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Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction: 28.03.2026 La Liga 2 2025/26 Regular Season Preview

27.03.2026, 20:10

With both teams locked in a fierce battle to climb further up the La Liga 2 table, the Round 32 clash at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini carries immense significance. Gijon, currently eighth and looking to break into the playoff places, face a Deportivo La Coruna side enjoying one of their best spells of the campaign under Antonio Hidalgo.
While Gijon’s recent home record leaves some questions, Deportivo are in red-hot form and have shown an ability to grind out results even on difficult grounds. Notably, both managers – Borja Jiménez for Gijon and Antonio Hidalgo for Deportivo – are known for their tactical adaptability, so expect several adjustments as the match unfolds.

Keep an eye on Juan Otero for Gijon, a forward whose work rate and attacking movement have generated key opportunities, and Deportivo’s Stoichkov, a dynamic attacker in sublime form. Their duels against opposing back lines will likely set the tempo. In the middle of the park, Mario Soriano’s creativity for Deportivo can unlock even the most rigid defenses.

Hot stat: Deportivo La Coruna are boasting a formidable 80% win rate in their last five matches, with 7 goals scored, the highest among the two sides in recent fixtures.

16:00Finished28.03.2026
🏆 Tournament: La Liga 2 2025/26 (Regular Season)
🏟 Venue: El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon
🗓️ Date: 28.03.2026
⏰ Time: 22:00 CEST

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Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction

Given current form and statistical trends, the value lies with Deportivo La Coruna avoiding defeat. Deportivo have won 4 of their last 5 and are third in the standings, only 4 points off the top. Their defensive organization under Hidalgo has been impressive—averaging 35 interceptions and conceding just 5 goals across their last 5. Offensively, their 4-4-2 allows both Stoichkov and Mulattieri to exploit space between the lines.

Gijon, on the other hand, have just 1 win in 5, with scoring issues highlighted by only 4 goals in those games. Their 4-2-3-1 has looked flat in key attacking phases, struggling especially against sides that press high. They’ve also been error-prone passing under pressure: just 75.7% accuracy compared to Deportivo’s 87.2%.

Both units are combative – Gijon averaged 46 fouls (per last 5), Deportivo 45 – and yellow cards could feature given the stakes. Set-pieces may present Gijon’s best offensive avenue, but Deportivo’s discipline and depth in midfield gives them the upper hand.

🔥Hot Tip: Deportivo La Coruna +0.25 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Gijon:
Gijon’s most recent game—a 0-1 defeat to Las Palmas—exposed their ongoing struggle to create and finish chances. Despite 7 total shots and a notable defensive discipline (6 yellow cards over last 5), their transition play has lacked speed and precision. Standouts include Juan Otero (2 goals in last 4 games) and Guillermo Rosas (2 assists). Gijon’s defensive line has conceded 39 goals across the campaign, a key concern, and their reliance on deep midfielders hasn’t always prevented breakaways.

13:30Finished22.03.2026

Deportivo La Coruna:
Deportivo enjoyed a clinical 2-1 home win over Real Zaragoza last time out, with their aggressive high press and composure under pressure on full display. They registered 50 total shots in the last five games and have kept tight control via Mario Soriano and Stoichkov’s link-up play. Their back four, led by Arnau Comas and Lucas Noubi, have shown tenacity, with 35 interceptions and only one recent defeat suggesting a side that’s learning to close out tough matches.

16:00Finished21.03.2026

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Gijon Deportivo La Coruna
Goals 1 3
Total shots 13 14
Free kicks 20 17
Corner kicks 10 15
Total fouls 30 33
Pass accuracy (%) 75.7 87.2
Interceptions 31 35
Offsides 7 6

🚨Read our full Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gijon the favourite

  • Moneyline Gijon 2.50-2.56 | Deportivo La Coruna 2.90-3.10
  • Draw 2.75-2.86
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.40 | Under 2.5 1.55
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80

Despite Gijon being slight home favourites, the form guide and statistics heavily tilt towards Deportivo La Coruna, who have outperformed expectations in recent rounds. With Deportivo’s sharper attack and superior passing game, the away odds offer the greater value, especially considering Gijon’s struggles to control matches at home.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Gijon possible starting eleven

  • GK: Christian Joel
  • DF: Diego Sánchez, Pablo García, Guillermo Rosas, Eric Curbelo
  • MF: Jesús José Bernal Villarig, César Gelabert, Álex Corredera
  • FW: J. Dubasin, Gaspar Campos, Juan Otero

This lineup prioritizes recent form and appearance frequency, with Otero leading the front line in Gijon’s usual 4-2-3-1. Expect emphasis on transitions, but the pressure will be on Corredera and Gelabert to connect midfield and attack. Guillermo Rosas, with 2 assists in his last 4 games, adds drive on the right wing.


Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven

  • GK: Álvaro Fernández
  • DF: Ximo Navarro, Lucas Noubi, Arnau Comas, Giacomo Quagliata
  • MF: Mario Soriano, José Ángel Jurado, Diego Villares, Charlie Patino
  • FW: Stoichkov, Samuele Mulattieri

Deportivo’s 4-4-2 has delivered structure and attacking width. Stoichkov is the obvious danger man with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 4 games, while Soriano’s creativity connects midfield to attack. Look for Quagliata and Navarro to overlap and support attacks, as Hidalgo leans into his team’s recent momentum.

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Deportivo La Coruna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Deportivo La Coruna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

My take on the Match

With momentum heavily on Deportivo La Coruna’s side, it’s hard to look past them securing at least a point. Gijon’s inconsistency and inability to convert opportunities make them vulnerable, especially to sides with quick transition attacks. Still, with home fans behind them, they might keep this tight.

Main pick: Deportivo La Coruna +0.25 Asian Handicap. Expect a close contest where Deportivo’s organization and sharper current form hand them the edge, but a draw remains a strong secondary outcome.

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