Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor Prediction: 09.05.2025 Süper Lig 2024/25 Preview

As the Süper Lig 2024/25 regular season enters a pivotal stage, Gaziantep hosts Alanyaspor at the Gaziantep Stadium. Both teams have endured challenging campaigns, and this fixture could heavily influence the landscape at the lower half of the table. Recent encounters have favored Alanyaspor, notably a resounding 3-0 away win earlier this season, adding extra weight to the outcome here. The tactical battle between Selçuk İnan’s evolving Gaziantep unit and João Pereira’s pragmatic Alanyaspor provides plenty for football enthusiasts and betting fans to analyze.

Key players to watch include Halil Dervisoglu for Gaziantep, whose versatility and ability to link midfield and attack have been vital, and Florent Hadergjonaj for Alanyaspor, a defender with a knack for critical contributions both in defence and attack. Both will likely play pivotal roles as each side seeks crucial points.

Hot stat: Gaziantep has averaged 12.4 shots per game in their last five matches, but with only four goals scored, conversion remains a nagging concern.

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Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor prediction

The market sees this as a closely contested affair, with Gaziantep slightly favored (38 percent win probability) over Alanyaspor (35 percent), and the draw also a reasonable prospect. After careful data analysis, the best value bet is on Both Teams to Score (BTTS) — Yes. Gaziantep posts a decent home scoring rate, and while they’ve struggled for wins lately, their offensive approach under İnan generally yields opportunities. Conversely, Alanyaspor’s recent away record shows both goal threat and defensive vulnerabilities, underlined by their five goals in five outings — and the leaky 10 yellow cards hint at pressure situations leading to dangerous set pieces.

Gaziantep’s discipline numbers — 10 yellow cards and one red in the last five games — signal an aggressive, risk-taking style, which can leave gaps at the back. Meanwhile, Alanyaspor’s lower foul count and moderate possession-based style (as indicated by 996 completed passes in five matches, albeit at only 83 percent accuracy) suggest they’ll aim for control but may struggle under intense Gaziantep pressing. Expect a fast-paced, tactically open match where both sides find the net.

Team Analysis

Gaziantep: In their last five matches, Gaziantep have recorded a solitary win, a draw, and three losses. Their latest defeat, a 0-2 home reverse to Rizespor, highlighted ongoing issues converting possession into clear-cut chances, despite creating 12 shots. Against top opposition such as Fenerbahce (1-3 loss), Gaziantep still found a goal, further evidence of their potential but also their struggle to defend against more clinical attacks. The midfield pairing of Alexandru Maxim and Quentin Daubin is crucial for transitioning play — yet their side’s lack of scoring form remains a pressing concern ahead of this matchup.

Alanyaspor: Alanyaspor’s last five outings reveal one win, one draw, and three defeats. Most recently, they secured a 1-1 home result against Kayserispor, but defensive lapses continue to limit their ceiling. Their 3-4 thriller with Trabzonspor showcased their offensive intent but exposed backline frailties, with yellow cards (10 in five matches) showing frustration and breaking up play. Hadergjonaj’s contribution from defense and Sergio Córdova’s threat upfront offer hope, though away form remains inconsistent.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gaziantep the favourite

These odds reflect a finely balanced fixture. Gaziantep carries slight favoritism due to home advantage and marginally better form. However, both sides have displayed defensive fragilities and some promise in attack, justifying strong prices on the Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets. The value on Draw No Bet for Gaziantep is especially attractive given their ability to capitalize on home support and a marginally stronger home scoring rate. With the draw also priced competitively, bettors seeking security may consider this as a coverage option.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Gaziantep possible starting eleven

This lineup reflects Şelçuk İnan’s preferred 3-4-2-1 system, relying on consistent midfield pairings and wing-backs to provide both defensive cover and attacking width. Sokratis Dioudis gets the nod between the sticks for his recent sharpness. Maxim’s creativity and Daubin’s industry remain central, while Dervisoglu is the focal point up front. Sorescu’s work rate and ability to cut in from wide areas are also worth watching. Expect a shift to a flat back five out of possession to manage Alanyaspor’s direct threats.

Alanyaspor possible starting eleven

Alanyaspor will likely stick to their established 4-2-3-1 formation, with Ertuğrul Taşkıran a reliable figure in goal. Hadergjonaj and Balkovec provide both defensive solidarity and attacking intent from full-back, while Janvier orchestrates build-up play. Up front, Córdova and Šporar form a strike partnership with the tools to trouble Gaziantep’s sometimes stretched backline. The creative axis of Vilhena and Karaca needs to supply pace and width, while midfield stability remains a priority to withstand Gaziantep’s high pressing.

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The Verdict

My primary pick for this fixture is Both Teams to Score (Yes), supported by recent trends on both sides. Offensively, Gaziantep excels at home — and with Dervisoglu leading the line, there’s always a goal threat, even if conversion hasn’t always matched intent. Alanyaspor, under Pereira, are adept at countering with pace, and the full-back overlaps from Hadergjonaj can stretch Gaziantep’s back three. Expect an open, engaging contest with both teams finding the net, and don’t rule out a late swing in momentum. Draw No Bet on Gaziantep stands out as a well-balanced safety pick given home-field advantage.

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