Sofia Quijada
Gimnasia Jujuy host Nueva Chicago at the Estadio 23 de Agosto in a Primera Nacional clash that carries genuine table weight. Jujuy sit fourth with 30 points from 16 games, just four points off the top, and a win here would apply real pressure on the sides above them. Nueva Chicago, level on 21 points with several other clubs in 18th place, need points to avoid being dragged into the lower half of the table. The interesting angle here is that these two met twice in the 2025 edition of this same competition, splitting wins one apiece, so there is genuine competitive history to factor in.
Francisco Molina is the name to watch for Gimnasia Jujuy. The midfielder has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists across the last five matches, leads the team in shots with 5, and has been directly involved in almost every attacking move. For Nueva Chicago, Sebastian Cocimano has found the net once in limited minutes, making him a threat to monitor despite his role off the bench.
Hot stat: Gimnasia Jujuy scored 4 goals in their last five matches at home, but they also conceded 6 in a single match against Belgrano (4-6) just weeks ago, exposing a defensive vulnerability that Nueva Chicago may look to exploit.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio 23 de Agosto, San Salvador de Jujuy |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago Prediction
Gimnasia Jujuy are the clear home favorites at roughly 58% win probability, and the odds across most books sit around 1.58-1.62, which reflects that confidence. Their home record and league position justify the price. Nueva Chicago have won just 5 of 15 matches this season and arrive on the back of consecutive defeats to Deportivo Maipu and Almagro before recovering with a 2-0 win over Chacarita Juniors. That win may have given them some momentum, but facing a Jujuy side pressing for the top three is a different test.
We predict a Gimnasia Jujuy win. The hosts have scored in 9 of their 18 league matches this season and carry enough attacking variety through Molina, Gallardo, and Octavio Bianchi to trouble a Nueva Chicago backline that has conceded 12 goals in 15 games. The 4-1-4-1 shape Jujuy have been running gives them midfield control and the ability to press high, which tends to work well against visiting sides playing a more passive 4-4-2.
Nueva Chicago’s discipline is worth noting. They have picked up 7 yellow cards in 5 matches, and Bruno Palazzo alone carries 2 bookings. Gimnasia Jujuy collected 12 yellows across the same period, making this a physically contested match. Jujuy’s 29 corner kicks in 5 games versus Nueva Chicago’s 7 tells you everything about where territorial dominance will sit. Their free kick volume is also high, at 6 compared to Nueva Chicago’s recorded zero, suggesting Jujuy will create set-piece danger throughout.
- Best bet: Gimnasia Jujuy to win
- Value option: Gimnasia Jujuy to win and over 1.5 goals
- Risky pick: Over 2.5 goals, given Jujuy’s leaky recent defensive record
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Gimnasia Jujuy to win both halves |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Gimnasia Jujuy’s last five matches tell a story of high variance. They beat San Martin SJ 2-1 in their most recent outing, a composed result that followed a chaotic 4-6 loss to Belgrano. That Belgrano match was played against a top-tier opponent (ranked 199 globally), so the concession of six goals should not be read as a systemic collapse. The 0-3 home loss to Atletico Atlanta (ranked 22,398) is more concerning, as it showed Jujuy can be outworked by organized, motivated opposition even at home. Their 1-0 win over Temperley and 1-1 draw with Gimnasia y Tiro rounded out a mixed run. Coach Hernán Pellerano has 9 wins from 18 league games this season, a 50% win rate that places them firmly in promotion contention.
Nueva Chicago’s recent run shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss across the last 30 days. Their most recent match, a 2-0 win over Chacarita Juniors, was a clean sheet performance and their most convincing display in several weeks. Before that, they lost 0-1 to Deportivo Maipu and 1-2 to both Almagro and Patronato. The 1-1 draw with Temperley showed they can hold points on the road. Coach Germán Lanaro has managed 5 wins from 15 matches, a 33% win rate that places them mid-table with work still to do. Their attacking output has been low, scoring just 1 goal across the last 5 matches in the detailed stats window.
