Liam Duckstein
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Georgia host Hungary at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi in a League B Group 2 fixture that carries real weight for both sides. Georgia sit fourth in the group with two points from four matches, while Hungary occupy second place with seven points and a realistic path to promotion pressure at the top.
The sides have already met in this campaign. Hungary edged the reverse fixture 1-0, and that single goal still shapes how the bookmakers view this rematch. We expect a tight contest with little margin for error.
Hot stat: Hungary have won five of their eight matches this year, a winrate of 63%, and they have taken maximum points from four of their last five league results against opponents in this group.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Georgia vs Hungary prediction
Our best value pick is Hungary to win at 2.50 with bet365. The bookmakers price Hungary at 38%, and the odds imply a slightly lower chance, so the line leaves room for value. We back Hungary because they arrive with better form, a stronger points tally and a clear edge in league results this year.
Georgia have struggled to create chances. They have not won any of their four group matches, and they have shown a tendency to draw tight games. Hungary, on the other hand, pass with more control and have collected wins in their recent league outings. Expect Hungary to keep possession and dictate tempo, perhaps forcing Georgia into a deep block.
Georgia tend to commit a fair number of fouls in their defensive phases, which gives Hungary dead-ball opportunities near the box. Hungary also rely on disciplined pressing to win the ball back, so we see a match where the favourite controls territory without taking many risks. A controlled game usually produces fewer goals, which supports our total goals pick.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hungary to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
Team Analysis
Georgia come into this match after a goalless draw with Northern Ireland, their most recent completed fixture. The result extended a run where Georgia have struggled to find the net. Across their last 15 results, Georgia have collected three wins, five draws and seven defeats, and they have scored only twice in four group matches. Their defensive shape has held up better than their attack, which explains the number of low-scoring draws on their record.
Hungary enter this fixture on the back of a 2-1 win over Ukraine. That result fits a broader pattern of control, as Hungary have won eight of their last 15 results and lost only three. Their attack remains efficient, and they have shown they can grind out victories when they do not dominate the ball. We expect them to bring that same patience to Tbilisi.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Georgia | Hungary |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Georgia vs Hungary stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hungary the favourite
- Moneyline Georgia 2.90 | Hungary 2.50
- Draw 3.10
The market makes Hungary the clear favourite, and the bookmakers average 38% for their win compared with 31% for Georgia and 30% for a draw. The draw price sits above 3.00 across most books, which reflects how often these teams settle for a point. We see the Hungary price as fair, and the Georgia price looks slightly generous for a side without a win in this group.
Georgia. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow Hungary win, perhaps 1-0 or 2-0, in a match with few clear chances. Georgia have scored only twice in four group outings, and their goalless draw with Northern Ireland shows how little they threaten without a prolonged spell of control. Hungary have a better points return, a stronger win rate this year and the sharper finishing record in the group. To be honest, we would not expect many goals here, so we back Under 2.5 and a clean sheet for Hungary as the most logical angles.
Read Also: Check Georgia vs Hungary Predicted Lineups for the UEFA Nations League Clash
Read Also: Georgia vs Hungary Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form (Updated November 2026)
