Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Primera Nacional 2025 Match - 14.06.2025

The stage is set at El Gigante del Norte in Salta as Gimnasia y Tiro host Quilmes in a pivotal Regular Season clash in Argentina’s Primera Nacional 2025. Scheduled to kick off at 04:00 CEST on June 14th, this fixture arrives at a moment when both sides sit level on points (22), each vying to climb away from the logjam in the mid-table and stake a claim for playoff contention.

With both clubs separated only by goal difference in the standings, the match promises both tension and tactical intrigue. Under the guidance of Fernando Quiroz, Gimnasia y Tiro aim to leverage their home advantage, while Sergio Rondina’s Quilmes will try to remedy their goal-scoring woes on unfamiliar soil.

Among the players to closely monitor are Gimnasia y Tiro’s forward Nicolás Contín who has been a steady focal point in attack with 1 goal and 2 assists in his last three appearances and versatile defender Manuel Guanini, who not only anchors the back line but also contributes with set-piece presence. Quilmes look to their reliable midfield engine, Joaquín Postigo, and experienced defender Gabriel Aranda, each pivotal to maintaining their compact structure and counterattacking identity.

Gimnasia y Tiro arrive as the more prolific outfit recently, netting 6 goals in their last 5 matches, highlighted by a comprehensive 4-0 win over Colegiales. That efficient attacking display remains the “hot stat” coming into this duel, especially considering Quilmes have scored a solitary goal over the same span.

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Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes predictions

Me best bet: Gimnasia y Tiro or Draw (Double Chance)

Given both teams’ recent form and output, the value option lies with Gimnasia y Tiro not to lose at home. While Quilmes possess resilience evident in their run of draws, their offensive struggles 1 goal in 5 matches severely hamper their ability to take full points. Gimnasia y Tiro, by contrast, show more offensive spark and have proven effective at exploiting defensive lapses, especially in Salta.

Disciplinary trends are relevant: Gimnasia y Tiro have picked up 8 yellow cards in their last five, indicating aggressive pressing which can disrupt Quilmes’ rhythm but could also risk ceding dangerous set-pieces. Both sides operate in the classic 4-4-2, but Gimnasia y Tiro possess marginally better ball progression (20 shots vs 15), and more corners, reflecting their tendency to build pressure down the flanks.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes Most recent H2Hs

The recent head-to-head, a 1-1 draw earlier this season, was a balanced affair with both teams creating decent chances but showing the familiar lack of clinical edge. Notably, neither side managed to dominate phases for extended periods, and tackles in midfield were frequent, reflecting a combative rivalry. Expect another duel shaped by discipline and efficiency rather than open attacking play.

🚨Read our full Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Gimnasia y Tiro have scored four times as many goals as Quilmes in their last five matches (6 to 1).
• Quilmes are winless in their last four outings, with three draws.
• Both teams have taken a comparable number of shots per game, but Gimnasia y Tiro generate more from set-pieces.
• Neither side has been shown a red card in their last five games.
• Last H2H ended 1-1, with both teams committing over 10 fouls.

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes score prediction: 1-0

The most probable outcome is a narrow win for Gimnasia y Tiro, 1-0. The hosts’ ability to find breakthroughs via set-pieces, combined with the form of Nicolás Contín and the defensive marshalling by Manuel Guanini, sets them apart. Expect Quilmes to maintain their compactness and aim for transitional attacks, but their current goal drought suggests they may lack the final punch.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gimnasia y Tiro the favourite

Bookmakers narrowly favour Gimnasia y Tiro, reflecting their recent attacking proficiency and home advantage in Salta. Yet with the draw also heavily backed, there is clear market skepticism about either side’s ability to secure a decisive margin. Low odds on “Under 2.5” further reinforce the expectation of a tightly contested, low-scoring fixture.

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes Over/Under Analysis

• Under 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of the last 5 games for both teams.
• Quilmes have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 outings.
• Gimnasia y Tiro have kept clean sheets in two of their last four fixtures.
• Both teams register high foul counts expect broken play and fewer goal opportunities.
• Corner totals consistently exceed 8 per game, favoring the “Over 8.5 Corners” market.

Gimnasia y Tiro Preview

After an inconsistent patch, Gimnasia y Tiro returned to form with a convincing 2-0 victory over Racing Cordoba. The team’s attacking intent was evident, generating multiple scoring opportunities and maintaining discipline at the back. Prior struggles, like the 0-1 loss to table-topping Atlanta, revealed their occasional vulnerability against elite organization, but recent matches reflect renewed precision in the final third.

Quilmes Preview

Quilmes approach this fixture having drawn three of their last four, including a goalless home match against Tristan Suarez. Their lack of firepower has prevented meaningful advancement up the standings, yet their defensive structure remains disciplined, as evidenced by low cards and compact shape. Their only loss in the last five came to San Martin Tucuman, where they conceded twice and failed to regain control. Coach Sergio Rondina will demand more transition play and youthful urgency in attack.

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As TipsGG team experts, we back Gimnasia y Tiro (Draw No Bet) as the principal pick for this clash. The combination of recent attacking improvements, home soil, and Quilmes’ ongoing offensive struggles tips the balance. Our AI-powered prediction engine assigns a 38 percent win probability to Gimnasia y Tiro, 36 percent for the draw, and 26 percent to Quilmes highlighting the expected closeness but giving an edge to the home side.

How to watch Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes

• When? June 14, 2025 – Kick-off at 04:00 CEST
• Where? El Gigante del Norte, Salta
• How to watch: {streaming options}
• Favorite: Gimnasia y Tiro

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