The two Primera Nacional 2025 meetings finished 0-1 to Nueva Chicago (away win) and 2-1 to Gimnasia Jujuy (home win). Jujuy were favored in the home fixture at 55% and delivered. In the reverse, Nueva Chicago were given a 35% chance and won. The head-to-head is perfectly split, which makes home advantage the decisive factor here.
🚨 Check out our dedicated Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Gimnasia Jujuy the Favourite
- Moneyline Gimnasia Jujuy 1.60 | Nueva Chicago 5.50–6.00
- Draw 3.30–3.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 (approx. 1.90–2.10) | Under 2.5 (approx. 1.75–1.85)
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes (approx. 1.85–2.00) | No (approx. 1.80–1.95)
The Jujuy win price at 1.60 is fair given their home form and league position. Nueva Chicago at 5.50-6.00 reflects their away struggles and low scoring output. The draw price around 3.40-3.75 is slightly generous given the competitive H2H history, but we do not see a draw as the likely outcome here. Over 2.5 goals carries appeal given Jujuy’s recent high-scoring matches, including that 4-6 result and a 2-1 win, though their defensive inconsistency is a double-edged factor. BTTS Yes is worth considering, as Nueva Chicago have scored in 3 of their last 5 and Jujuy’s defense has been porous against motivated opponents.
Possible Starting Lineups
Gimnasia Jujuy Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Milton Álvarez
- DF: Emiliano Endrizzi, Guillermo Cosaro, N. Dematei, Diego López
- MF: Hugo Soria, Francisco Emiliano Maidana, Francisco Molina, Claudio Pombo
- FW: David Gallardo, Mauro Daniel Cachi
Gimnasia Jujuy look set to continue with a 4-1-4-1 shape, with Hugo Soria screening the back four. Milton Álvarez starts in goal with 5 appearances across the window. Francisco Molina is the standout name, operating with freedom in the midfield line and posing a direct goal threat. David Gallardo and Mauro Cachi provide industry and link-up play up front, with Octavio Bianchi, who has scored twice in 5 appearances, available off the bench as a game-changing option.
Nueva Chicago Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Facundo Masuero
- DF: Bruno Palazzo, Gonzalo Trindade, Gonzalo Ezequiel Paz, Matías Vera
- MF: Rodrigo Conceição, Ramiro Balbuena, Gabriel Vega, Emiliano Méndez
- FW: M. Romero, Sebastian Cocimano
Nueva Chicago are expected to line up in a 4-4-2 formation under Germán Lanaro. Facundo Masuero takes the gloves with 3 appearances and 270 minutes played. Bruno Palazzo is a disciplinary concern in central defense, carrying 2 yellow cards across 3 games. Rodrigo Conceição anchors the midfield with 3 appearances and 169 minutes. Sebastian Cocimano offers a goal threat up front despite limited game time, and his single goal in 99 minutes suggests he can be dangerous in the right moment.
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Nueva Chicago. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Gimnasia Jujuy are the right side to back here. They carry a genuine promotion push, have the better squad depth across the last five matches in terms of shots (41 vs 24), corners (29 vs 7), and goal output (4 vs 1), and they are playing at home against a side that has scored just once in five recent matches. Nueva Chicago are not without threat, their win over Chacarita Juniors showed defensive organization, and their two wins in the 2025 H2H series prove they can cause problems. To be honest, though, the gap in attacking intent and territorial dominance is too wide to ignore.
We predict a Gimnasia Jujuy win, 2-1, with both teams scoring and the match producing at least 3 goals. The home side’s set-piece volume and midfield energy through Molina should be the difference. Jujuy win to nil is perhaps too optimistic given their recent defensive record, making BTTS Yes at around 1.85-2.00 perhaps the sharpest single-market value on the board.
