Germany (w) vs Denmark (w) Prediction: 08.07.2025 UEFA Women's Euro 2025 Preview

Few fixtures in Group C carry as much significance as this early meeting between Germany (w) and Denmark (w) at St. Jakob-Park, Basel, on the second matchday of the UEFA European Women’s Championship 2025. For Germany, off to a flying start after dispatching Poland (w) 2-0, this clash represents a chance to tighten their stranglehold on the group. For Denmark, who were edged 1-0 by Sweden (w) in their opener, it’s already shaping up as a potential must-win if they’re to rescue their campaign. What adds spice? Historically, Germany have enjoyed a psychological advantage in this fixture, but as we all know, tournament football has a habit of flipping the script. Midfield dynamo Jule Brand will look to spark Germany’s build-up through her intelligent movement and passing, while Denmark’s captain Pernille Harder still needs only a half-chance to tilt the balance, despite a subdued opener. Both sides boast experience at the back, so expect a strategic, high-stakes encounter rather than a wild shootout.

The “hot stat”? Germany’s remarkable defensive record – they haven’t conceded a single goal in their last three matches, scoring an impressive 12 themselves over that run. That’s defensive solidity and attacking fluency combined, a daunting prospect for any opponent.

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Germany (w) vs Denmark (w) prediction

With form, momentum, and squad quality all leaning heavily in their favour, Germany (w) enter this clash as clear front-runners. Their blend of attacking verve, orchestrated by the likes of Jule Brand and Lea Schüller, together with formidable defensive organisation, makes them a tough nut to crack. Denmark, on the other hand, will be stung by the defeat to Sweden (w) but may struggle to wrestle control in midfield or impose their quick transitions, especially with their recent patchy results and lower goal output. Therefore, the best value pick here is a Germany (w) win with at least a two-goal handicap – Christian Wück’s side have shown they’re ruthless in attack, boasting 25 shots and 7 corners in their last outing alone.

Worth noting, Germany (w) play with high ball possession, clocking 67% in their last game, and they rarely allow the opposition a sniff in dangerous areas, with just 6 interceptions conceded. Denmark (w), in contrast, were outshot more than 2:1 in their own opener, reflecting struggles in both possession and defensive solidity. With 12 fouls and a yellow card picked up against Sweden (w), indiscipline could further undermine their efforts. Expect Germany to press early and dominate set pieces, while Denmark may aim for counter-attacks and hope for Harder magic.

Team Analysis

Germany (w) come into this tie off the back of an assured 2-0 victory over Poland (w), with goals from Schüller and Brand underlining their attacking versatility. Christian Wück’s charges controlled every aspect of the contest, racking up 25 shots to Poland’s modest tally and maintaining nearly 70% possession. Their ball circulation was crisp, frequently stretching the Polish block and leaving little for their goalkeeper to do. Recent matches only reinforce this theme: thumping wins over Austria (w) and Netherlands (w) – by 6-0 and 4-0 margins – highlight their ability to batter weaker defences. With a near-flawless record this season (6 wins from 7), and a spine brimming with club and international experience, they look like tournament pacesetters.

Denmark (w) made a nervy start, losing narrowly to Sweden (w) 0-1. Despite flashes from Pernille Harder up front, they struggled to stitch together meaningful phases, largely penned back by Sweden’s press and creative flair. Offensively, just 10 shots managed and only 46% possession in that last outing isn’t the return coach Andrée Jeglertz would have hoped for. Their form this calendar year has been inconsistent; defeats to Italy (w) and Sweden (w) have offset morale-boosting wins over Wales (w). Much will depend on Denmark’s midfield trio and how well they can protect a leaky back four that has shipped nine in their last five matches. Unless their structure improves sharply, it’s difficult to see them getting much joy against this German machine.

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🚨Read our full Germany (w) vs Denmark (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Germany (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Germany (w) 1.36 | Denmark (w) 7.90
• Draw 5.15
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.10
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.53

The bookmakers aren’t taking any chances: Germany (w), at odds as short as 1.36, are overwhelming favourites, with a win probability of about 69 percent. Those odds reflect both Germany’s rampant form and Denmark’s wobbles against stronger sides. The draw at 5.15 seems a long shot, given how ruthlessly Germany finish off business when on top. Denmark at near 8.0 looks tempting for the adventurous, but with their current defensive issues and Germany’s attacking efficiency, it’d take a brave soul to back the upset. Over 2.5 goals looks sharp given Germany’s scoring trend, and “No” on both teams to score is justified by Denmark’s recent struggles in front of goal.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Germany (w) possible starting eleven

This selection mirrors Germany’s reliance on a fluid 3-4-1-2, allowing them to dominate possession and transition effortlessly between defensive and attacking phases. Berger provides assurance in goal, with Knaak, Gwinn, and Linder offering a blend of composure and athleticism at the back. Minge and Nüsken are robust in holding roles, while the creative spark comes from Brand and Bühl. Up top, Schüller’s goalscoring instincts and Freigang’s intelligent runs could well decide the contest. Watch especially for Brand – her drive and late runs are a nightmare for weary defences.

Denmark (w) possible starting eleven

Denmark typically set up in a traditional 4-3-3, aiming to provide service to star forward Harder, though against Germany it may morph into a more pragmatic shape. Larsen marshals the back line, with Veje and Troelsgaard expected to plug gaps against German overloads. Snerle, Thøgersen, and Holmgaard must keep possession and resist Germany’s pressing. The front three is headlined by Harder, but both Bruun and Vangsgaard will need to show greater sharpness than in the Sweden defeat. Defensive discipline and rapid transition are key for Denmark, but much in attack hinges on their skipper’s ability to inspire.

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My take on the Match

This Group C contest feels poised for a statement from Germany (w). Their sparkling form, well-drilled structure, and attacking options suggest a comprehensive win – I’m expecting a 3-0 or 3-1 scoreline, with Jule Brand featuring prominently on the scoresheet and Lea Schüller keeping Danish defenders busy all evening. Denmark have the capacity to frustrate and nick a goal on the break, but the overall gulf in recent performances, squad depth, and tactical fluidity favours the Germans strongly. The safe pick is a Germany win with a two-goal margin, while the longer odds on Denmark appeal only to the boldest of punters. Germany are sending a clear message to the rest: their intent is nothing short of the title itself.

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