Liam Duckstein
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Bodo Glimt arrive at Fredrikstad Stadion as arguably the most in-form side in Norway right now, sitting second in the Eliteserien table with 37 points from just 15 games. Fredrikstad have quietly put together a five-match winning streak of their own in the last 30 days, but the gap in quality between these two clubs is hard to ignore. The visitors have conceded just 10 goals all season, the best defensive record in the top half of the table, which makes this a fascinating test for a Fredrikstad side that has scored only 18 in 15 league outings.
Two players stand out for this fixture. Jens Petter Hauge has been central to everything Bodo Glimt produce going forward, registering three assists and one goal across his last four appearances while completing over 210 passes per game. For Fredrikstad, Gabriel Wesseh offers genuine threat, contributing a goal and an assist in his recent run and leading his side in shot attempts with six over the last five matches.
A hot stat worth flagging: Bodo Glimt have scored 13 goals in their last five matches while Fredrikstad managed just six across the same period, and the visitors put five past a higher-rated Nijmegen side twice in the space of a week during European action.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Eliteserien 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad |
| 🗓️ Date: | 04.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Fredrikstad vs Bodo Glimt Prediction
Bodo Glimt are the clear pick here. They are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 matches across all competitions, they have won three of the last four head-to-head meetings with Fredrikstad, and they have kept the Norwegian league’s best defensive numbers this season. Fredrikstad’s recent five-win run came against opponents ranked far below Glimt’s level, including sides like Eidsvoll IF and Kristiansand.
We predict Bodo Glimt to win, and the best value lies in backing them on the Asian Handicap. The visitors have scored three or more goals in each of their last four matches, including a 4-2 win over Rosenborg and back-to-back 3-0 and 3-1 victories over Nijmegen. Fredrikstad’s defensive output of only 19 interceptions and 37 total shots allowed across their last five games suggests they will be under sustained pressure.
Bodo Glimt average 78 total shots per five matches compared to Fredrikstad’s 37, and their pass accuracy numbers (2,303 accurate passes from 2,626 attempts) dwarf Fredrikstad’s 1,174 from 1,459. Kjetil Knutsen’s side press high and pass with purpose. Fredrikstad commit fewer fouls (20 versus Glimt’s 37), but that is partly a reflection of how rarely they get into positions to win the ball back.
With Glimt’s attacking output, an over 2.5 goals market looks well-supported. Fredrikstad have shown they can score at home, netting four against Lillestrom recently, so both teams to score carries some logic despite Glimt’s defensive solidity.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Bodo Glimt to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Fredrikstad have been in genuinely strong domestic form over the past month. Casper Röjkjaer’s side beat Lillestrom 4-1 in their most recent league outing, with Benjamin Thoresen Faraas getting on the scoresheet and Max Nilsson and Gabriel Wesseh also contributing goals. Before that, they put seven past Eidsvoll IF in the cup, then picked up back-to-back 1-0 wins over Kristiansund and Kristiansand. The concern is that three of those five wins came against teams ranked in the bottom third of the Eliteserien or lower-division opposition. Their shot volume is modest (37 over five games) and their pass accuracy at 80.5% is solid without being dominant.
Bodo Glimt are operating on a different level entirely. Their last league match produced a 4-2 win over Rosenborg, with Andreas Helmersen and Fredrik Bjorkan both finding the net. They then eased past lower-division Fauske-Sprint 5-0 in cup action and sandwiched two European wins over Nijmegen around that. Kjetil Knutsen has his side playing with intensity and control: 78 total shots, 28 corner kicks, and 27 interceptions across the last five matches paint a picture of a team that dominates games in every phase. Helmersen’s four goals and Bjorkan’s three from defensive positions are particularly striking numbers.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Fredrikstad | Bodo Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Fredrikstad vs Bodo Glimt stats page for more info.
The head-to-head record tells a clear story. Bodo Glimt won the reverse fixture earlier in the 2026 Eliteserien season 1-0, and they beat Fredrikstad 5-0 and 1-0 in 2025. The only time Fredrikstad took points from this matchup in recent memory was a 2-2 draw back in 2024. Fredrikstad have not beaten Bodo Glimt in a competitive fixture for several seasons.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Bodo Glimt the Favourite
- Moneyline Fredrikstad 7.25 | Bodo Glimt 1.25
- Draw 5.25
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers have priced this match correctly. At 1.25, Bodo Glimt’s win is short but justified given their 86% win rate this season and their record against this opponent. Fredrikstad at 7.25 reflects how far apart these clubs are right now, despite the hosts’ recent run. The draw at 5.25 is a long price that we would not chase. The value, to be honest, sits in backing Glimt on a handicap or in the goals markets rather than the straight win, simply because the margin is so compressed at 1.25.
Possible Starting Lineups
Fredrikstad Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Martin Borsheim
- DF: Fredrik Holme, Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen, Daniel Eid, Isak Helstad Amundsen
- MF: Max Nilsson, Salim Laghzaoui, Gabriel Wesseh
- FW: Samuel Holm, Benjamin Thoresen Faraas, Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Röjkjaer has been consistent with his 4-3-3 shape and these players have featured most heavily across the last five matches. Martin Borsheim is the first-choice keeper with eight saves in three appearances. Gabriel Wesseh is the standout name to watch, operating from the left wing with a combination of direct running and goal contributions. Benjamin Thoresen Faraas leads the attack with two goals from three games. Fredrik Holme is the most reliable presence in defence, completing 185 accurate passes across three matches.
Bodo Glimt Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Nikita Haikin
- DF: Fredrik Bjorkan, Odin Luras Bjortuft, Fredrik Sjovold, Villads Nielsen
- MF: Patrick Berg, Sondre Fet, Sondre Auklend
- FW: Jens Petter Hauge, Andreas Helmersen, Ole Didrik Blomberg
Knutsen’s 4-3-3 has been a constant and this group of players has driven Glimt’s dominant run. Nikita Haikin has made 11 saves across four appearances and has been reliable. Patrick Berg is the engine in midfield, recording 14 total shots and 238 accurate passes across four games, which is remarkable for a central midfielder. Andreas Helmersen leads the squad with four goals in four matches and will be the primary threat. Jens Petter Hauge with three assists adds the creative link between midfield and attack. Fredrik Bjorkan’s three goals from left back make him a genuine secondary threat from set pieces.
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Fredrikstad. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a Bodo Glimt win with goals at both ends. Fredrikstad’s recent form is encouraging and they have the players to cause problems on the counter, but they face a side that has scored in every match this season and conceded just 10 goals in 15 league games. The visitors’ shot volume, pressing intensity, and individual quality across the pitch all point to a comfortable win for Glimt.
The head-to-head record backs this up: Bodo Glimt have won three of the last four meetings, including a 5-0 and a 1-0 win in 2025. Fredrikstad have scored in some of their recent home games, and Bodo Glimt do commit 37 fouls per five matches, which creates set-piece opportunities for the hosts. Both teams to score at a reasonable price is perhaps the most interesting market in this fixture. Our primary tip is Bodo Glimt to win, with over 2.5 goals as the supporting selection.
