Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction: 07 November 2026 English Premier League

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Fulham host Newcastle at Craven Cottage with both sides stuck in the congested mid-table pack after nine rounds. Marco Silva’s departure left Álvaro Arbeloa with a Fulham side that grinds out narrow results, while Matthias Jaissle’s Newcastle arrive in London on the back of four defeats from five. The interesting angle here is shot volume: Newcastle have attempted 90 shots across their last five matches yet converted just four goals, which points to wastefulness rather than a lack of chance creation.

Alex Iwobi stands out for the hosts with eleven shots and one goal in his last five appearances, and his drift into the box from the left remains Fulham’s most reliable attacking pattern. For Newcastle, Yoane Wissa has fired fifteen shots in five games without scoring, a drought that has cost Jaissle’s side points week after week. Behind them, goalkeepers Bernd Leno and Lukáš Horníček have both played every minute of their teams’ recent fixtures and could decide a tight contest.

Fulham vs Newcastle prediction

We predict Fulham to win this match, most likely by a 2-1 scoreline, and we see the 2.05 available on the hosts as the value play. Newcastle’s last five games read one win and four defeats, and the only side they beat in that stretch was Crystal Palace. Fulham, for all their own inconsistency, have taken results against Hull and Coventry recently and ground out a point against Aston Villa, the league’s top side.

The tactical profile of both teams supports a scrappy affair. Fulham commit 57 fouls and pick up 12 yellow cards over five matches, while Newcastle sit at 62 fouls and 15 yellows, so expect a stop-start game littered with free kicks. Pass accuracy separates the sides sharply: Fulham complete 89% of their 650 average passes per match, whereas Newcastle manage only around 81%. That ball retention gap should let the hosts control tempo at home and force Newcastle into the transitional chaos that has undone them repeatedly this season.

Team Analysis

Fulham have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five. The most recent outing was a spirited 1-1 draw away at Aston Villa, where Bassey and Andersen held the line against relentless pressure and Leno made key stops to bank a point. Before that, a 1-0 defeat to Crystal Palace stung, but back-to-back 1-0 wins over Hull and Coventry showed the defensive organisation Arbeloa has drilled into this squad. Only nine goals scored in nine league games is the obvious weakness, yet the same low-scoring pattern has kept them in matches they had no business contesting.

Newcastle’s form makes grim reading. One win, four defeats, no draws in the last month. The latest result was a 1-0 home loss to Everton, a game where Wissa and Barnes fired fifteen shots between them without beating the keeper, and Everton punished them on a single lapse. Prior to that came a 1-3 thumping by Everton in the cup, a comfortable 2-0 win over Crystal Palace, a 1-0 defeat at Aston Villa and a hideous 1-4 collapse against Coventry. The shot count keeps rising while the results keep falling, and until the finishing improves Jaissle’s men are a laying waiting to happen on the road.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Fulham have won three of the last five meetings at Craven Cottage, outscoring Newcastle 9-6 across those fixtures. Home advantage in this pairing is real.

🚨Check out our dedicated Fulham vs Newcastle stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fulham the favourite

• Moneyline Fulham 2.09 | Newcastle 3.58
• Draw 3.90

The market installs Fulham as clear favourites despite their 15th place, and the bookmakers’ 46-25-29 probability split lines up almost perfectly with the average pricing. We agree with the direction. Newcastle’s 29% implied chance feels generous given four straight away defeats in all competitions, and the draw at 3.90 offers slightly more appeal than the away side for punters who expect Fulham’s bluntness in front of goal to persist.

Possible Starting Lineups

Fulham possible starting eleven

Arbeloa has stuck with the 4-2-3-1 throughout his tenure, and the near-full-strength availability here means few surprises. Bassey has been the defensive standout with five interceptions and 435 passes in five games, while Bobb offers the creative spark in the pocket behind Muniz. Watch Iwobi cutting in from the left; his eleven shots in five matches make him the likeliest home scorer.

Newcastle possible starting eleven

Jaissle also favours the 4-2-3-1, and Horníček has kept the shirt after playing every minute of the last five games. Hall has been a machine down the left with twelve interceptions and 450 minutes logged. The concern is structural: Joelinton’s nine fouls in five games suggest he is chasing shadows, and Wissa’s goalless run should earn him a start here only because Osula offers little more. Expect Willock supporting Barnes and Murphy in a front four tasked with fixing the finishing problem.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

The numbers point one way. Fulham keep games tight, concede little at home, and have beaten Newcastle three times in the last five meetings on their own ground. Newcastle create plenty but finish poorly, and their defence has shipped nine goals in five games including a four-goal collapse against Coventry. Our team expects Fulham to shade a low-scoring contest, with Iwobi the likeliest match-winner and BTTS leaning firmly towards No. Take Fulham at 2.05, back the Under 2.5 as your secondary play, and leave the Newcastle moneyline well alone until their finishing improves.

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