With the festive calendar closing out 2025, Group F at the Africa Cup of Nations provides a gripping contest as Gabon face the daunting challenge of taking on Ivory Coast at the Stade de Marrakech. Both sides approach this fixture with very different trajectories: Gabon are searching for their first points, while Ivory Coast look to cement their place atop the group and stake their claim as tournament heavyweights. As the group phase nears its climax, this match could all but decide Gabon’s fate. But as we football fans know, nothing throws up more intrigue than the unpredictable nature of AFCON football – especially when pride and progression are on the line.
Several intriguing individual battles will spice up this fixture. The veteran Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang continues to carry Gabon’s attacking hopes on his shoulders, while Amad Diallo’s recent purple patch in front of goal for Ivory Coast has caught the eye. Watch for midfield engine Franck Kessié to orchestrate Ivory Coast’s transitions, while Gabon’s Mario Lemina must force his team onto the front foot if they are to cause an upset.
Hot stat: Ivory Coast have earned a remarkable 16 corners in their last two group games – a sign of their relentless attacking pressure and wide play dominance in this phase.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Africa Cup of Nations 2025, Group F |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.12.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
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Gabon vs Ivory Coast prediction
The bookmakers aren’t mincing words – Ivory Coast are clear favourites (odds hovering around 1.48-1.50 for the away win), backed by a superior win rate, a deeper, more balanced squad, and greater consistency on both ends of the pitch. Their attacking verve has yielded an impressive number of corners and sustained pressure, and the likes of Amad Diallo in goal-scoring form only sharpen their edge. In comparison, Gabon have struggled for form and cohesion, suffering two straight group defeats with a leaky defence conceding at decisive moments.
Tactically, expect Gabon’s familiar 4-3-3 to offer width but their midfield (often marshalled by Mario Lemina and Didier Ndong) will likely be forced into dogged defending. Gabon’s average of just 41 percent pass accuracy and a worrying number of lost balls hint at struggles under high press and intensity — an inescapable concern against a physically dominant Ivorian side. Meanwhile, Ivory Coast’s 4-2-3-1 gives them both solidity and attacking dimension, capable of overloading wide areas and creating second-ball opportunities.
Crucially, Gabon’s high foul count (20 over two games) and three yellows show a team often chasing play and resorting to tactical fouls, whereas Ivory Coast, despite their aggression (35 fouls in two), have avoided costly reds and seemed tactically disciplined. These trends point to an Ivorian side comfortable grinding down opponents and dictating the pace.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ivory Coast -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Gabon (Last Match Focus: 2-3 loss to Mozambique):
Gabon pressed for a result against Mozambique but defensive lapses and a late opener left them exposed. While Aubameyang provided a crucial goal, and defender Alex Moucketou-Moussounda joined him on the scoresheet, the reality remains that defensive vulnerability cost them again. A positive? Gabon managed 28 shots in their last two matches, pointing to a willingness to attack – but a poor conversion rate and constant pressure in their own third continues to haunt them.
Ivory Coast (Last Match Focus: 1-1 draw with Cameroon):
Ivory Coast battled to a draw against a dogged Cameroon, demonstrating both their attacking intent (16 corners and a number of promising attacks via the flanks) and their ability to control proceedings – they boasted strong pass accuracy and high possession, a typical hallmark under coach Emerse Faé. Notably, Amad Diallo was a constant threat, buzzing around the final third, while Franck Kessié pulled strings in midfield. Their defensive solidity and tactical ability to adapt in-game gives them the initiative heading into this Gabon clash.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Gabon | Ivory Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 7 | 14 |
| Free kicks | 11 | 15 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 7 |
| Total fouls | 13 | 17 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 69 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 14 |
| Offsides | 2 | 3 |
🚨Read our full Gabon vs Ivory Coast stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ivory Coast the favourite
- Moneyline Gabon 7.50 | Ivory Coast 1.49
- Draw 3.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.11 | Under 2.5 1.62
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.64
Ivory Coast’s short price is a testament to their current form and superior squad depth. Their ability to control matches, rack up corners, and create big chances justifies the odds. Gabon’s price reflects risk given their leaky defence and lack of recent victories. Nevertheless, in a pressure scenario, Gabon may score but backing the Ivorians to cover the handicap appeals most. The odds for Over 2.5 and BTTS point to a potentially open game, especially if Gabon chase the match in the second half.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Gabon possible starting eleven

- GK: Loyce Marius Mbaba
- DF: Anthony Oyono, Jacques Ekomié, Alex Moucketou-Moussounda, Bruno Ecuele Manga
- MF: Mario Lemina, Didier Ndong, André Poko
- FW: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Denis Bouanga, Shavy Babicka
Thierry Mouyouma is likely to stick with the tried-and-tested 4-3-3, giving Aubameyang license to roam across the front line, flanked by Bouanga and Babicka. Lemina and Ndong provide bite in midfield, while the experienced Ecuele Manga marshals the back four. Watch for Lemina’s energy and Aubameyang’s movement to pose whatever threat Gabon can muster.
Ivory Coast possible starting eleven

- GK: Yahia Fofana
- DF: Ghislain Konan, Odilon Kossounou, Evan Ndicka, Guéla Doué
- MF: Franck Kessié, Ibrahim Sangaré, Seko Fofana, Wilfried Zaha, Jean Michaël Seri
- FW: Amad Diallo
Expect Faé to line his charges up in the flexible 4-2-3-1 setup, with Kessié and Sangaré holding, and the creative trio of Zaha, Seri, and Seko Fofana operating in support of Amad Diallo – the in-form forward. Defensive solidity is provided by Ndicka and Kossounou, while Konan and Doué are threats on the overlap. Diallo’s recent form and Kessié’s control may prove decisive.
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Gabon. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
My money, and my footballing instincts, suggest this is Ivory Coast’s match to lose. Their midfield dynamism, attacking threat from wide positions, and a confident striker in Amad Diallo are all markers of a side on an upward trajectory in this tournament. Gabon will battle, and might find the net with Aubameyang’s flair, but their frailties at the back and lack of a midfield platform could be punished by an efficient, physical Ivorian side. Expect an entertaining affair, but Ivory Coast to win by two clear goals as they march toward the AFCON knockout rounds!

