for drawing matches might limit their aggressiveness, potentially affecting their offensive output.

🔥Hot Tip: Asian Handicap Girona -0.5
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Under 9.5

Team Analysis

For Girona, their recent outings have been a mixed bag, including a spirited 3-2 victory over Andorra and a challenging 1-4 defeat against the formidable Barcelona. Their resilience in the draw against Valencia highlights an evolving defensive stability, crucial for their survival in mid-table.

10:15Finished30.03.2025
4BarcelonaSpain
1GironaSpain

Alavés, on the other hand, displayed promising signs in their narrow win over Villarreal, although they succumbed to Rayo Vallecano’s superior tactics in a 0-2 defeat. This inconsistency might hinder their efforts against a Girona side eager for home victory.

13:30Finished29.03.2025

Most recent H2Hs: Girona dominates

Statistic Girona Alavés
Goals 1 0
Total shots 48 26
Free kicks 36 47
Corner kicks 25 14
Total fouls 36 47
Pass accuracy (%) 85 71
Interceptions 29 25
Offsides 5 3

🚨Read our full Girona vs Alavés stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Girona the favourite

Moneyline Girona 2.02 | Alavés 3.78
Draw 3.40
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.09 | Under 2.5 1.75
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.20 | No 1.61

The odds reflect Girona’s marginal dominance, factoring in both their home advantage and recent head-to-head victory. Alavés’ defensive vulnerabilities are a concern, highlighted by their lower win probability and less favorable odds.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Key Players to Watch

Girona: Christian Stuani – Stuani’s recent contributions have been vital, with 2 goals in his last 3 appearances, showcasing his ability to influence matches decisively.

Alavés: Jon Guridi – Guridi has demonstrated consistency in midfield, contributing a critical goal in the recent victories, making him a key figure in Alavés’ efforts to secure points.

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Alaves. Source: Official Website

Alaves. Source: Official Website

Possible Starting Lineups

Girona possible starting eleven

  • GK: Paulo Gazzaniga
  • DF: Arnau Martínez López, Miguel Gutiérrez, Daley Blind, Alejandro Francés
  • MF: Yangel Herrera, Iván Martín, Viktor Tsygankov
  • FW: Christian Stuani, Arnaut Danjuma, Portu

Girona’s expected lineup will likely adhere to their successful 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing a robust defensive setup complemented by aggressive forward play led by key striker Christian Stuani.

Alavés possible starting eleven

  • GK: Antonio Sivera
  • DF: Abdel·Abqar, Nahuel Tenaglia, Alvaro Santiago Mourino Gonzalez, Moussa Diarra
  • MF: Jon Guridi, Ander Guevara, Joan Jordan
  • FW: Toni Martínez, Kike

Alavés will likely continue with their 4-4-2 formation, focusing on a balanced approach in midfield, with Toni Martínez poised to spearhead their attack, especially in counter-attacking scenarios.

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Girona. Source: Official Website

Girona. Source: Official Website

The Verdict

Girona’s slight edge in recent forms and their clear home advantage make them the likely candidates to clinch a vital win in this La Liga encounter. Expect a closely contested match with Girona narrowly edging out Alavés, with key contributions from Christian Stuani and a disciplined defensive performance.

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