Liam Duckstein
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Two newly promoted sides meet at the PSC Arena in Frosinone on matchday 3 of Serie A 2026/27. Both clubs spent last season in Serie B, and their two meetings in that division went firmly Venezia’s way, with the visitors winning 2-1 and 3-0. That head-to-head record adds a layer of pressure on Massimiliano Alvini’s side, who will be desperate to show they can hold their own at this level on home soil. Frosinone sit 9th after two games while Venezia are bottom with zero points, so the stakes for Giovanni Stroppa’s team are already high.
Watch Antonio Raimondo for Frosinone, the forward has scored three goals in his last four appearances and leads the team’s attacking output. For Venezia, striker Akor Adams stands out with two goals and the most shots of any Venezia player across recent matches, making him the biggest individual threat Stroppa can call on.
A standout stat from recent fixtures: Frosinone scored eight goals across their last five matches, including a remarkable 4-5 loss to Sassuolo and a 4-1 win over Juve Stabia, showing a team that generates chances but also concedes freely.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | PSC Arena, Frosinone |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Frosinone vs Venezia Prediction
The bookmakers call this one remarkably close, with Venezia actually the marginal favourite at 37% despite being the away side and sitting bottom of the table. We disagree with that framing. Frosinone are at home, carry more attacking energy, and Venezia have looked toothless in their opening two league defeats, conceding four goals without scoring a single one.
The best value here is a Frosinone win. They have home advantage, a more dynamic forward line, and Venezia are without a point or a goal so far in Serie A 2026/27. Alvini’s side are not defensively solid by any measure, but their attacking output gives them a clear edge against a Venezia side that has struggled to create.
Frosinone commit fouls at a notably high rate across their last five matches, totalling 76, compared to Venezia’s 38. That aggression can disrupt rhythm but also invites set pieces against them. Venezia, on the other hand, play with more controlled possession, logging 2,083 passes to Frosinone’s 1,354, with a significantly higher pass accuracy. Their disciplined structure in midfield could frustrate Frosinone in spells, but it has not translated into goals recently. With Frosinone pressing hard at home and Venezia’s defensive fragility exposed in early Serie A fixtures, goals at both ends are plausible.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Frosinone to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Frosinone’s last five matches tell a story of a team with real attacking punch but questionable defensive organisation. They beat Fiorentina 3-0 and Juve Stabia 4-1, yet they also lost 2-1 to Lazio, 1-0 to Juventus, and suffered a wild 4-5 defeat to Sassuolo. That Sassuolo match is the most telling: Frosinone scored four times but still lost, which captures the team’s character well. Alvini’s side play with intensity and press high, but they leave gaps at the back. In the current Serie A campaign, they have three points from two games after a 3-1 win and a 1-0 defeat, placing them in a decent mid-table position at this early stage.
Venezia’s recent run makes for uncomfortable reading for Stroppa. They have won just once in their last five matches, drawing one and losing three. Their Serie A start has been a disaster: 0-2 against Lecce and 1-2 against Udinese, leaving them bottom without a point or a goal in the league. The 3-2 win over Modena and the 2-2 draw with Brest were against significantly weaker opposition. Against top-flight sides, Venezia have looked short of ideas going forward, managing only four goals across their last five matches combined. Their defensive numbers are better than Frosinone’s in terms of interceptions, recording 43 to Frosinone’s 31, but that has not stopped them from conceding regularly.
🚨Check out our dedicated Frosinone vs Venezia stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Venezia the Marginal Favourite
- Moneyline Frosinone 2.75 | Venezia 2.60
- Draw 3.35
The market pricing Venezia as the slight favourite feels off given the context. They are winless in Serie A, scoreless in the league, and arriving as the away side against a Frosinone team that has scored freely at home. The 2.75 on Frosinone looks like genuine value. The draw at 3.35 is also interesting given how open both sides can be, but we lean toward a home win rather than a stalemate.
Possible Starting Lineups
Frosinone Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Lorenzo Palmisani
- DF: Anthony Oyono, Ilario Monterisi, Gabriele Calvani, Giorgio Cittadini
- MF: Giacomo Calò, Matteo Cichella, Patrizio Masini, Anouar El Azzouzi
- FW: Giorgi Kvernadze, Antonio Raimondo
Alvini has settled into a 4-2-3-1 shape across recent matches, and this lineup reflects the players with the most consistent appearances. Palmisani starts in goal after featuring in four of the last five matches. The back four of Oyono, Monterisi, Calvani, and Cittadini has been reasonably stable. Calò and Cichella provide the midfield base, with Calò’s passing range and seven free kicks taken making him the creative hub. Raimondo leads the line and is the player to watch, three goals in four games make him Frosinone’s most dangerous attacker by some distance. Kvernadze, with two goals and two assists in four appearances, offers pace and creativity from wide positions.
Venezia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Filip Stankovic
- DF: Armel Bella-Kotchap, Joël Schingtienne, Antoine Hainaut, Thierry Correia
- MF: Gianluca Busio, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, John Yeboah, Redouane Halhal
- FW: Akor Adams, Albion Rrahmani
Stroppa has used a 4-3-3 structure in his last five matches. Stankovic takes the goalkeeper spot based on appearances and save count. Bella-Kotchap anchors the defence and leads all Venezia players in interceptions with seven, making him the defensive linchpin. Busio controls possession from central midfield with 208 passes across four games. Adams is the focal point up front, with 13 shots and two goals in four appearances, he is clearly Venezia’s most productive attacker. Yeboah adds energy from wide, contributing a goal and 10 shots across three matches.
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Frosinone. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a Frosinone win in a match that should produce goals at both ends. Frosinone’s attacking form at home, combined with Venezia’s failure to score in either of their Serie A fixtures so far, points firmly toward the hosts. The head-to-head record from Serie B favours Venezia on paper, but this is a different context: Frosinone are at home, have more points, and carry more confidence into the match.
Venezia’s possession-based approach may create some pressure in spells, and Adams is capable of finding the net, but their overall lack of cutting edge in top-flight conditions is a real concern. Frosinone’s high-press style and the direct running of Raimondo and Kvernadze should be too much for a Venezia backline that has conceded four times without reply in the league. To be honest, the 2.75 on Frosinone to win is the pick we feel most confident about this weekend.
- Our prediction: Frosinone Win
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Both Teams to Score: Yes
