Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa Prediction: 24.05.2025 Süper Lig Preview

As we approach the culmination of the Süper Lig’s 2024/25 regular season, Gaziantep and Kasimpasa stand poised for a pivotal clash at Gaziantep Stadium on 24 May 2025. Both sides have endured a season of dramatic peaks and valleys, making this an encounter brimming with undercurrents and unresolved narratives. With just three points separating them in the table, and neither side yet able to claim a secure midtable finish, expect tactical discipline from Gaziantep under İbrahim Kürşat Daloğlu to square off against the more dynamic, transitional play Kasimpasa have looked to foster since Burak Yılmaz took charge.

For Gaziantep, the creative spark of Alexandru Maxim in midfield and the relentless forward Deian Sorescu will be crucial. Maxim’s ability to unlock defences and Sorescu’s direct runs could trouble Kasimpasa’s back line, while for the visitors, Haris Hajradinović’s playmaking acumen and Nuno Da Costa’s recent scoring form present the biggest threats to the hosts’ ambitions. Neither side can boast an imperious defensive record, but these four players have shown they possess the match-winning capabilities to tip the balance.

Here’s a hot stat: Kasimpasa have netted six goals in their last five matches compared to Gaziantep’s single strike – a disparity which hints at a distinct attacking verve of the Istanbul club, even as both teams struggle for consistent form.

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Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa prediction

The bookmakers are leaning ever so slightly towards Kasimpasa – and with good reason. Recent form is on their side (a 33 percent win rate in the last month and almost double the goals of their hosts in the last five fixtures), and Nuno Da Costa is finding his scoring boots at just the right time. Gaziantep, by contrast, are mired in a run of four games without a win and have struggled to find goals despite Maxim’s creative efforts. If Gaziantep are to get a result, it will likely come from a disciplined defensive display leveraging that 4-1-4-1 solidity, hoping to frustrate Kasimpasa’s marauding midfield runners.

Expect fouls to be in healthy supply – Gaziantep committed 53 in their last five matches, just behind Kasimpasa’s 57. Both teams have picked up their fair share of yellow cards (8 and 10 respectively), indicative of the competitive, sometimes scrappy nature expected. Ball possession could tilt marginally towards Gaziantep, who tend to favour more passes (1624 in five games vs Kasimpasa’s 1179) and a slightly higher pass accuracy (83 percent to Kasimpasa’s 82 percent), but the visitors’ greater directness and corner tally suggest they may be more clinical in transition. Ultimately, this is a match where defensive lapses and set pieces could decide everything. The value leans towards the away side, but margin for error is slim.

Team Analysis

Gaziantep:
Recent weeks have been harsh for Gaziantep – four without a win, and just one goal scored in that period. Their most recent outing, a goalless draw against Antalyaspor, showcased solidity at the back but also glaring attacking inefficiency. Alexandru Maxim’s set-piece deliveries offered a rare bright spot, but clear-cut chances were at a premium. The defence, marshalled by Bruno Viana and Semih Güler, showed renewed focus, yet going forward, the likes of Halil Dervisoglu and Deian Sorescu were too isolated to threaten consistently. The tactical discipline of their recent 4-1-4-1 is clear, but it’s come at the cost of attacking impetus. Frustrations are mounting for supporters desperate to see more progress in the final third.

Kasimpasa:
In contrast, Kasimpasa’s last five matches yielded six goals, including a clinical 3-0 victory over Eyupspor that demonstrated their potential for quick, incisive play. Their most recent defeat to Basaksehir (2-3) was a narrow affair driven by bold attacking transitions and the ever-dangerous Nuno Da Costa up top. While defensive vulnerabilities persist, as shown by the three goals shipped in that thriller, their combination play through the likes of Haris Hajradinović and wide runners remains a consistent threat. Burak Yılmaz’s men are more fluid and less risk-averse than their hosts, which can yield both defensive disarray and attacking fireworks in equal measure.

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🚨Read our full Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Kasimpasa the favourite

• Moneyline Gaziantep 2.71 | Kasimpasa 2.42
• Draw 3.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.70
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.75 | No 2.00

Bookmakers have Kasimpasa slightly ahead in the odds, reflecting both their more potent attack and Gaziantep’s troubling lack of end product in recent outings. The draw, however, is not far behind in probability, highlighting how close and potentially cagey this contest could be—especially with so much riding on defensive stability and set-pieces for both. With under 2.5 goals getting the shortest odds, expectations are for conservative play, likely dictated by the hosts’ need for a low-risk approach as they seek to halt their slide. If you’re hunting for value, Kasimpasa Draw No Bet offers security and a strong upside, especially if Da Costa and Hajradinović bring their recent form onto the pitch.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

The likely 4-1-4-1 for Gaziantep offers compact protection for their defence, with Semih Güler and Bruno Viana key to organizing the back line. Alexandru Maxim pulls the strings centrally, while Daubin shields in front of the defence. Furkan Soyalp and Kacper Kozłowski add dynamism ahead of Daubin, hoping to link play to the lone striker Halil Dervisoglu. Keep an eye on Sorescu from the bench—the Romanian can change games with his pace if called upon.

For Kasimpasa, Yılmaz will likely stick to a 4-2-3-1, harvesting width from Keles and Fall, with Da Costa spearheading the line in strong recent form. In midfield, Cafú and Aytaç Kara should offer solidity, while Hajradinović orchestrates attacks further forward. This setup offers flexibility – the front three can rotate, and Hajradinović is often the creative hub. Defensive stability depends on Özcan’s leadership at the back, while Gianniotis in goal remains vital given their adventuresome attacking play.

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The Verdict

If ever there was a moment for Kasimpasa to step forward and stamp their mark on the season, this is it. Their sharper attack, recent improvements, and set-piece threat tip the scales their way. My main pick: Kasimpasa Draw No Bet. Gaziantep’s grit should make life tough for stretches, with chances limited at both ends, but the visitors’ proven edge in front of goal feels decisive. Don’t expect a goal fest, but do anticipate a fiercely contested affair—one likely to be decided in the small details and moments of composure under pressure. As we look ahead to the latter stages of Süper Lig, both outfits have much to prove, but it’s Kasimpasa who look better poised to finish their season on a high. The journey isn’t over, and you’d be remiss not to follow every twist!

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